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whit3rd

01/04/2011 3:13 PM

Re: Nuclear Reactor Problems

On Tuesday, March 29, 2011 10:41:54 PM UTC-7, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "dpb" wrote:

> >> Look at the poor bastards who have the fly ash pits in their back
> >> yards in TN and OK for starters.

> It is simply indicative of the total arrogance of the utility
> industry.
...
> IMHO, based on 50+ years of on and off dealings with the utility
> industry, their approach seems to be the bottom line at any price.

Well, yes, that is a natural consequence of electric utilities operating
as regulated monopolies; they are required by law not to spend
any 'extra' money and call it expenses, because their prices are
set as cost-plus-a-few-percent.

In many areas, fly ash isn't 'dumped', but becomes a component
of cement mix (where it doesn't hurt the final product, and
is a benefit to the cement plant because they don't have to
pay to get this part of their raw material shipped in).
Cinderblock used to be a way to recycle clinker from ironworks...


This topic has 299 replies

DB

Dave Balderstone

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

08/07/2011 8:46 AM

In article
<1b1efd67-ea41-4c30-a16e-8cd6b725dfe1@u28g2000yqf.googlegroups.com>,
Robatoy <[email protected]> wrote:

> Oh wait... these windmills are 'instant ON'....no cost for them to sit
> there other than the bleed to feed the creative funding packages.

And the solar farms, too...

<http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/05/solar-showdown-weeds-vs-silicon/>

Dead technology...

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

10/08/2011 4:45 PM

On Aug 10, 7:02=A0pm, "Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote:
> "Han" wrote:
> > As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year
> > than
> > all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>
> ---------------------------------
> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
> well as nukes?
>
> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
> quickly as possible.
>
> Lew

They're still calling them fossil fuels? Dude, they found crude and
tars on Titan!
Heavy hydrocarbons do NOT have to be from a plant-like origin.
Methanes and its derivatives do NOT have to be plant/shit/flesh based.

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 6:03 AM

On Fri, 24 Jun 2011 07:49:57 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
<[email protected]> wrote:

>Robatoy wrote:
>
>>
>> I am all for oversight. There's always a chance that a privately owned
>> utility will try shortcuts to improve their bottom line.
>> We have a good sized unit just 1.5 hrs up the lake from here (
>> http://www.brucepower.com/about-us/ ) and they are all over those
>> guys. The rest of the nukes are monitored by themselves, NOT a good
>> plan.

Remember that all the nuclear generating units insure the others. Any
accident costs for one unit come out of the pockets of the other
units. None of them wants to see the other guy falter.


>I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that approach!
>But - even a well run plant does not address the issues of accidents and
>waste disposal. Both of those offer a far more dismal future than the
>thought of depleting natural gas.

How many thousands of man-years of safe nuclear power have we had
already? Over three thousand. Actual accidents pale in comparison to
you guy's unsubstantiated fears. I lived about 20 miles directly
downwind of SONGS for 35 years and I don't glow in the dark, Mike.

France has shown us that we -don't- have to store everything and we
-can- reprocess spent fuel instead of storing it. It's time we came up
to speed. Our grid needs help NOW!

Chernobyl, TMI, and Fukushima have been illustrative of how we can
better build even safer units.

--
You can't wait for inspiration. You have to go after it with a club.
--Jack London

Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 10:13 PM

Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>> Again, if it weren't for the alternative sources req'd to be around
>> because it isn't reliable, that would be basically true.
> ----------------------------
> You're hung up on wind being unreliable.
>
> There is more than one form of renewable energy.
>

Right. Wind, hydro, tidal, geothermal, nuclear, etc.

Name ONE as versatile, economical, or available as petroleum. By every
objective standard, there is no current substitute for oil. Nor does anyone
claim there will be in the foreseeable future.

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 6:23 AM

On Aug 11, 8:11=A0am, Han <[email protected]> wrote:
> Richard <[email protected]> wrote innews:ot6dnfgWNud38t7TnZ2dnUVZ_gW=
[email protected]:
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> > On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> >> "Han" wrote:
>
> >>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year
> >>> than
> >>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>
> >> ---------------------------------
> >> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
> >> well as nukes?
>
> >> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
> >> quickly as possible.
>
> >> Lew
>
> > And replace them with what, Lew?
> > Horses?
>
> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse manure
> pollution in (at least) New York City.
>
> > There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and portability
> > as gasoline. =A0I would add that our problem is that we are 50 years la=
te
> > deciding to make internal combustion effecent and clean. =A0But we didn=
't
> > have the computer technology back then to do it.
>
> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
> sources. =A0Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats are
> equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
> consumption. =A0I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
> demand. =A0For now, I think the only transportation that would be difficu=
lt
> to replace is jet planes.
>
LOL...Battery powered (heavy) planes...cool. So the runways need to be
15 miles, so what? There's always eminent domain.

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 1:29 PM

On Jun 3, 4:03=A0pm, dpb <[email protected]> wrote:
> On 6/3/2011 1:46 PM, dpb wrote:
> ...
>
> > OK, I found the annual meeting minutes program I was looking for--
> ...
> > In there the current estimated construction costs are--
>
> > Coal $2500-$2600 /MWe
> > Nuke $5000-$5200 /MWe
> > Wind $2400-$2500 /MWe (including tax credits)
>
> > The kicker is that w/ wind we can only expect roughly 40% of that
> > installed capacity to be available (on annual capacity of 112 MWe
> > installed observed over nine years of actual production) so the actual
> > average installed cost is roughly 2.5X the above or $6000 /MWe-ongrid.
>
> ...
>
> BTW, just for comparison--for the time period the overall average
> capacity factor for Wolf Creek Nuclear Station was 87.1% w/ a peak
> annual capacity of 95.8% in '07; the _lowest_ being 81.5% in '05 owing
> to an extra week (roughly) longer outage duration costing roughly 2% on
> annual output.
>
> --

Can we zoom back and look at the big picture, rather than get buried
under copious amounts of detail?
When I played waterpolo, varsity level, we had a play called "******'s
Washup". I would make so much froth, that the refs could not see that
I was elbowing some poor opponent in the chops.
In politics it's called obfuscation.
Everybody is so busy looking at some tracks, going: Mmm doesn't look
like bear tracks, mmm doesn't look like moose tracks.... could it be
deer tracks??? then the train hits them.

YES, YES, YES, we KNOW about all the fog, we KNOW about the insane
amounts of details.
WHERE is the solution?
Too many engineers vying for perpetual employment by clouding issues
with bullshit details. I know. I was one.

Instead of pummeling each other with lofty 'educated' crap, why not
stop this bullshit train and look at what makes sense?

Goddammit!!!!!

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

06/07/2011 3:30 PM

On Jul 6, 12:54=A0am, Larry Jaques <[email protected]>
wrote:


>
> Thanks to liberals and other unfounded fear mongers.
>
> =A0 =A0 =A0Way to go, guys!

O, forfuksakes. Fear has been used to control the masses for eons.
Hell, the whole 'Hell' idea was conjured up by some power-hungry
padres. "Keep them suckers in line by scaring them into believing a
BAD eternity awaits those who don't fall into line and contribute to
the coffers of the bishops." Jacq-O, the Right even manages to create
fears out of thin air, it is not an exclusive of libtards, but it is
manipulated skillfully by those who want control....like the parents
of yore telling their unruly children there's a boogie-man under the
bed.
Who do we get taxed to death? Because if we don't, THE I R S is
gonna ruin you!!! What if the whole country decided to tell the IRS to
go fuck themselves... just exactly how much power would they have? All
those mofo's have is what you give them. Fire the FED... they are NOT
elected and neither is the IRS... they're private companies behaving
badly.
And what if the whole country decided to try to go it without power
for a few days. Have a BBQ, take a walk, swim,...and turn everything
OFF.

>
> http://goo.gl/oqvr7shutting down wind farms?
>
Oh wait... these windmills are 'instant ON'....no cost for them to sit
there other than the bleed to feed the creative funding packages.

*feeling a little rebellious today*

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

08/07/2011 11:24 AM

On Jul 8, 10:46=A0am, Dave Balderstone
<dave@N_O_T_T_H_I_Sbalderstone.ca> wrote:
> In article
> <1b1efd67-ea41-4c30-a16e-8cd6b725d...@u28g2000yqf.googlegroups.com>,
>
> Robatoy <[email protected]> wrote:
> > Oh wait... these windmills are 'instant ON'....no cost for them to sit
> > there other than the bleed to feed the creative funding packages.
>
> And the solar farms, too...
>
> <http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/05/solar-showdown-weeds-vs-silicon/>
>
> Dead technology...

I do think, however, that solar is usable on small-scale
installations, but as a major feed to the grid, not so much.
Wind? Same thing. Peak loads occur at 7 PM and 7 AM (give-or-take)
just when wind is low(er).

JJ

"Josepi"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

09/08/2011 9:52 PM

The black boxes have locating beacon transmitters in them and are designed
to be found easily.

------------

"Han" wrote in message news:[email protected]...
I read this somewhere. Remember, the plane was buffeted by really bad
weather, the instruments gave conflicting readings, probably was near pitch
black. There was somewhere a preliminary reading of the black boxes that
were finally recovered. A miracle in itselfthat they were found, in the
middle of the ocean, no reliable position known until just about then.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 9:44 AM

On Jun 24, 12:22=A0pm, "J. Clarke" <[email protected]> wrote:
> In article <[email protected]>,
> [email protected] says...
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> > Mike Marlow wrote:
>
> > > I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that
> > > approach! But - even a well run plant does not address the issues of
> > > accidents and waste disposal. =A0Both of those offer a far more disma=
l
> > > future than the thought of depleting natural gas.
>
> > Minor observation: We do not have a plan for nuclear waste removal beca=
use
> > we don't NEED a plan.
>
> > There are several thoughts on the matter: Encase the waste in molten gl=
ass
> > and dump the ingots in the middle of the Pacific, shoot the waste into =
the
> > sun via rocket ship, liquify and pump into a salt dome, etc.
>
> > The reason none of these has been adoped is that the need for a solutio=
n is
> > not critical.
>
> > The longer we postpone a decision, the greater the chance of a better
> > solution being found.
>
> > Personally, I'm in favor of stacking the stuff up on the U.S.-Mexican
> > border. It will make spotting illegals easier to spot in the dark.
>
> Actually the reason we don't have a plan is that Carter decreed that it
> be stored instead of recycled and no President since has grown a brain.

One didn't even have a brain to grow!

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 3:20 PM

dpb wrote:

>
> Like any other waste, it's as "safe" as the processes and care taken
> with it. There are other industiral byproducts that are extremely
> toxic and dangerous and we deal with them routinely.

I'll give you that. The qualifier though is that nuclear waste ranks among
the highest of concern. It also has this nasty long life thing. This
thread has been populated with statements about how we are or will affect
generations to come - don't you think nuclear waste plays into that
statement?

>
> Nuclear byproducts issues are fundamentally no different in concept of
> how to handle them; only in the technical details of what is done.
>

Make yourself fell better by reducing very real problems to some sort of
academic statement. If it is so trivial, why has your industry and every
government that has put their hand to it, not come up with the trivial
solution? In concept - this stuff lasts a long time and has a greater
potential for mass effect than most other byproducts we deal with today.

> Weapons material has been being reprocessed for 60+ years; it's not a
> public issue simply because it is defense related and not a subject of
> political debate as is commercial nuclear power generation (at least
> in the US).

And your point is?

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Sk

Swingman

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 1:50 PM

On 6/1/2011 1:02 PM, chaniarts wrote:
> Han wrote:
>> dpb<[email protected]> wrote in news:[email protected]:
>>
>>> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or
>>> in Germany. Baseload is still an issue.
>>
>> Probably less of a problem in Germany than hereabouts.
>
> but it's much windier elsewhere in europe than germany. without a
> european-wide energy producer, they're going to have to buy power from
> elsewhere. that elsewhere is going to have to use nuclear, so they're just
> exporting their problem to another country.

This whole is issue is purely political and based on neither science,
nor 40 years of statistical evidence with regard to the risk versus
reward of nuclear electrical generation.

I listen to "Democracy Now" on the local Pacific radio daily, simply as
a constant reminder as to just how much these people who produce it hate
the thought of a sucessful democracy ... it is exactly the same mindset
with regard to nuclear energy.

The absolutely stupidity exhibited by at least half of the shitheads
populating this planet is truly amazing ... may they get what they
deserve by dying in the dark.

--
www.e-woodshop.net
Last update: 4/15/2010
KarlC@ (the obvious)

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

14/07/2011 11:42 PM

Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "Lew Hodgett" wrote:
>
> Wonder why this doesn't come as any surprise?
>
> http://tinyurl.com/64bgvt8
>
> Lew

Oh hell no... "we're safe - we have a great safety record..."

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

05/07/2011 9:54 PM

On Mon, 27 Jun 2011 15:32:37 -0700, "Lew Hodgett"
<[email protected]> wrote:

>"Lew Hodgett" wrote:
>
>> Just lucky................................
>>
>> http://tinyurl.com/3n3qg7j
>>
>> Bring on the nukes.
>
>----------------------------
>The days of the nuclear industry's "Feet up, pat 'em on the po po"
>approach to dealing with the public are over.
>
>The industry has had 40+ years to develop a reliable and safe waste
>stream processing method and they are still at square one.

Thanks to liberals and other unfounded fear mongers.

Way to go, guys!


>Until the industry gets serious about solving this problem on a world
>wide basis, there will be no new nukes built, at least if I can help
>stop them.
>
>There are just too many other alternate renewable energy possibilities
>waiting to be developed including, but not limited to the next
>generation of batteries and photo cells..

So, what do you use to charge up those batteries on windless, cloudy
days, hmm? What are the comparative costs, downsides, efficiencies?

http://goo.gl/oqvr7 shutting down wind farms?


--
Just getting back after a farkin' virus ate my computer.
I'm still without any email or usenet archives. <sigh>

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 2:27 PM

HeyBub wrote:
> Mike Marlow wrote:
>>
>> I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that
>> approach! But - even a well run plant does not address the issues of
>> accidents and waste disposal. Both of those offer a far more dismal
>> future than the thought of depleting natural gas.
>
> Minor observation: We do not have a plan for nuclear waste removal
> because we don't NEED a plan.

Really? Are you living in the dark? Really?

>
> There are several thoughts on the matter: Encase the waste in molten
> glass and dump the ingots in the middle of the Pacific, shoot the
> waste into the sun via rocket ship, liquify and pump into a salt
> dome, etc.

You might want to spend a bit of time really reading on these ideas rather
than simply post that they exist. Oh yeah... and with respect to today...
just where are these ideas? Here - I'll tell you... they are sitting in
water tanks in communities near the reactors. The very notions you submit
above really dictate that you spend even a small amount of time with
google...

>
> The reason none of these has been adoped is that the need for a
> solution is not critical.
>

Bullshit. Please - investigate even a little bit before posting an opinion.
I won't pretend to be any sort of an expert, or even terribly informed on
these matters, but geeze - even the most uninformed person has seen these
ideas and the obvious errors in those lines of thinking.

> The longer we postpone a decision, the greater the chance of a better
> solution being found.
>

Great - let's make a decision to do something we don't understand, with no
solution to the small scale problem we already have with that idea, and just
bank on the hope that because we're committing to it, that we'll fix the
problem. I'll ask you the same question I've already asked - are you ready
for that storage to be 10 miles from your home?

> Personally, I'm in favor of stacking the stuff up on the U.S.-Mexican
> border. It will make spotting illegals easier to spot in the dark.

I knew if we kept this dialog up long enough, we'd hit the point where we
would be in violent agreement. You sir - are a man of great genius!

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 3:23 PM

dpb wrote:
> Mike Marlow wrote:
>
> ...
>
>
>> Actually, the French could tell you why recycling is not the panacea
>> that those condeming the US position, are so fond of implying.
>
>
> Currently recycling of commercial nuclear fuel is a bum idea simply
> because the economics don't support it w/ a plentiful supply of virgin
> material (and espeically so as continue to blend down the former USSR
> and US stocks of HEU that has been and is being reclaimed from the
> arms treaties of the last decades. That being a 30:1 (roughly)
> expansion of material, even the relatively small amounts contained in
> a warhead as opposed to that in a reactor core load makes it go quite
> a long ways in minimizing the SWUs expense.
>
> Reprocessing will, in the end, become a viable alternative as supplies
> tighten up, just as alternative combustible fuels (ethanol and
> biodiesel for two) will continue to become more and more viable as
> the cost differential decreases and may _eventually_ even favor the
> biofuels.

In terms of shear quantity, I agree that reprocessing will contribute to a
net better condition, however reprocessing does not eliminate, or
significantly enough reduce the threat of nuclear byproducts to make it
insignificant. My point continues to be that nuclear waste is a very
significant issue and that it outweighs the concerns for alternative fuels
such as fossil fuels - for now.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 2:03 PM

On Jun 3, 4:48=A0pm, dpb <[email protected]> wrote:
> On 6/3/2011 3:29 PM, Robatoy wrote:
> ...
>
> > stop this bullshit train and look at what makes sense?
>
> ...
>
> Not sure what they're doing up north, Robatoy; what they're doing down
> here is making more bs rules and adding costs thereby.
>
> My task (and I've chosen to accept it) is to try to throw fact in front
> of the train and make as much effort as possible to keep power
> affordable for our members.
>
> I don't know of any way other than to try to counteract the agenda of
> the others than by refuting them, do you?
>
> (Or, maybe I'm totally misreading...I will kill this thread in my reader
> so I'm no longer tempted, though, at least until Lew goes off again... :)=
)
>

If your task is keeping costs down on distribution, then it doesn't
matter where the MWs come from.
If the decision to drain a lake through a turbine is 20 free MW's for
a year and then the damn thing goes dry, the lake that is, then cooler
heads must prevail. In that hypothetical scenario, you can't run lines
to a community with a guarantee to supply them.
So the supply has to have some robustness to it. Not only are we
talking about base-load, we are also looking at sustainability. The
steadiest, reliable base-load we have, here and below the border, is
nuclear. Fact.
So if we are going to blow a bezillion dollars on R&D, let it be to
perfect that source we have become to trust.
Nuclear is pretty darn green if managed and put in places where the
risk factors are extremely low.
Coal mines collapse, water runs out and artificial lakes causes all
kinds of eco-problems.

We have spent a gazillion dollars working on all facets of nuclear
power. THAT is money already invested. We have learned so much over
the last 80 years. Let us put that to good use and be more careful.

We can't afford NOT to go nuclear.

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 3:45 PM

dpb wrote:

>
> That many other places are sited where they ought not to be or, in
> many instances that folks built residential areas around already
> existing industrial facilities doesn't change the fact that the
> juxtapostion of same is/was not wise. I'd presume that in siting any
> new facility one would take into account past experience in other
> areas as well.

Though I won't disagree with the basic reasoning of your statement, it just
does not wash in the real world. For a number of reasons which all made
sense at some point in time, reality prevailed and that juxtaposition did in
fact take place. While it might be nicer if it had not, there were
perfectly valid reasons why it did. Ya just can't escape that reality
simply based on an idealism - regarless of how attractive that idealism is.


>
>
> You've never met me... :) But, spent 30+ years in primarily
> commercial nuclear w/ design, construction and operation both in
> engineering and on site. Never was nervous going onsite and wouldn't
> be nervous about having a facility in the general area.
>

I wouldn't be fearful of entering a facility either. I do trust in the
controls for the most part, that are in place and in practice. My points
have not been about those, but about the inevitable accident that will occur
from uncontrolable factors such as geological disturbances,
weather/meterological events, and in this day and age - the mental
disturbances of groups of people.

As well, I've limited myself to only expressing concerns for the
accumulation of waste and the lack of any good way to address that problem.


--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 8:49 PM

On May 31, 10:08=A0pm, dpb <[email protected]> wrote:

> That is the stupidest use of natural gas that one can possibly make of
> it... :(
>
> And, they're trading near zero emissions and no C emissions for another
> increase in fossil. =A0What happened to reducing C footprint????
>
> All in all, I think they're making a kneejerk reaction in the totally
> wrong direction for the wrong reasons.
>


I agree 100%

Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 6:11 AM

Lew Hodgett wrote:
> ---------------------------------
> Engineering details that are being resolved.
>
> Nobody said it was going to be easy, but we're are gaining on it.
>
> Afterall, it took almost 10 years to get to the moon.
>
> If you look at the cost of ownership equation, wind power has a very
> high
> front end cost, but after that operating costs drops drastically.
>
> As every sailor knows, the wind is free, but putting it to use gets
> expensive.
>

But what are the consequences of interrupting surface wind flow? Will it
affect the weather? Crop pollination? A dog's sense of direction?

It's said that in some parts of Texas, one can't have more than one windmill
per acre or all the wind will get used up!

Rc

Richard

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 4:43 PM

On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
> Richard<[email protected]> wrote in
> news:[email protected]:
>
>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>> "Han" wrote:
>>>
>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year
>>>> than
>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>>
>>> ---------------------------------
>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
>>> well as nukes?
>>>
>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
>>> quickly as possible.
>>>
>>> Lew
>>>
>>>
>>
>> And replace them with what, Lew?
>> Horses?
>
> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse manure
> pollution in (at least) New York City.
>
>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and portability
>> as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we are 50 years late
>> deciding to make internal combustion effecent and clean. But we didn't
>> have the computer technology back then to do it.
>
> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats are
> equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
> consumption. I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
> demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would be difficult
> to replace is jet planes.
>
>
Actually, I think the biggest problem is shipping - freighters.
Dig into that some.

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

14/07/2011 10:23 PM

On Thu, 14 Jul 2011 23:42:24 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
<[email protected]> wrote:

>Lew Hodgett wrote:
>> "Lew Hodgett" wrote:
>>
>> Wonder why this doesn't come as any surprise?
>>
>> http://tinyurl.com/64bgvt8
>>
>> Lew
>
>Oh hell no... "we're safe - we have a great safety record..."

THE SKY IS FALLING! THE SKY IS FALLING!

<sigh>

Slaps on the hands and fines for
1) personnel who didn't update the phone numbers for safety personnel
and
2) personnel allowing training lapses
are in order.

And update those insecure buildings, guys, but don't scream.

P.S: They DO have a great safety record. More people dies of the top
ten everyday accidents each year than have -ever- died from non-bomb
nuclear accidents. You said you were pro nuclear energy, Mike, so
stop siding with the Chicken Littles, huh?

--
Learning to ignore things is one of the great paths to inner peace.
-- Robert J. Sawyer

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

27/06/2011 8:39 AM

dpb wrote:

>
>
> What _SPECIFIC_ risk are you talking about? What was the risk at
> Yucca Mtn that's so horrific (other than Harry losing his powerful
> position in NV and DC if he gets out of the way)???

Just the nature of the waste, and the fact that today, our storage strategy
relies on the hope that nothing will go wrong - no earthquakes, no outside
factors, that will disturb what is a fairly fragile storage strategy, and
that at some point we'll have a better plan.

>
> Carter killed reprocessing because he could not separate the weapons
> proliferation issue from that of commercial fuel reprocessing (that
> nasty bogey-man word "Plutonium" again). We see how well that worked;
> it stymied any further development on the technical front as nobody is
> going to invest in an area that is guaranteed to not even get
> considered owing to government decree and the areas of the world that
> were worried about as far as rogue weapons didn't care what the US
> did anyway and went on their way (N Korea, Iran, ...).

I get that part, and I've not disagreed with that point, but I can't lay it
all at the feet of the political decisions. Other countries have not been
as hogtied as the US, and have proceeded with reprocessing, but while their
waste issue are different (somewhat) than ours, they are also in some
respects, the same waste issues. So - the French (which I continue to rely
on for my examples, because I understand them to have committed more to
nuclear than anyone else), are wrestling with waste issues even today. So,
it appears that reprocessing, though offering a perfectly valid economical
benefit, still suffers the issue of what to do with the stuff.

>
>
> Meanwhile, owing to those decisions, spent fuel continues to simply
> accumulate at the reactor sites as there is no alternative allowed or
> allowable at present. The current situation is _all_, fundamentally,
> political in how we got to this quagmire because every alternative has
> been closed to date by intervention from DC.

Not so much, as I understand it. Again - France is still dealing with what
to do with their spent fuel.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 11:47 AM

J. Clarke wrote:

> In article <[email protected]>,
> [email protected] says...
...


>>The reason none of these has been adoped is that the need for a solution is
>>not critical.
>>
>>The longer we postpone a decision, the greater the chance of a better
>>solution being found.
>>
>>Personally, I'm in favor of stacking the stuff up on the U.S.-Mexican
>>border. It will make spotting illegals easier to spot in the dark.
>>
>
> Actually the reason we don't have a plan is that Carter decreed that it
> be stored instead of recycled and no President since has grown a brain.


...

And Harry Reid has played the populist position like a drum to retain
his power in NV...

And, actually, we _do_ need a solution...filling and interminable
expanding the spent fuel pools at the operating sites is _not_ a good
substitute for longterm storage in lieu of reprocessing.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 1:42 PM

Mike Marlow wrote:

> dpb wrote:
>
>
>>And, actually, we _do_ need a solution...filling and interminable
>>expanding the spent fuel pools at the operating sites is _not_ a good
>>substitute for longterm storage in lieu of reprocessing.
>>
>
> Reprocessing is better than what we have here now, but it is no long term
> solution. Not even a good short term solution. Nuclear waste is nuclear
> waste and it is not safe regardless of whether it is reprocessed or not.
> the complete issue needs address and to suggest that reprocessing is an
> end-all solution is nothing short of foolish.


Like any other waste, it's as "safe" as the processes and care taken
with it. There are other industiral byproducts that are extremely toxic
and dangerous and we deal with them routinely.

Nuclear byproducts issues are fundamentally no different in concept of
how to handle them; only in the technical details of what is done.

Weapons material has been being reprocessed for 60+ years; it's not a
public issue simply because it is defense related and not a subject of
political debate as is commercial nuclear power generation (at least in
the US).

--


dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 1:48 PM

Mike Marlow wrote:

...


> Actually, the French could tell you why recycling is not the panacea that
> those condeming the US position, are so fond of implying.


Currently recycling of commercial nuclear fuel is a bum idea simply
because the economics don't support it w/ a plentiful supply of virgin
material (and espeically so as continue to blend down the former USSR
and US stocks of HEU that has been and is being reclaimed from the arms
treaties of the last decades. That being a 30:1 (roughly) expansion of
material, even the relatively small amounts contained in a warhead as
opposed to that in a reactor core load makes it go quite a long ways in
minimizing the SWUs expense.

Reprocessing will, in the end, become a viable alternative as supplies
tighten up, just as alternative combustible fuels (ethanol and biodiesel
for two) will continue to become more and more viable as the cost
differential decreases and may _eventually_ even favor the biofuels.


--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 1:58 PM

Mike Marlow wrote:

...


> ...I'll ask you the same question I've already asked - are you ready
> for that storage to be 10 miles from your home?
...


Well, I'm not the "you" of the subthread but I'll make a response
anyway... :)

Ten miles? Depends on what's in that 10 mile zone. If it's a suitable
industrial location, sure.

Simply put, an industrial site of _any_ type doesn't belong in close
proimity to a residential areas simply from land use considerations.

I've worked long enough in the nuclear field to have no concerns
regarding the ability to handle the material safely.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 5:13 PM

J. Clarke wrote:

...


> If someone can find a way to make ethanol that does not involve growing
> crops on arable land perhaps. Right now with corn for ethanol competing
> with food crops the main effect of using ethanol is to run food prices
> through the roof.


Even the World Bank has now come to its senses and noted that the effect
of US corn ethanol on food prices is a very small fraction of the
overall rise...

Note that wheat and other feed grains are high as well and they're not
being used for ethanol. The ultimate root causes of food pricing is
_not_ the cost of the foodstuff at the farm; US farm percentages of the
total food dollar have dropped from 20+% 10 years ago to under 15% now.
The major costs are in the manufacturing and processing, and the
distribution and retailing sectors.

As a simple example, evean at $10/bu wheat, there's less than a quarter
of wheat involved in the pound loaf of bread.

--



dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 5:31 PM

Mike Marlow wrote:

> dpb wrote:
>
>
>>Like any other waste, it's as "safe" as the processes and care taken
>>with it. There are other industiral byproducts that are extremely
>>toxic and dangerous and we deal with them routinely.
>>
>
> I'll give you that. The qualifier though is that nuclear waste ranks among
> the highest of concern. It also has this nasty long life thing. This
> thread has been populated with statements about how we are or will affect
> generations to come - don't you think nuclear waste plays into that
> statement?


Many of those other industrial wastes are long-lived as well. Toxic
heavy metals are toxic heavy metals forever, for example, the don't even
have the benefit of the nuclear wast of transmuting to something else. :)

If folks weren't so paranoid, there's even a lot of useful stuff
(including heat) in the nuclear waste, but getting permitted to reclaim
any of it for medical or industrial isotopes, etc., is presently
verboten to even be discussed. That's political, not technical.

Besides, it is the lower specific-activity components that are the
long-lived isotopes so they have less of an actual level of emitted
radiation per unit volume than the shorter-lived isotopes. Decay heat
drops by 10X within the first week and continues at a fairly rapid rate
over the first several months. After a longer period, the need for
extremely high shielding and cooling has gone away and there's really
nothing terribly difficult at all in the storage issue other than the
will to actually let _something_ be done (other than the default current
position of ignoring it at the political level by leaving it at the
spent fuel pools).

>
>
>>Nuclear byproducts issues are fundamentally no different in concept of
>>how to handle them; only in the technical details of what is done.
>>
>>
>
> Make yourself fell better by reducing very real problems to some sort of
> academic statement. If it is so trivial, why has your industry and every
> government that has put their hand to it, not come up with the trivial
> solution? In concept - this stuff lasts a long time and has a greater
> potential for mass effect than most other byproducts we deal with today.


See above...it's political. No matter what is proposed, there's always
a Harry Reid and company to ride the populist wave for personal benefit.

As far as the "potential for mass effect", there's far more lethal doses
in a gm of the botulism toxin than the equivalent mass of Pu to use a
common bogey man.

>>Weapons material has been being reprocessed for 60+ years; it's not a
>>public issue simply because it is defense related and not a subject of
>>political debate as is commercial nuclear power generation (at least
>>in the US).
>>
>
> And your point is?


That given there's a will, the technology for handling it and processing
it w/o any great degree of problem was and has been taken care of for
quite a long time. There's no fundamental difference technically; it's
just that there's too much hoopla in the public sector so don't allow
anything to get done. Meanwhile, that something hasn't been done is
used by folks like you to bolster their argument it can't be done for
commercial fuel w/o any basis for that other than that; ignoring that it
hasn't been allowed as even an option for roughly 30 years now...

My chief complaint is can't have it both ways--since it is not allowed
to either reprocess and the government mandated they would handle the
storage problem (then didn't follow through), you can't then complain
that it is commercial nuclear's fault there isn't either reprocessing in
place or a long term storage or disposal facility operational at present.


--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 5:41 PM

Mike Marlow wrote:

> dpb wrote:
>
>>Mike Marlow wrote:
>>
>>...
>>
>>
>>
>>>...I'll ask you the same question I've already asked - are you ready
>>>for that storage to be 10 miles from your home?
>>>
>>...
>>
>>
>>Well, I'm not the "you" of the subthread but I'll make a response
>>anyway... :)
>>
>>Ten miles? Depends on what's in that 10 mile zone. If it's a
>>suitable industrial location, sure.
>>
>
>>Simply put, an industrial site of _any_ type doesn't belong in close
>>proimity to a residential areas simply from land use considerations.
>>
>
> Oh come on... where do you live?


I've lived several places; I'm currently back home on the family farm in
SW KS...

That many other places are sited where they ought not to be or, in many
instances that folks built residential areas around already existing
industrial facilities doesn't change the fact that the juxtapostion of
same is/was not wise. I'd presume that in siting any new facility one
would take into account past experience in other areas as well.

>
>
>>I've worked long enough in the nuclear field to have no concerns
>>regarding the ability to handle the material safely.
>>
>
> Apparently not. You would be the first person I've ever met who claimed to
> be knowledgable in the industry and to at the same time, claim to hold no
> concerns.
>


You've never met me... :) But, spent 30+ years in primarily commercial
nuclear w/ design, construction and operation both in engineering and on
site. Never was nervous going onsite and wouldn't be nervous about
having a facility in the general area.

==

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 8:08 AM

J. Clarke wrote:

> In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
>>J. Clarke wrote:
>>
>>...
>>
>>
>>
>>>If someone can find a way to make ethanol that does not involve growing
>>>crops on arable land perhaps. Right now with corn for ethanol competing
>>>with food crops the main effect of using ethanol is to run food prices
>>>through the roof.
>>>
>>
>>Even the World Bank has now come to its senses and noted that the effect
>>of US corn ethanol on food prices is a very small fraction of the
>>overall rise...
>>
>
> Funny how the corn farmers are claiming that removing the subsidy for
> ethanol refining is going to cut their prices in half then.


It'll not happen;

>
>
>>Note that wheat and other feed grains are high as well and they're not
>>being used for ethanol.
>>
>
> Yep. Because they are being produced in less volume because farmers are
> growing field corn to make ethanol. It's called supply and demand. A
> farmer has x acres and wants to maximize his profit, so he grows corn
> for ethanol instead of wheat for bread and pasta and flour and whatnot.


Look at planted/harvested acre reports from USDA and you'll not see a
such a major shift as you seem to think (that bogeyman of the shift of
crop practices drastically wasn't ever true and the realization that it
wasn't is a significant factor in the World Bank realization that their
previous models/assessments weren't correct).

Wheat harvest volume is down some this year but that's owing to so much
of the wheat belt being in severe drought--we were glad to have 10-15 bu
yields on some; heard on farm radio yesterday that OK state yield is
roughly 40% off from drought. KS was estimating 20% but I think unless
central/eastern part of state (which is always wetter even though
they're dry for them) it will have tough time making that based on
yields seeing here.

But, much ground simply isn't suitable for corn owing either to the
ground itself or more frequently, lack of sufficient water. All the
supposition of growing corn specifically won't make it happen; the
producer does look at what gives him the best chance at the best margins
of course but that includes the fact that corn is extremely high-input
(in girlfriends one would say high maintenance :) ) and just doesn't
have a good risk:benefit ratio.

Also counteracting the lack of acreage in alternate crops is that the
CRP (Conservation Reserve Program) funded acreage target has been
reduced from over 36 million A to about 31M A since the inception of the
'08 farm bill. There's another 5M A that has or will be coming out and
none of that will be irrigated which means virtually none will be going
into corn in the areas that have large quantities of CRP (as in full
quarters or sections as opposed to 20-30A patches).


>
>> The ultimate root causes of food pricing is
>>_not_ the cost of the foodstuff at the farm; US farm percentages of the
>>total food dollar have dropped from 20+% 10 years ago to under 15% now.
>> The major costs are in the manufacturing and processing, and the
>>distribution and retailing sectors.
>>
>
> Yep, you go on believing what the ethanol lobby wants you to believe.


It's factual...look at USDA statistics on farm income.

>
>
>>As a simple example, evean at $10/bu wheat, there's less than a quarter
>>of wheat involved in the pound loaf of bread.
>>
>
> So how many cents worth of wheat are involved in the pound box of
> macaroni? You're picking one of the most highly processed foods as your
> example.


Highly processed????? Grind wheat for flour, add a little yeast, water
and salt and bake. It's pretty low on the processing scale in the
overall scheme. But the point is, it isn't the material cost of the raw
ingredients that is driving the cost; virtually all the margin is going
to the non-farm producers.

As pasta, it's about the same...except it's duram wheat instead of hard
winter wheat.


>
> Sorry, but even if all the cropland in the world was used to produce
> ethanol the amount produced would be a drop in the bucket to the overall
> demand. So why do it other than to be politically correct?
...


Why not...as another poster is wont to say of alternative electric
energy generation--it will take a veritable plethora of sources. :)

Tax credits are being debated again even as we speak--don't know what
direction will end up taking; I suspect it will be retained in some form
to continue toward the deployment of infrastructure. Eventually, of
course, the production will shift in the majority away from grain
feedstocks to other biomass but meanhwhile it isn't causing human food
shortages and it does have some benefit to farm economies that otherwise
have been stagnant or declining. Of course, the city folk want cheap
food and don't really give much of a hoot about whether a farmer can
make any ROI on a very large capital and personal labor investment; they
would prefer he not, in fact.

As with most other economic issues, it all depends on who has the skin
in the game...with a combine at > $300K and $4 diesel and $1000/T N, $2
corn won't cut it no matter where it is supposed to go.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 8:16 AM

Larry W wrote:

> In article <[email protected]>,
> HeyBub <[email protected]> wrote:
> <...snipped...>
>
>>Personally, I'm in favor of stacking the stuff up on the U.S.-Mexican
>>border. It will make spotting illegals easier to spot in the dark.
>>
>>
>>
>
> Actually, stacking it up is not a really good idea. During the Manhattan
> project, the Oak Ridge team, mostly chemists and engineers, worked on
> enriching & isolating the fissionable U235 isotope from the much
> more prevalant U238. They were not aware of the reasons for doing
> this (classified) and most did not have an understanding of the critcal
> mass concept. Fortunately, one of the physicists at Los Alamos realized
> the danger after seeing a photograph of the stack.
>
> The USSR had a number of nuclear accidents in the late 50s at what is
> now called Mayak. It's been theorized some of these resulted from
> accidental criticality incidents.
...


Commercial reactor _new_ fuel won't reach criticality in an open stack
w/o moderator, what more spent fuel...

I spent almost 30 years in Oak Ridge and am aware (I am almost certain)
of all the criticality or near=criticality incidents there since the
inception as things of intense scrutiny and rehash for lessons learned,
etc. I have never heard of such an incident as you describe; please
provide some details so can dig into this...

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 4:09 PM

Mike Marlow wrote:

...


> I wouldn't be fearful of entering a facility either. I do trust in the
> controls for the most part, that are in place and in practice. My points
> have not been about those, but about the inevitable accident that will occur
> from uncontrolable factors such as geological disturbances,
> weather/meterological events, and in this day and age - the mental
> disturbances of groups of people.


Well, any of those can happen whether you're onsite or not...so, you
might as well accept the risk. After all, if you drive to work in the
morning, your likelihood of severe trauma from an accident is _far_
higher than that you'll be injured by a commercial reactor or its
byproducts.

>
> As well, I've limited myself to only expressing concerns for the
> accumulation of waste and the lack of any good way to address that problem.


Again, while conveniently hiding behind the facade that it's a problem
when the real problem is that there's no legal way to do anything about
any of it in the US owing to political constraints as opposed to
anything technical.

Similarly w/ the argument about siting--if you're comfortable with
existing industrial siting that wasn't the smartest then there's no
objective basis to object regarding any other. In the overall actual
risk, the conventional plants have very good odds of being far more
likely to be a real problem than the nuclear plant or waste storage
facility.

It's paranoia, pure and simple....

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

26/06/2011 7:48 AM

Mike Marlow wrote:

> dpb wrote:
>
>
>>Again, while conveniently hiding behind the facade that it's a problem
>>when the real problem is that there's no legal way to do anything
>>about any of it in the US owing to political constraints as opposed to
>>anything technical.
>>
>>
>
> Not hiding. Have not heard anything from the nuclear industry that
> genuinely mitigates the risk. Reprocessing does not, though it does change
> the risk. It's not purely political - though I will agree and give you that
> the politics behind it are a significant factor.


...


What _SPECIFIC_ risk are you talking about? What was the risk at Yucca
Mtn that's so horrific (other than Harry losing his powerful position in
NV and DC if he gets out of the way)???

Carter killed reprocessing because he could not separate the weapons
proliferation issue from that of commercial fuel reprocessing (that
nasty bogey-man word "Plutonium" again). We see how well that worked;
it stymied any further development on the technical front as nobody is
going to invest in an area that is guaranteed to not even get considered
owing to government decree and the areas of the world that were worried
about as far as rogue weapons didn't care what the US did anyway and
went on their way (N Korea, Iran, ...).


Meanwhile, owing to those decisions, spent fuel continues to simply
accumulate at the reactor sites as there is no alternative allowed or
allowable at present. The current situation is _all_, fundamentally,
political in how we got to this quagmire because every alternative has
been closed to date by intervention from DC.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

26/06/2011 9:02 AM

J. Clarke wrote:

...


> Yep, you go on believing what the ethanol lobby wants you to believe.
...


While you regurgitate the campaign propoganda of the combined Food
Institute, Grocery Manufacturers Association, etc., etc., who are all
the upper level distributors and manufacturers who are _already_
pocketing 85% of the food dollar (and wanting continued cheap inputs so
can increase margins even more)...

No thanks, I'll stick w/ what I can glean from the USDA statistics and
the bunch that are on my side including Farm Bureau, etc., as being at
least able to see the producer side.

You ain't see'd nuthin' yet if the present EPA and the Army Corps get
their way on both the energy and the food fronts, though, if you think
prices are high now, just watch what happens when those initiatives take
hold if they do. And, at the moment, it ain't lookin' good for the home
team. :(

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

26/06/2011 1:27 PM

Larry W wrote:

...


> I admit that I made that statement from memory of Richard Rhodes book ...


I've skimmed it; don't own it. It's massive enough it may take some
digging to find the anecdote... :) Don't recall if it's indexed well
enough to help or not.

The only case even remotely close at Y-12 I can think of I just don't
think had any connection to NM having pointed out the operation as
troublesome. May have to be careful about how much I say on some of
these; some amazingly enough have details that are (or at least were
when I left OR around 2000 and DOE and the Q behind) still classified
owing to specifics of some of the materials involved (in the separation
process end, not the nuclear material itself) and at least last review
we did for DOE on operations that looked at some of these there had been
no partial declassification on any of the reports--if there was anything
in the report that was classified, the whole document was classified and
a derivative classifier would have to judge what could be released;
the user of the information isn't allowed to decide that just because
they know something else isn't classified per se if it's in the
classified report it can't be released simply on that knowledge. For
one thing, there are combinations of information that are both
unclassified yet the two in proximity to each other can create a
derivative work that may be classified because w/o that direct
connection that the two pieces of information are somehow useful
together isn't obvious. The rules are arcane and full of such
stuf....well, I digress (nothing unusual... :) )

You've definitely whetted my curiosity, though...

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

27/06/2011 10:13 AM

Mike Marlow wrote:

> dpb wrote:
>
>
>>
>>What _SPECIFIC_ risk are you talking about? What was the risk at
>>Yucca Mtn that's so horrific (other than Harry losing his powerful
>>position in NV and DC if he gets out of the way)???
>>
>
> Just the nature of the waste, and the fact that today, our storage strategy
> relies on the hope that nothing will go wrong - no earthquakes, no outside
> factors, that will disturb what is a fairly fragile storage strategy, and
> that at some point we'll have a better plan.
>
>
>>Carter killed reprocessing because he could not separate the weapons
>>proliferation issue from that of commercial fuel reprocessing (that
>>nasty bogey-man word "Plutonium" again). We see how well that worked;
>>it stymied any further development on the technical front as nobody is
>>going to invest in an area that is guaranteed to not even get
>>considered owing to government decree and the areas of the world that
>>were worried about as far as rogue weapons didn't care what the US
>>did anyway and went on their way (N Korea, Iran, ...).
>>
>
> I get that part, and I've not disagreed with that point, but I can't lay it
> all at the feet of the political decisions. Other countries have not been
> as hogtied as the US, and have proceeded with reprocessing, but while their
> waste issue are different (somewhat) than ours, they are also in some
> respects, the same waste issues. So - the French (which I continue to rely
> on for my examples, because I understand them to have committed more to
> nuclear than anyone else), are wrestling with waste issues even today. So,
> it appears that reprocessing, though offering a perfectly valid economical
> benefit, still suffers the issue of what to do with the stuff.
>
>
>>
>>Meanwhile, owing to those decisions, spent fuel continues to simply
>>accumulate at the reactor sites as there is no alternative allowed or
>>allowable at present. The current situation is _all_, fundamentally,
>>political in how we got to this quagmire because every alternative has
>>been closed to date by intervention from DC.
>>
>
> Not so much, as I understand it. Again - France is still dealing with what
> to do with their spent fuel.
...


Essentially for the same reasons we are...it doesn't matter what is the
proposed solution, there's some wacko group dreaming up some scenario
that has a one in a billion chance of coming true and that's the end of
that.

There is inherent risk in _anything_ and the likelihood of serious
injury or death from many other industrial wastes is far higher than
that for the disposal scenarios proposed; it's that the clamor for
infinitely safe is apparently demanded for this particular process
whereas as you've noted previously, really dumb things have been done in
the past on siting other industrial processes/facilities and you seem to
be ok w/ continuing down the same road there. Why the double standard???

Yucca Mtn was only "fragile" because of the mandate that it be
"monitored retrievable" storage....that meant all kinds of stuff to do
that. It surely would have been much better for all sorts of reasons
than just letting spent assemblies continue to sit in spent fuel pools.

I contend it is still essentially all political (and that is driven by
the special interest groups of all ilks that have banded together as
being anti-nuke for all sorts of underlying reasons from perceived risk
as you to environmental to simply anti-technology/development) here and
throughout the rest of the (more or less) democratic world.

BTW, I was reminded from another story last night of a feature of Carter
I had forgotten...it was he who got us going on corn ethanol because of
his misguided boycott on exporting grain to the Russians over the
Olympics and that was his answer to the resultant crash in the domestic
grain markets from having killed the markets. It's taken almost 30 yrs
to recover viable markets internal and external from that disaster and
the current administration is almost as hostile to ag in holding up
current approval of trade treaties that have been on hold since they
took office. Meanwhile, altho we're losing out every year in those
markets and will have tough road to recovery when they finally do get
approved (assuming will, eventually) ag is one of the few positive trade
balance areas in the US economy and they're doing about everything can
to stifle it and make us less competitive worldwide. Hard to figure
what goes on in their heads... :(

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

27/06/2011 1:45 PM

dpb wrote:

> Mike Marlow wrote:
>
>> dpb wrote:
>>
>>
>>>
>>> What _SPECIFIC_ risk are you talking about? What was the risk at
>>> Yucca Mtn that's so horrific (other than Harry losing his powerful
>>> position in NV and DC if he gets out of the way)???
>>>
>>
>> Just the nature of the waste, and the fact that today, our storage
>> strategy relies on the hope that nothing will go wrong - no
>> earthquakes, no outside factors, that will disturb what is a fairly
>> fragile storage strategy, and that at some point we'll have a better
>> plan.
...


Speaking of which, all of the above "relies on" are bogus even for the
spent fuel pools.

Certainly any repository site or other alternative has included design
basis earthquake, outside threaths, etc., etc, etc., ...

It's simply nonsense to say that...hell, the damn transport casks have
even been tested w/ full-scale train collisions w/ no harmful releases
and that _still_ doesn't satisfy the critics...there's nothing that
would ever satisfy the critics because they don't have any intent of
being satisfied; adequate safeguards aren't their objective, total
shutdown is the goal.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

28/06/2011 8:40 AM

Mike Marlow wrote:

> dpb wrote:
>
>
> Sorry - hit Send too soon...
>
>
>>I contend it is still essentially all political (and that is driven by
>>the special interest groups of all ilks that have banded together as
>>being anti-nuke for all sorts of underlying reasons from perceived
>>risk as you to environmental to simply anti-technology/development)
>>here and throughout the rest of the (more or less) democratic world.
>>
>>
>
> Perceived risks? Come on - how can a guy that lived his career in the
> nuclear industry not admit the very real risks? Your credibility is quickly
> waining when you make such statements. Your very own industry experts do
> not diminish those risks in the same manner you try to.


I don't minimize risk; what I have noted is that it doesn't seem that
threre is any satisfying a large number of critics no matter what is
done...the shipping cask testing is just one example. A definitive test
that will survive a catastrophic accident and still shipping was one of
the "insurmountable difficulties" raised.

There are some considered critics, granted, but the position I
characterize w/ Harry Reid and the populist politics seems to me to be
the controlling factor in setting public policy rather than actual
cost:benefit risk analysis.

There has been one really severe nuclear accident in the world in the
history of nuclear power; Chernobyl and that it was so significant a
result owed to the design and primarily that the USSR built reactors w/o
any primary containment whatsoever. Because of that, it has no bearing
on any other facility presently operating.

In the US, TMI caused no discernible injuries and was the instigator for
major revisions in design modifications and upgrades to the current
generation of facilities.

The Fukushima incident has, afaict, had no personal injuries offsite and
no deaths although some onsite exposures (which, it appears, for the
most part could have largely been avoided). As for the tsunami, indeed
it appears the design basis event was under-estimated for the site; that
issue is being addressed all over the world already even in places that
have no chance of ever seing tsunamis for alternative scenarios. There
will undoubtedly be new procedures and safeguards placed on whichever
facilities are in the region you're near. Note, however, that even w/
the severity of the earthquake in Japan, the physical integrity of the
plants was not compromised other than by the loss of cooling owing to
the tsunami, not the tremor.

Overall, compared to any other major technology in widespread use, the
actual number of deaths and injuries from commercial nuclear power
accidents continues to leave it w/ far and away the best safety record
of any. That there will continue to be improvements and modifications
is certainly true and reasoned input is always useful but expecting
there to never be any conceivable incident is also unrealistic.

My contention remains that nuclear-related perceived risk is ranked far
higher than the realities of the actual happenings. Surely it is
unfortunate that any of these have occurred but then again, there could
be another large airliner be lost tomorrow over the South Atlantic w/
multi-hundred passengers to an apparent severe thunderstorm and yet
virtually nobody would choose to not get on _their_ flight the next day
following despite that event. OTOH, there's already movement to close
nuclear facilities in places that have no chances of tsunamis by
reacting to Japan; it makes no comparative sense whatever.

--

mI

"m II"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 9:36 AM

Battery recycling and reprocessing has started. How efficient it is I do not
know.

------------------
"Leon" wrote in message
news:[email protected]...
So when you mention battery technology being so far along, do you
consider the down side that it is a nasty business to be disposing of
the spent batteries? Typically the battery cars life cycle from
beginning to end today use more energy and pollute more during the
manufacturing, consumer operation, and disposal process than the Hummer.

The electrics look good if you only consider the consumer benefit. They
are not any better for the environment during manufacture and disposal.

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/04/2011 9:25 PM


"whit3rd" wrote:

> In many areas, fly ash isn't 'dumped', but becomes a component
> of cement mix (where it doesn't hurt the final product, and
> is a benefit to the cement plant because they don't have to
> pay to get this part of their raw material shipped in).
> Cinderblock used to be a way to recycle clinker from ironworks...
------------------------------------------
A rather small percentage of the total generated fly ash gets reused
as a raw material for other products such as cement as you suggest;
however, tremendous amounts are shipped to open pit storage
facilities.

Since fly ash contains carcinogens known to cause cancer, disposing of
it in such a careless manner (open pit) is not indicative of good
corporate citizenship, IMHO.

Man has been mucking up the planet with his waste probably for as long
as he has been standing upright.

The present energy industry is simply the latest form of it's
manifestation.

Lew

Rr

RicodJour

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

25/06/2011 5:54 AM

On Jun 25, 12:53=A0am, Larry Jaques <[email protected]>
wrote:
> On Fri, 24 Jun 2011 14:20:06 -0400, "Mike Marlow" <mmarlowREM...@windstre=
am.net> wrote:
> >Larry Jaques wrote:
> >> On Fri, 24 Jun 2011 07:49:57 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
> >> <[email protected]> wrote:
> >>> Robatoy wrote:
>
> >>>> I am all for oversight. There's always a chance that a privately
> >>>> owned utility will try shortcuts to improve their bottom line.
> >>>> We have a good sized unit just 1.5 hrs up the lake from here (
> >>>>http://www.brucepower.com/about-us/) and they are all over those
> >>>> guys. The rest of the nukes are monitored by themselves, NOT a good
> >>>> plan.
>
> >> Remember that all the nuclear generating units insure the others. Any
> >> accident costs for one unit come out of the pockets of the other
> >> units. =A0None of them wants to see the other guy falter.
>
> >>> I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that
> >>> approach! But - even a well run plant does not address the issues of
> >>> accidents and waste disposal. =A0Both of those offer a far more disma=
l
> >>> future than the thought of depleting natural gas.
>
> >> How many thousands of man-years of safe nuclear power have we had
> >> already? Over three thousand. Actual accidents pale in comparison to
> >> you guy's unsubstantiated fears. =A0I lived about 20 miles directly
> >> downwind of SONGS for 35 years and I don't glow in the dark, Mike.
>
> >Really??? =A03 Mile Island. =A0Chernobyl, Japan. =A0it does not take a l=
arge
> >number with nukes, to create a large impact. =A0One is all it takes.
>
> Poor dear. You probably took "The China Syndrome" to heart, didn't
> you? =A0So sorry. =A0Here's the data: More people die on our highways eac=
h
> year than have died in all the years we've had nuclear power,
> including the 3 largest accidents. =A0As a percentage, the risk is very
> small compared to almost every other type of accident in our lives. In
> the nuclear industry, there has been a very low accident rate. Why the
> unfounded fears, Mikey?

I'm reading up from the bottom, and replying as I go - this is
amazing. If people are either overly worried or not, that doesn't
mean there is or isn't a reason to be worried. Using the word fear in
your reply to Mike is a tweakster's game. Would it be okay with you
if he had a valid concern, which is how it reads to me?

> >I don't glow in the dark either, and I'm 11 miles from 3 of them. =A0Dow=
nwind.
> >But - you're gone from them now, right? =A0Were you as much of an advoca=
te,
> >with no concerns, when you lived nearer to them? =A0
>
> Yes and yes. =A0I had friends who worked there. One was a hot jumper. He
> climbed into the vessel in a hot suit and connected the hook to pull
> the rods and refuel the nukes. =A0I believe his longest time down was 30
> minutes, with 15 average. =A0He sired a couple non-glowing kids, too.

So if everybody wore hot suits and wasn't exposed for more than a
short period, didn't drink contaminated water, eat contaminated food
or breath contaminated air, then they'd be alright. Okay, I can buy
that.

> >What if the disposal site was determined to be 10 miles from you? =A0
>
> Sure, not a prob.
>
> >I'm not anti-nuke. =A0I don't fear nukes. =A0
>
> That's certainly not how your posts have been reading.

I entirely disagree. (remember I'm reading up from the bottom)

> >I do however, think that a great deal more thought needs to go into
> >nukes than what comes out in discussions like this. =A0
>
> It does and it will continue.

Well, while I admire the optimism, I have to agree with Mike.
Discussions like this don't really inform people, don't change
opinions and don't elicit a great deal of more thought.
Unfortunately, like most things sports/politics/religion, discussions
like this consist of two parties expressing their preconceived notions
and attempting to shoot down the other guy's notions.

> >Too many people advocating nukes without thinking about the ramification=
s.
>
> I entirely disagree.

How can you say that? Switch it around - "Too many people objecting
to nukes without thinking about the ramifications." You clearly
believe that to be the case, so why wouldn't the opposite hold as
well? There are _always_ people voting yes or no when they don't have
sufficient information, whatever that is, and making emotional
decisions. Your "I entirely disagree" being an example. ;)

> >> France has shown us that we -don't- have to store everything and we
> >> -can- reprocess spent fuel instead of storing it. It's time we came up
> >> to speed. Our grid needs help NOW!
>
> >> Chernobyl, TMI, and Fukushima have been illustrative of how we can
> >> better build even safer units.
>
> >We can... but will we? =A0And then again - what about the damned waste? =
=A0The
> >one question that everyone dances around. =A0Even France - not bound by =
the US
> >restrictions, has only minimized our level of risk - they have not
> >addressed/dealt with the matter. =A0The stuff is dangerous. =A0More dang=
erous
> >than oil, coal, and NG.
>
> Read _Terrestrial Energy_ some time, Mike. =A0Good book. Tucker did his
> homework. =A0http://goo.gl/gHzts

I haven't read this whole thread, just bits and pieces, but I'm
curious why nobody seems to be talking about the situation at the
reactor in Nebraska - the one where the flood waters are nipping at
it's heels, the one with what essentially constitutes a news
blackout. Why is that?

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/24/us-flooding-nuclear-idUSTRE75N6QP=
20110624

It's not Fukushima, but it could be if the flooding continues.
Reactors need water, and flooding comes with the territory. They've
improved safety, but it's just a betting game as usual.

http://allthingsnuclear.org/post/6795320523/the-nrc-in-action

R

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

25/06/2011 4:00 PM

Larry Jaques wrote:

>
> Poor dear. You probably took "The China Syndrome" to heart, didn't
> you? So sorry. Here's the data: More people die on our highways each
> year than have died in all the years we've had nuclear power,
> including the 3 largest accidents. As a percentage, the risk is very
> small compared to almost every other type of accident in our lives. In
> the nuclear industry, there has been a very low accident rate. Why the
> unfounded fears, Mikey?

Nope - did not take China Syndrom to heart. I have watched as fail safes
failed to be safe in more than one nuclear accident though, and I am smart
enough to realize that the short 30 year history of this industry is no form
of reassurance. As things age, and stockpiles build up, we are only now
reaching points where some of the real concerns become real. Take a look
back at what I've written. I'm not anti-nuke, I've only spoken of the
potential for disaster if an accident does happen - and the evidence is
there to see it. It is much more catastrophic than competing technologies
available today, including fly ash floods. One cannot be lulled into
carelessnes just because the number of incidents is low. The impact from
each is much bigger than the impact from a slurry flow. The only other
point I've spoken on is the matter of waste. It does not matter what the
reasons are for waste stockpiles, they are there and they are not benign.
Much less benign than fly ash. It would be foolish not to recognize this.

>
>
>> I don't glow in the dark either, and I'm 11 miles from 3 of them.
>> Downwind. But - you're gone from them now, right? Were you as much
>> of an advocate, with no concerns, when you lived nearer to them?
>
> Yes and yes. I had friends who worked there. One was a hot jumper. He
> climbed into the vessel in a hot suit and connected the hook to pull
> the rods and refuel the nukes. I believe his longest time down was 30
> minutes, with 15 average. He sired a couple non-glowing kids, too.
>

You misunderstand my postion. I do not fear nukes and I do not expect to
glow in the dark.

>
>> What if the disposal site was determined to be 10 miles from you?
>
> Sure, not a prob.
>
>
>> I'm not anti-nuke. I don't fear
>> nukes.
>
> That's certainly not how your posts have been reading.
>

Might be worth re-reading them without that notion in your mind.

>
> Read _Terrestrial Energy_ some time, Mike. Good book. Tucker did his
> homework. http://goo.gl/gHzts

I think I might just do that.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

25/06/2011 7:19 AM

On Jun 25, 9:46=A0am, Swingman <[email protected]> wrote:
> On 6/25/2011 6:41 AM, Han wrote:
>
>
>
> > peak demand suppliers). =A0But, and this is the big but: =A0Fukushima h=
as
> > emphasized the consequences of poor planning, poor training and bad cha=
ins
> > of command. =A0Even in the US there are likely plants that need better
> > emergency management procedures and training. =A0IMNSHO another of the
> > insiduous problems is tritium leaks. =A0Because tritium is such a low l=
evel
> > radioactive compound it is hard to detect. =A0Nevertheless, if ingested=
in
> > one chemical form or another, the biological danger is greater than man=
y
> > other radioactive compounds. =A0Nuclear power plants need to clean up a=
nd
> > monitor their piping ...
>
> While I agree entirely with everything you say, I keep going back to the
> fact that 18,000 in Japan died in a "natural" disaster and none have yet
> to die in the nuclear component.
>
> While a few may eventually do so, this recent event seems an
> irrefutable, as well as historical and statistical, validation of the
> favorable RISK/BENEFIT ratio inherent in the nuclear power industry.
>
> Scientific endeavor will always involve a RISK/BENEFIT ratio when
> applying its results for mankind's use.
>
> While the application is only as perfect as the imperfection of the
> humans applying it, in this case it appears to be well justified to put
> a heavy emphasis on same.
>
> --www.e-woodshop.net
> Last update: 4/15/2010
> KarlC@ (the obvious)

In a nutshell.

Sk

Swingman

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

25/06/2011 8:46 AM

On 6/25/2011 6:41 AM, Han wrote:
>

> peak demand suppliers). But, and this is the big but: Fukushima has
> emphasized the consequences of poor planning, poor training and bad chains
> of command. Even in the US there are likely plants that need better
> emergency management procedures and training. IMNSHO another of the
> insiduous problems is tritium leaks. Because tritium is such a low level
> radioactive compound it is hard to detect. Nevertheless, if ingested in
> one chemical form or another, the biological danger is greater than many
> other radioactive compounds. Nuclear power plants need to clean up and
> monitor their piping ...

While I agree entirely with everything you say, I keep going back to the
fact that 18,000 in Japan died in a "natural" disaster and none have yet
to die in the nuclear component.

While a few may eventually do so, this recent event seems an
irrefutable, as well as historical and statistical, validation of the
favorable RISK/BENEFIT ratio inherent in the nuclear power industry.

Scientific endeavor will always involve a RISK/BENEFIT ratio when
applying its results for mankind's use.

While the application is only as perfect as the imperfection of the
humans applying it, in this case it appears to be well justified to put
a heavy emphasis on same.

--
www.e-woodshop.net
Last update: 4/15/2010
KarlC@ (the obvious)

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

08/07/2011 11:39 AM

On Jul 6, 11:46=A0pm, Larry Jaques <[email protected]>
wrote:
> On Wed, 6 Jul 2011 15:30:49 -0700 (PDT), Robatoy
>
>
>
>
>
> <[email protected]> wrote:
> >On Jul 6, 12:54 am, Larry Jaques <[email protected]>
> >wrote:
>
> >> Thanks to liberals and other unfounded fear mongers.
>
> >> Way to go, guys!
>
> >O, forfuksakes. Fear has been used to control the masses for eons.
> >Hell, the whole 'Hell' idea was conjured up by some power-hungry
> >padres. "Keep them suckers in line by scaring them into believing a
> >BAD eternity awaits those who don't fall into line and contribute to
> >the coffers of the bishops." Jacq-O, the Right even manages to create
> >fears out of thin air, it is not an exclusive of libtards, but it is
> >manipulated skillfully by those who want control....like the parents
> >of yore telling their unruly children there's a boogie-man under the
> >bed.
>
> I'm as contemptuous of "the religious wrong" as the libtards.
>
> >Who do we get taxed to death? Because if we don't, THE =A0I R S =A0is
> >gonna ruin you!!! What if the whole country decided to tell the IRS to
> >go fuck themselves... just exactly how much power would they have? All
> >those mofo's have is what you give them. Fire the FED... they are NOT
> >elected and neither is the IRS... they're private companies behaving
> >badly.
> >And what if the whole country decided to try to go it without power
> >for a few days. Have a BBQ, take a walk, swim,...and turn everything
> >OFF.
>
> It'd be _horrible_, wouldn't it? =A0;)
>
> >>http://goo.gl/oqvr7shuttingdown wind farms?
>
> >Oh wait... these windmills are 'instant ON'....no cost for them to sit
> >there other than the bleed to feed the creative funding packages.
>
> >*feeling a little rebellious today*
>
> Big banana crop comin' in, eh?
>
> --
> Fear not those who argue but those who dodge.
> =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0-- Marie Ebner von Eschenbach

A cute joke from my childhood: "Why are bananas curved?"
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
wait for it
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
A: "otherwise they won't fit in the peel!!!!"

Hn

Han

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

25/06/2011 11:41 AM

Larry Jaques <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> Read _Terrestrial Energy_ some time, Mike. Good book. Tucker did his
> homework. http://goo.gl/gHzts

That looks and sounds a little too much like biased propaganda. But I
agree, nucear energy might be a very good long term alternative to support
wind, solar and geothermal power (over coal, oil and also natural gas as
peak demand suppliers). But, and this is the big but: Fukushima has
emphasized the consequences of poor planning, poor training and bad chains
of command. Even in the US there are likely plants that need better
emergency management procedures and training. IMNSHO another of the
insiduous problems is tritium leaks. Because tritium is such a low level
radioactive compound it is hard to detect. Nevertheless, if ingested in
one chemical form or another, the biological danger is greater than many
other radioactive compounds. Nuclear power plants need to clean up and
monitor their piping ...

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

25/06/2011 3:12 PM

Swingman <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> On 6/25/2011 6:41 AM, Han wrote:
>>
>
>> peak demand suppliers). But, and this is the big but: Fukushima has
>> emphasized the consequences of poor planning, poor training and bad
>> chains of command. Even in the US there are likely plants that need
>> better emergency management procedures and training. IMNSHO another
>> of the insiduous problems is tritium leaks. Because tritium is such
>> a low level radioactive compound it is hard to detect. Nevertheless,
>> if ingested in one chemical form or another, the biological danger is
>> greater than many other radioactive compounds. Nuclear power plants
>> need to clean up and monitor their piping ...
>
> While I agree entirely with everything you say, I keep going back to
> the fact that 18,000 in Japan died in a "natural" disaster and none
> have yet to die in the nuclear component.
>
> While a few may eventually do so, this recent event seems an
> irrefutable, as well as historical and statistical, validation of the
> favorable RISK/BENEFIT ratio inherent in the nuclear power industry.
>
> Scientific endeavor will always involve a RISK/BENEFIT ratio when
> applying its results for mankind's use.
>
> While the application is only as perfect as the imperfection of the
> humans applying it, in this case it appears to be well justified to
> put a heavy emphasis on same.

Very well said, Karl!!
But I would like to be somewhere else than where I am now if and when
something goes really wrong at Indian Point in New York. Note that I am
quietly staying where I am, 25.5 miles from those nuclear plants.

:-)}

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

06/07/2011 8:46 PM

On Wed, 6 Jul 2011 15:30:49 -0700 (PDT), Robatoy
<[email protected]> wrote:

>On Jul 6, 12:54 am, Larry Jaques <[email protected]>
>wrote:
>
>
>>
>> Thanks to liberals and other unfounded fear mongers.
>>
>>      Way to go, guys!
>
>O, forfuksakes. Fear has been used to control the masses for eons.
>Hell, the whole 'Hell' idea was conjured up by some power-hungry
>padres. "Keep them suckers in line by scaring them into believing a
>BAD eternity awaits those who don't fall into line and contribute to
>the coffers of the bishops." Jacq-O, the Right even manages to create
>fears out of thin air, it is not an exclusive of libtards, but it is
>manipulated skillfully by those who want control....like the parents
>of yore telling their unruly children there's a boogie-man under the
>bed.

I'm as contemptuous of "the religious wrong" as the libtards.


>Who do we get taxed to death? Because if we don't, THE I R S is
>gonna ruin you!!! What if the whole country decided to tell the IRS to
>go fuck themselves... just exactly how much power would they have? All
>those mofo's have is what you give them. Fire the FED... they are NOT
>elected and neither is the IRS... they're private companies behaving
>badly.
>And what if the whole country decided to try to go it without power
>for a few days. Have a BBQ, take a walk, swim,...and turn everything
>OFF.

It'd be _horrible_, wouldn't it? ;)


>> http://goo.gl/oqvr7shutting down wind farms?
>>
>Oh wait... these windmills are 'instant ON'....no cost for them to sit
>there other than the bleed to feed the creative funding packages.
>
>*feeling a little rebellious today*

Big banana crop comin' in, eh?

--
Fear not those who argue but those who dodge.
-- Marie Ebner von Eschenbach

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

24/06/2011 9:53 PM

On Fri, 24 Jun 2011 14:20:06 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
<[email protected]> wrote:

>Larry Jaques wrote:
>> On Fri, 24 Jun 2011 07:49:57 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
>> <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> Robatoy wrote:
>>>
>>>>
>>>> I am all for oversight. There's always a chance that a privately
>>>> owned utility will try shortcuts to improve their bottom line.
>>>> We have a good sized unit just 1.5 hrs up the lake from here (
>>>> http://www.brucepower.com/about-us/ ) and they are all over those
>>>> guys. The rest of the nukes are monitored by themselves, NOT a good
>>>> plan.
>>
>> Remember that all the nuclear generating units insure the others. Any
>> accident costs for one unit come out of the pockets of the other
>> units. None of them wants to see the other guy falter.
>>
>>
>>> I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that
>>> approach! But - even a well run plant does not address the issues of
>>> accidents and waste disposal. Both of those offer a far more dismal
>>> future than the thought of depleting natural gas.
>>
>> How many thousands of man-years of safe nuclear power have we had
>> already? Over three thousand. Actual accidents pale in comparison to
>> you guy's unsubstantiated fears. I lived about 20 miles directly
>> downwind of SONGS for 35 years and I don't glow in the dark, Mike.
>
>Really??? 3 Mile Island. Chernobyl, Japan. it does not take a large
>number with nukes, to create a large impact. One is all it takes.

Poor dear. You probably took "The China Syndrome" to heart, didn't
you? So sorry. Here's the data: More people die on our highways each
year than have died in all the years we've had nuclear power,
including the 3 largest accidents. As a percentage, the risk is very
small compared to almost every other type of accident in our lives. In
the nuclear industry, there has been a very low accident rate. Why the
unfounded fears, Mikey?


>I don't glow in the dark either, and I'm 11 miles from 3 of them. Downwind.
>But - you're gone from them now, right? Were you as much of an advocate,
>with no concerns, when you lived nearer to them?

Yes and yes. I had friends who worked there. One was a hot jumper. He
climbed into the vessel in a hot suit and connected the hook to pull
the rods and refuel the nukes. I believe his longest time down was 30
minutes, with 15 average. He sired a couple non-glowing kids, too.


>What if the disposal site was determined to be 10 miles from you?

Sure, not a prob.


>I'm not anti-nuke. I don't fear
>nukes.

That's certainly not how your posts have been reading.


>I do however, think that a great deal more thought needs to go into
>nukes than what comes out in discussions like this.

It does and it will continue.


>Too many people advocating nukes without thinking about the ramifications.

I entirely disagree.

>> France has shown us that we -don't- have to store everything and we
>> -can- reprocess spent fuel instead of storing it. It's time we came up
>> to speed. Our grid needs help NOW!
>>
>> Chernobyl, TMI, and Fukushima have been illustrative of how we can
>> better build even safer units.
>
>We can... but will we? And then again - what about the damned waste? The
>one question that everyone dances around. Even France - not bound by the US
>restrictions, has only minimized our level of risk - they have not
>addressed/dealt with the matter. The stuff is dangerous. More dangerous
>than oil, coal, and NG.

Read _Terrestrial Energy_ some time, Mike. Good book. Tucker did his
homework. http://goo.gl/gHzts


--
You can't wait for inspiration. You have to go after it with a club.
--Jack London

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

09/08/2011 9:57 AM

On 09 Aug 2011 16:23:06 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:

>Larry Jaques <[email protected]> wrote in
>news:[email protected]:
>
>> A 35,000' drop is an awful lot for a stall without any recovery.
>> I have to question that conclusion. Got a cite for it? If nothing
>> else, even a fairly newly licensed pilot would have a better feel for
>> pitch attitude than that would indicate.
>
>I read this somewhere. Remember, the plane was buffeted by really bad
>weather, the instruments gave conflicting readings, probably was near pitch
>black.

Yeah, if they were in the middle of a thunderhead, I guess their
bodies wouldh't have the opportunity to stabilize long enough to
discern which was was up.


>There was somewhere a preliminary reading of the black boxes that
>were finally recovered. A miracle in itselfthat they were found, in the
>middle of the ocean, no reliable position known until just about then.

I _guess_!

--
Fear not those who argue but those who dodge.
-- Marie Ebner von Eschenbach

Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 01/04/2011 9:25 PM

25/06/2011 7:49 PM

Mike Marlow wrote:
> Larry Jaques wrote:
>
>>
>> Poor dear. You probably took "The China Syndrome" to heart, didn't
>> you? So sorry. Here's the data: More people die on our highways
>> each year than have died in all the years we've had nuclear power,
>> including the 3 largest accidents. As a percentage, the risk is very
>> small compared to almost every other type of accident in our lives.
>> In the nuclear industry, there has been a very low accident rate.
>> Why the unfounded fears, Mikey?
>
> Nope - did not take China Syndrom to heart. I have watched as fail
> safes failed to be safe in more than one nuclear accident though, and
> I am smart enough to realize that the short 30 year history of this
> industry is no form of reassurance. As things age, and stockpiles
> build up, we are only now reaching points where some of the real
> concerns become real. Take a look back at what I've written. I'm
> not anti-nuke, I've only spoken of the potential for disaster if an
> accident does happen - and the evidence is there to see it. It is
> much more catastrophic than competing technologies available today,
> including fly ash floods. One cannot be lulled into carelessnes just
> because the number of incidents is low. The impact from each is much
> bigger than the impact from a slurry flow. The only other point I've
> spoken on is the matter of waste. It does not matter what the
> reasons are for waste stockpiles, they are there and they are not
> benign. Much less benign than fly ash. It would be foolish not to
> recognize this.

Are you aware the most dangerous of power generation methods is
hydroelectic?

Dams don't fail very often, but, boy, when they do the death toll is
monstrous.

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

30/05/2011 3:55 PM

Looks like Germany is taking the lead.

http://tinyurl.com/3pcx2jh


Lew


LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 30/05/2011 3:55 PM

25/06/2011 6:16 AM

On 25 Jun 2011 11:41:58 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:

>Larry Jaques <[email protected]> wrote in
>news:[email protected]:
>
>> Read _Terrestrial Energy_ some time, Mike. Good book. Tucker did his
>> homework. http://goo.gl/gHzts
>
>That looks and sounds a little too much like biased propaganda.

Read it and tell me you still think so, Han. I doubt you could. Swing
by your library on your way home some day and grab a copy.


>But I
>agree, nucear energy might be a very good long term alternative to support
>wind, solar and geothermal power (over coal, oil and also natural gas as
>peak demand suppliers).

So far, it's the only one.

>But, and this is the big but: Fukushima has
>emphasized the consequences of poor planning, poor training and bad chains
>of command. Even in the US there are likely plants that need better
>emergency management procedures and training.

Agreed.


>IMNSHO another of the
>insiduous problems is tritium leaks. Because tritium is such a low level
>radioactive compound it is hard to detect. Nevertheless, if ingested in
>one chemical form or another, the biological danger is greater than many
>other radioactive compounds. Nuclear power plants need to clean up and
>monitor their piping ...

True! I wouldn't want to drink tritium water from my well.

--
Invest in America: Buy a CONgresscritter today!

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 30/05/2011 3:55 PM

01/06/2011 5:45 PM

On Wed, 01 Jun 2011 17:46:15 -0500, Swingman <[email protected]> wrote:

>On 6/1/2011 4:17 PM, Just Wondering wrote:
>> On 6/1/2011 12:50 PM, Swingman wrote:
>>> On 6/1/2011 1:02 PM, chaniarts wrote:
>>>> Han wrote:
>>>>> dpb<[email protected]> wrote in news:[email protected]:
>>>>>
>>>>>> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or
>>>>>> in Germany. Baseload is still an issue.
>>>>>
>>>>> Probably less of a problem in Germany than hereabouts.
>>>>
>>>> but it's much windier elsewhere in europe than germany. without a
>>>> european-wide energy producer, they're going to have to buy power from
>>>> elsewhere. that elsewhere is going to have to use nuclear, so they're
>>>> just
>>>> exporting their problem to another country.
>>>
>>> This whole is issue is purely political and based on neither science,
>>> nor 40 years of statistical evidence with regard to the risk versus
>>> reward of nuclear electrical generation.
>>>
>>> I listen to "Democracy Now" on the local Pacific radio daily, simply as
>>> a constant reminder as to just how much these people who produce it hate
>>> the thought of a sucessful democracy ... it is exactly the same mindset
>>> with regard to nuclear energy.
>>
>> In the entire history of the world, has there ever been a single
>> instance of a successful democracy?
>
>If you equate success with longevity, the jury is still out. (and this
>one won't last much longer at the current rate)
>
>> I'm curious.
>> In the last 50 years, how much electrical energy has been produced,
>> worldwide, by plants powered by (a) coal, (b) other fossil fuels, (c)
>> nuclear energy, and (d) all other energy sources combined?
>> During the same 50 years, how many people have been killed, and how many
>> injured, as the result of the use of (a) coal, (b) other fossil fuels,
>> (c) nuclear energy, and (d) all other energy sources combined?
>> The mortality/injury rates should include the processes of extracting
>> the energy source and transporting it to point-of-use.
>> I don't know, but I rather suspect that the death/injury rate per
>> megawatt for nuclear power is lower than the other categories.
>
>That is exactly my point, and just a much longer winded way of saying
>the same thing. For those who prefer wordy illumination:
>
>Reward versus risk is a tradeoff in all basic human endeabors from
>hunter gathering to fishing for dinner, and nuclear energy is provably,
>and statistically, far less riskier than your choice of geographic
>location, from Joplin MO to Japan.

Tell 'em "Get with it, folks. LIFE is a risk." ;)


>Nuclear energy may not be the winner in the long run, some new
>technology will eventually come along, but currently it is far and above
>the best possible "risk versus reward" choice, except to the fuzzy
>thinking bunch.

I'd prefer safe fusion to safe fission, but it's not here yet.
Soon, though.


>But you have to consider that most of the anti-nuclear bunch are of the
>EXACT same political mindset as those who want to outlaw male
>circumcision in San Francisco, a special breed of progressive dickheads
>who would apparently benefit greatly from the act themselves ...

No, the world would benefit greatly from their complete testicular
excision, not just a bit of skin. They'd be even more eunuch after
that, huh? Oops, I meant "unique".



--
Education is when you read the fine print.
Experience is what you get if you don't.
-- Pete Seeger

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 30/05/2011 3:55 PM

25/06/2011 6:22 PM

On Sat, 25 Jun 2011 16:00:08 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
<[email protected]> wrote:

>Larry Jaques wrote:
>
>>
>> Poor dear. You probably took "The China Syndrome" to heart, didn't
>> you? So sorry. Here's the data: More people die on our highways each
>> year than have died in all the years we've had nuclear power,
>> including the 3 largest accidents. As a percentage, the risk is very
>> small compared to almost every other type of accident in our lives. In
>> the nuclear industry, there has been a very low accident rate. Why the
>> unfounded fears, Mikey?
>
>Nope - did not take China Syndrom to heart. I have watched as fail safes
>failed to be safe in more than one nuclear accident though, and I am smart
>enough to realize that the short 30 year history of this industry is no form
>of reassurance. As things age, and stockpiles build up, we are only now
>reaching points where some of the real concerns become real. Take a look
>back at what I've written. I'm not anti-nuke, I've only spoken of the
>potential for disaster if an accident does happen - and the evidence is
>there to see it. It is much more catastrophic than competing technologies
>available today, including fly ash floods. One cannot be lulled into
>carelessnes just because the number of incidents is low. The impact from
>each is much bigger than the impact from a slurry flow.

They can be, but aren't always. Some tidbits: http://goo.gl/lw6N ,
http://ibe.sagepub.com/content/15/2/187.abstract .


>The only other
>point I've spoken on is the matter of waste. It does not matter what the
>reasons are for waste stockpiles, they are there and they are not benign.
>Much less benign than fly ash. It would be foolish not to recognize this.

Isn't a lot of that fly ash radioactive, too? Coal is rich in uranium
and thorium. And what about Chinese fly ash drywall? There's nothing
benign about that stuff. http://goo.gl/r8DyV The last two sentences
of this video are interesting. (fly ash contains several enviro.
toxins such as arsenic, cadmium, and lead)


>>> I'm not anti-nuke. I don't fear
>>> nukes.
>>
>> That's certainly not how your posts have been reading.
>>
>
>Might be worth re-reading them without that notion in your mind.

Your further posts have been enlightening. I wrote this quoted reply
before you wrote those, or at the same time, before I read them.
I sit corrected.


>> Read _Terrestrial Energy_ some time, Mike. Good book. Tucker did his
>> homework. http://goo.gl/gHzts
>
>I think I might just do that.

I didn't agree with all of his conclusions or thoughts, but I think
his is the most fair overview I've seen in print yet.

--
Invest in America: Buy a CONgresscritter today!

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 3:52 PM

"HeyBub" wrote:

> So what is Germany to use to power electrical generation plants?
>
> I know! Oil and natural gas!
>
> There goes the demand curve - and the price.
-----------------------------------
"Han" wrote:

> Germany is actually pretty big on renewables. Often wind. It was
> stated
> that the "emergency" shutdown of some 7 big nuclear plants hadn't
> caused
> any problems with electricity supply, so they thought they could
> handle the
> mothballing of the remaining plants fairly easily.
>
> Of course the customer will pay for any costs ...

---------------------------------

> Now Han, ya gotta cut the stupid some slack, for they know not what
> they are spouting off about.

As far as Germany being able to produce renewable energy at a
competitive price, they already do it.

Much of it using equipment built by an in-house outfit by the name of
Siemens.


Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 5:56 PM


"J. Clarke" wrote:

> Looks like the Germans are going back to coal. No doubt they'll
> come up
> with some overengineerd baroque monstrosity intended to be "clean".
---------------------------------
Probably be a good idea to have your eyes checked along with learning
how to understand what you think you read.
---------------------------------

"The plan calls for more investment in natural gas plants as a backup
to prevent blackouts, the chancellor said."

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 6:09 PM


"dpb" wrote:

> A) yes, B) not so much...it's pretty heavily subsidized.
---------------------------------
When the renewable energy business starts getting subsidized at the
same level the oil & coal businesses already receive, get back to me.
-------------------------------------
> They (Siemens) also have a facility in KS building for the US market
> (also quite heavily subsidized).
------------------------------------
Glad to see you gained some jobs in KS.
------------------------------------

> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or
> in Germany. Baseload is still an issue.
-------------------------------
You are quick nto point out the wind doesn't blow 100% of the time.

So what?

Renewable energy includes lots of sources other than wind.

Thermal/solar, geo-thermal, solar/electric, tidal, etc, come to mind.

The Germans seem to addressed the base load issue.

"The plan calls for more investment in natural gas plants as a backup
to prevent blackouts, the chancellor said."

Lew


LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 7:00 PM


dpb wrote:

> Like last couple of days--we had 18 hours of 30+ mph sustained wind
> w/
> 50-60 mph gusts until roughly 8 PM last night. Within an hour
> sustained
> winds dropped to under 10 and stayed there until just within the
> last
> hour or so today they've come back up to near 20 after being 15 or
> under
> the last 24. Of course, of the previous 12 hours prior to the time
> that
> they exceed 30 mph at roughly 1 PM, roughly 9 hrs were under 10 mph
> while the minimum generation level is 9 mph. That's hardly a
> consistent
> fuel source even if it is cheap. :)
-------------------------------------
First thing a sailor learns is how to productively deal with winds
that vary widely.

"Reef early" is something the prudent sailor learns early, if he is
going to survive.

Same principle applies to windmills.

Design for 100% output from 10MPH-20MPH wind velocities.

From 20MPH and up, start feathering the blades.

Good grief, it's not the end of the world.

It is very old technology.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 7:13 PM


"dpb" wrote:
> Take that baseload away from the nukes where's in coming from?
------------------------------------
Go back and read the article, your answer is in there.

As far as nuclear power is concerned, except for the navy, nuclear
power is a dead issue, IMHO.

GE had the smarts to walk away in the early 1970's.

Westinghouse stayed in the nuclear business for a while.

Where are they today?

The industry has had almost 50 years to reliably solve it's safety
issues and has failed miserably.

The world is quickly becoming fed up with the nuclear industry's bull
shit.

It's time to move on.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 7:23 PM


"Han" wrote:

> When Holland runs out, the Germans are going to be totally dependent
> on
> Russian gas. Doesn't sound really smart, but they'll know better
> ...

--------------------------------
Think methane, there is an almost an unlimited supply of poop.

Lots of waste treatment facilities are using captured methane to run
Co-Gen facilities.

There is a project under construction by the State of Ohio at the
Wooster Ag station to build a plant to process cattle waste and
generate electric power to run the rest of the facilities which
encompass several square miles.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 8:06 PM


"dpb" wrote:

> That would, indeed, be very old technology and would reduce the 40%
> installed annual average capacity factor to something under 20% just
> raising the cost/MWe _another_ factor of 2X (which is already 2X
> that of conventional generation for us and 3X that of our nuclear)
---------------------------------
Sounds like my design parameters are a tad conservative.

People have been known to say my stuff is built like a brick out
house.

Guess they were right.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 8:15 PM


"dpb" wrote:

> OK, here we are... :)
>
> Heavily involved w/ our local REC. We buy some wind power owing to
> the legislative mandate and the public relations end of it. It
> costs us 2X the cost of our conventional coal generation and almost
> 3X that from our share of Wolf Creek Nuclear.
-------------------------------------
Annualized, what kind of money are we talking about?
----------------------------------

> Well, as long as the tax incentives are in place and the legislative
> mandates that make the expense pay, I suppose they will be. In the
> long run it's not clear that forcing up utility rates for everybody
> else for the benefit of a few hundred jobs and lucky landowners is
> an overall paying proposition but I guess we'll see how it plays out
> over time.
----------------------------
Sounds like a plan.

> That is the stupidest use of natural gas that one can possibly make
> of it... :(
-------------------------
You are entitled to your opinion.

The operative phrase is "Back up" not "Primary".
--------------------------------
>
> And, they're trading near zero emissions and no C emissions for
> another increase in fossil. What happened to reducing C
> footprint????
-------------------------------
Look at the annualized total footprint and get back to me.
--------------------------------

> All in all, I think they're making a kneejerk reaction in the
> totally wrong direction for the wrong reasons.
---------------------------------
Tell that to the Japanese.

Lew

JW

Just Wondering

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 3:17 PM

On 6/1/2011 12:50 PM, Swingman wrote:
> On 6/1/2011 1:02 PM, chaniarts wrote:
>> Han wrote:
>>> dpb<[email protected]> wrote in news:[email protected]:
>>>
>>>> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or
>>>> in Germany. Baseload is still an issue.
>>>
>>> Probably less of a problem in Germany than hereabouts.
>>
>> but it's much windier elsewhere in europe than germany. without a
>> european-wide energy producer, they're going to have to buy power from
>> elsewhere. that elsewhere is going to have to use nuclear, so they're
>> just
>> exporting their problem to another country.
>
> This whole is issue is purely political and based on neither science,
> nor 40 years of statistical evidence with regard to the risk versus
> reward of nuclear electrical generation.
>
> I listen to "Democracy Now" on the local Pacific radio daily, simply as
> a constant reminder as to just how much these people who produce it hate
> the thought of a sucessful democracy ... it is exactly the same mindset
> with regard to nuclear energy.

In the entire history of the world, has there ever been a single
instance of a successful democracy?

I'm curious.
In the last 50 years, how much electrical energy has been produced,
worldwide, by plants powered by (a) coal, (b) other fossil fuels, (c)
nuclear energy, and (d) all other energy sources combined?
During the same 50 years, how many people have been killed, and how many
injured, as the result of the use of (a) coal, (b) other fossil fuels,
(c) nuclear energy, and (d) all other energy sources combined?
The mortality/injury rates should include the processes of extracting
the energy source and transporting it to point-of-use.
I don't know, but I rather suspect that the death/injury rate per
megawatt for nuclear power is lower than the other categories.

JW

Jeff Waldyke

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 6:32 PM

On 5/31/11 10:13 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> GE had the smarts to walk away in the early 1970's.

Not quite. Alive and well here in Wilmington, NC. Half my neighbors work
there, and I have done some work in their fuel rod production as well.

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 10:26 PM


I asked:
Annualized, what kind of money are we talking about?
----------------------------------
"dpb" wrote:

> 20% mandate will raise wholesale rates by roughly
> (0.8*1)+(0.2)[(0.7*2) + (0.3*3)] = 1.26 --> 26%
-------------------------------------
Interestingn gibberish but it doesn't answer the question.
----------------------------------


>>> That is the stupidest use of natural gas that one can possibly
>>> make
>>> of it... :(
>> -------------------------
>> You are entitled to your opinion.
>
> Indeed. Wasting dwindling gas supplies for central station power
> generation is just innately stupid.
--------------------------------------
> "Wasting dwindling gas supplies...."

I take it you don't accept all that oil industry propaganda about our
proven natural gas reserves.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 10:28 PM


"dpb" wrote:

> I guess I have to allow as there is at least one possibly worse use
> of n-gas--one could flare it
----------------------------------
Are you talking about a refinery or a landfill flare?


Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 10:43 PM


"dpb" wrote:

> I looked at the wind data for the nine years I had previously
> correlated to the output of the Gray County wind farm. I have only
> daily averages (24-hr sustained wind speed averages) and a maximum
> sustained daily wind speed on hand; going to the finer resolution
> would require downloading more data than I care to deal with on a
> dialup link.
>
> If one were to feather so that no extra energy were extracted above
> 10 mph, 97% of the days over those 9 years you would be leaving
> something on the table for at least a portion of those days.
>
> At 20 mph, the ratio is lower, of course, but my guess of 2 probably
> wasn't too terribly far off. The 9-yr average for that threshold is
> right at 60%.
>
> While they do feather the turbines (and shutdown speed is something
> around 55 mph iirc, I've not been able to find a specific criterion
> documented on whether that is sustained or measured gust or for what
> length of time to require shut down nor what time/threshold releases
> the rotor again), they are more sophisticated than to simply feather
> the blades at constant power at some relatively low windspeed.
> That's another aspect I've not seen the full details on that I'd
> like to know more about but as previously noted, there's an almost
> perfect 1:1 correlation w/ wind speed and generated output over
> these nine years so it's clear they extract more energy w/ more
> energy input (as one would expect and again demonstrating that the
> low average output isn't one of simply not operating at capacity as
> then the output would be essentially independent of the wind speed).
>
> It's unfortunate that there isn't a way to generate the maximum or a
> desired setpoint and have the output match that like a conventional
> generation device; that then would be the cat's meow, I'd agree.
> But w/ the fickle fuel source it requires a redundant generation
> source (or sources if those are also not highly reliable) and the
> fixed capital expense of those facilities means the real cost of the
> "free" fuel is actually quite high. And, of course, since all of
> these other sources are low density fuels, the capital cost for them
> per MWe is also pretty high.
---------------------------------
Engineering details that are being resolved.

Nobody said it was going to be easy, but we're are gaining on it.

Afterall, it took almost 10 years to get to the moon.

If you look at the cost of ownership equation, wind power has a very
high
front end cost, but after that operating costs drops drastically.

As every sailor knows, the wind is free, but putting it to use gets
expensive.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 10:46 PM


"Larry W" wrote:

> The oil industry has had 100 years and actually has failed
> miserably. Coal
> has had at least 200 and as for safety, really needs no comment.
> Nuclear
> power has had an extremely safe history, relative to fossil fuel,
> with
> far fewer deaths, illness, and environmental impact. Think of all
> the
> people who would be healthier or alive today, and the land and
> enviromment that would not have been ruined for future generations,
> if
> the USA produced electricity from nuclear power in the same
> proportion
> that, say, France does.
------------------------------------
You help to make the case for renewable energy sources.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 10:54 PM


"dpb" wrote:

> That's news to them and Hitachi, I'm sure...
-----------------------------
GE got out of the new reactor business in the 1970s, while I was
employed by them; however, they remain active in the renewal parts
business to support the units they had sold.
----------------------------------

>> Westinghouse stayed in the nuclear business for a while.
>
> Indeed they did...
>
>> Where are they today?
>
> Same place they've always been, Westinghouse Energy Center,
> Monroeville, PA (amongst a zillion other facilities worldwide)
--------------------------
Is there anything else remaining of "Circle W" as a business after the
nuke business?
------------------------------------

> At present there are 20 applications for 24 units submitted and
> docketed for licensing before the US NRC.
>
> Of these 6 are GE/Hitachi ABWR or ESBWR, 12 are W AP1000 and the
> remaining 6 are Areva EPR designs.
>
> B&W has just recently formed a new NPGD headquartered in Charlotte,
> NC
----------------------------------
They will never get off the ground.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 10:56 PM


"Jeff Waldyke"wrote:
> Not quite. Alive and well here in Wilmington, NC. Half my neighbors
> work there, and I have done some work in their fuel rod production
> as well.
--------------------------------
See previous post.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 11:02 PM


"chaniarts" wrote:

> but it's much windier elsewhere in europe than germany. without a
> european-wide energy producer, they're going to have to buy power
> from elsewhere. that elsewhere is going to have to use nuclear, so
> they're just exporting their problem to another country.
----------------------------------
HUH!

If the krauts can make enough money selling power to the rest of
Europe, they will probably be happy to oblige.

Lew




Lew

JW

Just Wondering

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 1:30 AM

On 6/1/2011 4:46 PM, Swingman wrote:
> On 6/1/2011 4:17 PM, Just Wondering wrote:
>> On 6/1/2011 12:50 PM, Swingman wrote:
>>>
>>> I listen to "Democracy Now" on the local Pacific radio daily, simply as
>>> a constant reminder as to just how much these people who produce it hate
>>> the thought of a sucessful democracy ... it is exactly the same mindset
>>> with regard to nuclear energy.
>>
>> In the entire history of the world, has there ever been a single
>> instance of a successful democracy?
>
> If you equate success with longevity, the jury is still out. (and this
> one won't last much longer at the current rate)
>
I think you miss my point. To the best of my knowledge the last
democracy was in ancient Athens, and lasted only a relatively short
time. Although people in the USA sometimes say we live in a democracy,
that is not true and has never been true. I'm not aware of a single
modern nation whose government is a democracy. Can you point to any
presently existing democracy? Is there one? If so, where?

JW

Just Wondering

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 1:33 AM

On 6/1/2011 11:43 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>
> If you look at the cost of ownership equation, wind power has a very
> high front end cost, but after that operating costs drops drastically.
>

There aren't enough locations with reliable wind sources to make wind
power a viable option for ore than a small fraction of existing energy
needs.

> As every sailor knows, the wind is free, but putting it to use gets
> expensive.
>
Wind power is actually solar power, one or two steps removed. If money
isn't a major consideration, solar heat is more viable. The sun shines
everywhere. Build a massive solar heat powered steam turbine generator.
Give it enough excess capacity to convert water to hydrogen during the
day. Store the hydrogen and burn it when the sun isn't shining. Repeat
as needed.

JW

Just Wondering

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 9:54 AM

On 6/2/2011 5:59 AM, Swingman wrote:
> On 6/2/2011 2:30 AM, Just Wondering wrote:
>> On 6/1/2011 4:46 PM, Swingman wrote:
>
>
>>>>> I listen to "Democracy Now" on the local Pacific radio daily,
>>>>> simply as
>>>>> a constant reminder as to just how much these people who produce it
>>>>> hate
>>>>> the thought of a successful democracy ... it is exactly the same
>>>>> mindset
>>>>> with regard to nuclear energy.
>>>>
>>>> In the entire history of the world, has there ever been a single
>>>> instance of a successful democracy?
>>>
>>> If you equate success with longevity, the jury is still out. (and this
>>> one won't last much longer at the current rate)
>>>
>> I think you miss my point.
>
> Nope, you missed mine and took off down a rabbit trail ...
>

Then let's go back to your original point. You referred to people who
"hate the thought of a successful democracy." A true democracy (as
distinguished from a representative government" is a government where
the people rule directly by majority vote. There is no form of
government that has more potential for tyrannical rule over a minority
population. Count me in as one who hates such a prospect. Fortunately,
there is no true democracy in existence today. I much prefer the form
of representative republican government established by the U.S.
Constitution. I'll take that over democracy any day.

Your original point then compared people who hate the thought of
democracy to those who hate the thought of nuclear energy. I disagree.
Those who hate the thought of nuclear energy are frightened by
something they don't understand. Those who hate the thought of a true
democracy are frightened by something they understand perfectly well.
The two groups do not have the same mindset at all.

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 10:40 AM


"Just Wondering" wrote:

> There aren't enough locations with reliable wind sources to make
> wind power a viable option for ore than a small fraction of existing
> energy needs.
---------------------------------
HUH!

Might want to go back and check your sources again.
-----------------------------------
> Wind power is actually solar power, one or two steps removed. If
> money isn't a major consideration, solar heat is more viable.
---------------------------------
HUH!

Might want to go back and check your sources again.

Morris has a pretty decent package for solar heating and money is
almost always an issue.
----------------------------------
> The sun shines everywhere. Build a massive solar heat powered steam
> turbine generator. Give it enough excess capacity to convert water
> to hydrogen during the day. Store the hydrogen and burn it when the
> sun isn't shining. Repeat as needed.
-----------------------------------
Replace the hydrogen with solar heated water and you have a unit being
permitted for construction here in SoCal.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 10:54 AM


> I asked:
> Annualized, what kind of money are we talking about?
> ----------------------------------
"dpb" wrote:

> Of course it answers the question. 25% higher cost for purchased
> power translates to at least that on the retail side. What's your
> current bill; raise it by one-fourth.
--------------------------
Actual $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$.
----------------------------
>> I take it you don't accept all that oil industry propaganda about
>> our
>> proven natural gas reserves.
>
> Not really, no, I don't. All I have to do is watch the rate at
> which severance tax paid by producers to State decreases from year
> to year despite increasing wellhead prices.
>
> There is still gas but it is far more valuable in the long run for
> chemical feedstock and other uses instead of wasting it for central
> station generation while have other fuels far more suited for the
> purpose that aren't so much suited for the other.
--------------------------------
Yep, renewable energy gets the job done, IF we develop it.

BTW, natural gas doesn't get the job done, but it can serve as an
intermediate fuel to transition away from fossil based fuels.

Think Pickens calls it a "Bridge".

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 11:29 AM


"Robatoy" wrote:

>The more I read, search and talk to my small circle of friends at OPG
(Ontario Power Generation) the more pro nuclear I get. My two oldest
daughters and their husbands all work in either Pickering or
Darlington nuclear power stations. One of them works in the legal
department and pushes 'safety papers'. Another is so green in life-
style, he pisses me off. But all are educated and informed. No knee-
jerk responses from any of them. Japan was a combination of flukes
that all added up to an accident of major proportions.
In no way did that incident reflect on the concept and sense of
nuclear power. That particular event should be no more than a lesson
to be more careful where we build those units.
------------------------------
The basic problem with nuclear s human.

People make mistakes.

Nuclear mistakes will happen.

The price to clean them up are simply more than any sane person is
willing to spend.

Lew


LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 5:10 PM


"dpb" wrote:

> If you're trying to impugn that the size of the utility service is
> small that it doesn't really matter, purchased power in 2010 for the
> distributing co-op organization just about $92.8M; our share is
> roughly $3M. So, if that goes up 25%, it's equivalent of an
> additional tax of some 3/4 of a million dollars or about $23M for
> the the combined co-ops that cover roughly half of the state
> (geographically).
------------------------------
Actually I was only trying to understand the scope.

$750K is a sixeable nut where ever you are but it still pales when
compared to the oil industry subsidy that is North of $24 BILLION with
a "B".

The $24 Billion subsidy is one of the primary reasons for a renewable
energy subsidy you want to keep bringing to the table.

What does the average retail customer pay for power ($/KWH) on an
annual basis including the 25% increase?

I see rates that vary from $0.10/KWH to as much as $0.17/KWH depending
on various subsidies, off peak deals, etc, around the country.

BTW, other than power, what else did your $750K buy or better yet the
$3M your REC group kicked in?.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 5:59 PM


"Robatoy" wrote:
> Instead of pummeling each other with lofty 'educated' crap, why not
stop this bullshit train and look at what makes sense?

Goddammit!!!!!
------------------------------------
That's already been done.

Renewable energy is the only viable option.

One thing is sure, it will require multiple types of renewable to get
the job done.

Forget fossil fuels in the long term.

The global warming issues have already eliminated coal and oil as long
term fuel sources.

If you can get a commercial insurance carrier to underwrite the next
nuke you want to bring on line, get back to me, otherwise it is a dead
issue.

The oil and coal lobbies have very deep pockets and it is proving to
be a hell of a battle; however, in the end, they will lose configured
as they are now.

Lew


LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 6:14 PM


"dpb" wrote:

>
> That was our expense for the power we distributed for 2010; nothing
> else. We're distribution, not generation; that's the bill to the
> generation bunch.
---------------------------------
So what did the $3M buy?

Somebody made money from the deal.

Who?

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 6:53 PM


"dpb" wrote:


> OK, so first you compare the full nationwide petroleumto a single,
> relatively small group of rural electric co-ops on a one-to-one
> basis of absolute dollars...
------------------------------
That was your statement, you claim to be subsidizing the renewable
energy business.
--------------------------------

> Then, you claim that the oil depletion allowance (the bulk of the
> "subsidy" folks are ranting about these days) somehow has something
> central to do w/ central station coal and nuclear generation
> rates.(1)
----------------------------------
No, but nice try.
--------------------------------

> Lastly, the subsidies for green energy have virtually nothing to do
> w/ the comparative balance between oil and gas but almost everything
> to do w/ a mostly political agenda couched in "save the planet"
> terms.
-------------------------------
You are entitled to your misguided opinion.
-------------------------------

>> What does the average retail customer pay for power ($/KWH) on an
>> annual basis including the 25% increase?
> > I see rates that vary from $0.10/KWH to as much as $0.17/KWH ...
------------------------
> Despite the combined efforts of the cooperating co-ops that form the
> pool of which we are one of 29 local RECs to acquire cost-effective
> generation our retail rates are still towards the upper end of the
> range you have outlined above. This is primarily owing to the fact
> we are very rural and therefore the transmission costs are quite
> high owing to the large number of miles of line we have installed
> and maintain. Rather than an urban utility of many
> loads(meters)/mile, we measure in miles/meter.
-----------------------------------
Since you didn't directly answer the question, will assume your retail
price is around $0.15/KWH.

The latest data I found for the average retail price of a KWH for the
state of Kansas was $0.0956/KWH for Nov 2009.

Sounds like somebody in Kansas is getting a hell of deal.

Might want to check it out.
------------------------------------

> Depletion, like depreciation, allows for the recovery of
> capital investment over time. Percentage depletion is used
> for most mineral resources including oil and natural gas. It
> is a tax deduction calculated by applying the allowable
> percentage to the gross income from a property.
----------------------------------
Like a lot of the tax code, the depreciation allowance has outlived
it's usefulness.

I remember when oil was less than $10/bbl and gasoline was $0.15/Gal
and the depreciation allowance was 27% and the senators from OK were
going to make sure it stayed that way to insure future exploration.

Today, oil is North of $100/bbl and gas in my neighborhood just
dropped to $3.81/gal.

Hardly sounds like an industry that needs gov't help.

Time to invest in the next generation of energy which at this point in
time does not include nuclear.

Lew


LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 6:57 PM


"dpb" wrote:

> Again, if it weren't for the alternative sources req'd to be around
> because it isn't reliable, that would be basically true.
----------------------------
You're hung up on wind being unreliable.

There is more than one form of renewable energy.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

08/06/2011 8:56 PM

Looks like they are going to need north of 80,000 pairs of lead pants
for the folks who have been forced to evacuate who lived within 10
miles of the triple reactor melt down in Japan.

How about some more nukes?

Lead pants can be a growth industry.

Lew

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 08/06/2011 8:56 PM

08/07/2011 7:43 PM

On Fri, 8 Jul 2011 11:32:43 -0700 (PDT), Robatoy
<[email protected]> wrote:

>On Jul 8, 10:46 am, Dave Balderstone
><dave@N_O_T_T_H_I_Sbalderstone.ca> wrote:
>> In article
>> <1b1efd67-ea41-4c30-a16e-8cd6b725d...@u28g2000yqf.googlegroups.com>,
>>
>> Robatoy <[email protected]> wrote:
>> > Oh wait... these windmills are 'instant ON'....no cost for them to sit
>> > there other than the bleed to feed the creative funding packages.
>>
>> And the solar farms, too...
>>
>> <http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/05/solar-showdown-weeds-vs-silicon/>
>>
>> Dead technology...
>
>I followed a few links from that site you posted and I hadn't thought
>about the vulnerability of such installations.
>One AK47 and 20 clips of ammo, there goes a big chunk of a farm. One
>bullet per panel.

Most utilities are vulnerable to terrorism. It's a sad fact of life.

--
Happiness lies in the joy of achievement and the thrill of creative effort.
-- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Sk

Swingman

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 08/06/2011 8:56 PM

08/06/2011 11:43 PM

"Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote:
> Looks like they are going to need north of 80,000 pairs of lead pants
> for the folks who have been forced to evacuate who lived within 10
> miles of the triple reactor melt down in Japan.
>
> How about some more nukes?
>
> Lead pants can be a growth industry.

Be impossible to say for sure, but ... If the 18,000 dead from the
"natural" disaster had the opportunity to wear those lead pants instead, I
reckon they'd jump at the chance.

Just saying ....

--
www.ewoodshop.com

Sk

Swingman

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 08/06/2011 8:56 PM

25/06/2011 6:45 PM

On 6/25/2011 6:29 PM, Dave wrote:
> On Sat, 25 Jun 2011 08:46:22 -0500, Swingman<[email protected]> wrote:
>> While a few may eventually do so, this recent event seems an
>> irrefutable, as well as historical and statistical, validation of the
>> favorable RISK/BENEFIT ratio inherent in the nuclear power industry.
>
> While present statistics might appear to validate your viewpoint,
> consider the long term risks of this event. Consider what effect this
> radiation might have on future generations with the possibility of
> abnormal births, congenital defects and illnesses later on in future
> generations. If our sciences continue to advance geometrically as they
> are now, cures or at least solutions may be found to handle those
> problems, but there's certainly no guarantee of that.

IF a pig ...

> All I can say is that nuclear power generation *appears* to be one of
> the lesser affecting sources of power, but there's plenty of evidence
> to cause it's advancement to be controlled and considered very
> carefully.

Already covered (in the part you snipped) ... Han's quote and my reply
to it.

--
www.e-woodshop.net
Last update: 4/15/2010
KarlC@ (the obvious)

Du

Dave

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 08/06/2011 8:56 PM

25/06/2011 7:29 PM

On Sat, 25 Jun 2011 08:46:22 -0500, Swingman <[email protected]> wrote:
>While a few may eventually do so, this recent event seems an
>irrefutable, as well as historical and statistical, validation of the
>favorable RISK/BENEFIT ratio inherent in the nuclear power industry.

While present statistics might appear to validate your viewpoint,
consider the long term risks of this event. Consider what effect this
radiation might have on future generations with the possibility of
abnormal births, congenital defects and illnesses later on in future
generations. If our sciences continue to advance geometrically as they
are now, cures or at least solutions may be found to handle those
problems, but there's certainly no guarantee of that.

All I can say is that nuclear power generation *appears* to be one of
the lesser affecting sources of power, but there's plenty of evidence
to cause it's advancement to be controlled and considered very
carefully.

kk

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 08/06/2011 8:56 PM

08/07/2011 6:35 PM

On Fri, 8 Jul 2011 11:32:43 -0700 (PDT), Robatoy <[email protected]>
wrote:

>On Jul 8, 10:46 am, Dave Balderstone
><dave@N_O_T_T_H_I_Sbalderstone.ca> wrote:
>> In article
>> <1b1efd67-ea41-4c30-a16e-8cd6b725d...@u28g2000yqf.googlegroups.com>,
>>
>> Robatoy <[email protected]> wrote:
>> > Oh wait... these windmills are 'instant ON'....no cost for them to sit
>> > there other than the bleed to feed the creative funding packages.
>>
>> And the solar farms, too...
>>
>> <http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/05/solar-showdown-weeds-vs-silicon/>
>>
>> Dead technology...
>
>I followed a few links from that site you posted and I hadn't thought
>about the vulnerability of such installations.
>One AK47 and 20 clips of ammo, there goes a big chunk of a farm. One
>bullet per panel.

...and all hail breaks loose.

Ff

FrozenNorth

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 08/06/2011 8:56 PM

09/06/2011 12:55 AM

On 6/09/11 12:43 AM, Swingman wrote:
> "Lew Hodgett"<[email protected]> wrote:
>> Lead pants can be a growth industry.
>
> Be impossible to say for sure, but ... If the 18,000 dead from the
> "natural" disaster had the opportunity to wear those lead pants instead, I
> reckon they'd jump at the chance.
>
> Just saying ....
>
How high can you jump wearing lead pants :-)

--
Froz...


The system will be down for 10 days for preventive maintenance.

Sk

Swingman

in reply to FrozenNorth on 09/06/2011 12:55 AM

09/06/2011 12:05 AM

FrozenNorth <[email protected]> wrote:
> On 6/09/11 12:43 AM, Swingman wrote:
>> "Lew Hodgett"<[email protected]> wrote:
>>> Lead pants can be a growth industry.
>>
>> Be impossible to say for sure, but ... If the 18,000 dead from the
>> "natural" disaster had the opportunity to wear those lead pants instead, I
>> reckon they'd jump at the chance.
>>
>> Just saying ....
>>
> How high can you jump wearing lead pants :-)

Shame on you for being so disrespectful.

(From where they're at ... at least six feet). :(

--
www.ewoodshop.com

Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 08/06/2011 8:56 PM

25/06/2011 7:47 PM

Dave wrote:
> On Sat, 25 Jun 2011 08:46:22 -0500, Swingman <[email protected]> wrote:
>> While a few may eventually do so, this recent event seems an
>> irrefutable, as well as historical and statistical, validation of the
>> favorable RISK/BENEFIT ratio inherent in the nuclear power industry.
>
> While present statistics might appear to validate your viewpoint,
> consider the long term risks of this event. Consider what effect this
> radiation might have on future generations with the possibility of
> abnormal births, congenital defects and illnesses later on in future
> generations. If our sciences continue to advance geometrically as they
> are now, cures or at least solutions may be found to handle those
> problems, but there's certainly no guarantee of that.

There are three possible deleterious effects involving nuclear power:
* Radiation sickness
* Genetic mutation
* Cancer

- With Radiation Sickness, you get over it or you die. End of story.
- There has never been a case of a genetic mutation that has come to term.
Hundreds of pregnant women were exposed to radiation in Hiroshima and
Nagasaki and there were NO deformed or otherwise affected babies born to
them.
- Cancer is probably the most studied disease on the planet. We've made
significant strides in understanding and treating the disease and it is no
longer the grim diagnosis it once was.

On the other hand, we don't even know the NAMES of all the chemicals that
come out of a coal-fired power plant's smokestack.

In my view, if we've made the decision to live (or die) with coal, we should
be cutting nuclear power just as much risk/benefit slack.

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

23/06/2011 12:21 PM

Where there is smoke...................

http://tinyurl.com/6l6lzn2










"Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote in message
news:[email protected]...
> Looks like they are going to need north of 80,000 pairs of lead
> pants for the folks who have been forced to evacuate who lived
> within 10 miles of the triple reactor melt down in Japan.
>
> How about some more nukes?
>
> Lead pants can be a growth industry.
>
> Lew
>
>

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

26/06/2011 3:46 PM

Just lucky................................

http://tinyurl.com/3n3qg7j

Bring on the nukes.


Lew


LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

27/06/2011 3:32 PM

"Lew Hodgett" wrote:

> Just lucky................................
>
> http://tinyurl.com/3n3qg7j
>
> Bring on the nukes.

----------------------------
The days of the nuclear industry's "Feet up, pat 'em on the po po"
approach to dealing with the public are over.

The industry has had 40+ years to develop a reliable and safe waste
stream processing method and they are still at square one.

Until the industry gets serious about solving this problem on a world
wide basis, there will be no new nukes built, at least if I can help
stop them.

There are just too many other alternate renewable energy possibilities
waiting to be developed including, but not limited to the next
generation of batteries and photo cells..

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

30/06/2011 3:04 PM

Germany does the deed.

http://tinyurl.com/3do64xf


Lew


Hn

Han

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 30/06/2011 3:04 PM

12/08/2011 11:14 AM

"[email protected]" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> On 12 Aug 2011 00:21:02 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>>Richard <[email protected]> wrote in
>>news:[email protected]:
>>
>>> On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
>>>> Richard<[email protected]> wrote in
>>>> news:[email protected]:
>>>>
>>>>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>>>>> "Han" wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per
>>>>>>> year than
>>>>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> ---------------------------------
>>>>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal
>>>>>> as well as nukes?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels
>>>>>> as quickly as possible.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Lew
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> And replace them with what, Lew?
>>>>> Horses?
>>>>
>>>> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse
>>>> manure pollution in (at least) New York City.
>>>>
>>>>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and
>>>>> portability as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we
>>>>> are 50 years late deciding to make internal combustion effecent
>>>>> and clean. But we didn't have the computer technology back then
>>>>> to do it.
>>>>
>>>> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
>>>> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats
>>>> are equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
>>>> consumption. I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
>>>> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve
>>>> with demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would
>>>> be difficult to replace is jet planes.
>>>>
>>>>
>>> Actually, I think the biggest problem is shipping - freighters.
>>> Dig into that some.
>>
>>Depending on the size of the ship, nuclear could be an option,
>>although I don't think any ships apart from navy have been nuclear so
>>far.
>
> Not Navy, but not commercial either (Atomic Energy, Maritime, and
> Commerce).
>
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NS_Savannah

I stand corrected, Thanks!
So the potential is there. Probably cost and proliferation concerns
prevent any real implementations.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

kk

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 30/06/2011 3:04 PM

11/08/2011 8:17 PM

On 12 Aug 2011 00:21:02 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:

>Richard <[email protected]> wrote in
>news:[email protected]:
>
>> On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
>>> Richard<[email protected]> wrote in
>>> news:[email protected]:
>>>
>>>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>>>> "Han" wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per
>>>>>> year than
>>>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>>>>
>>>>> ---------------------------------
>>>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
>>>>> well as nukes?
>>>>>
>>>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
>>>>> quickly as possible.
>>>>>
>>>>> Lew
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> And replace them with what, Lew?
>>>> Horses?
>>>
>>> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse
>>> manure pollution in (at least) New York City.
>>>
>>>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and
>>>> portability as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we
>>>> are 50 years late deciding to make internal combustion effecent and
>>>> clean. But we didn't have the computer technology back then to do
>>>> it.
>>>
>>> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
>>> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats
>>> are equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
>>> consumption. I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
>>> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
>>> demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would be
>>> difficult to replace is jet planes.
>>>
>>>
>> Actually, I think the biggest problem is shipping - freighters.
>> Dig into that some.
>
>Depending on the size of the ship, nuclear could be an option, although I
>don't think any ships apart from navy have been nuclear so far.

Not Navy, but not commercial either (Atomic Energy, Maritime, and Commerce).

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NS_Savannah

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

30/06/2011 5:14 PM


"Swingman" wrote:

> Politics, not science.

Obviously.

Politics is the vehicle of change.

Lew


LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

12/07/2011 11:30 PM

"Lew Hodgett" wrote:

Wonder why this doesn't come as any surprise?

http://tinyurl.com/64bgvt8

Lew

kk

in reply to "Lew Hodgett" on 12/07/2011 11:30 PM

12/08/2011 6:54 PM

On 12 Aug 2011 11:14:49 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:

>"[email protected]" <[email protected]> wrote in
>news:[email protected]:
>
>> On 12 Aug 2011 00:21:02 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>>Richard <[email protected]> wrote in
>>>news:[email protected]:
>>>
>>>> On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
>>>>> Richard<[email protected]> wrote in
>>>>> news:[email protected]:
>>>>>
>>>>>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>>>>>> "Han" wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per
>>>>>>>> year than
>>>>>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> ---------------------------------
>>>>>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal
>>>>>>> as well as nukes?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels
>>>>>>> as quickly as possible.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Lew
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> And replace them with what, Lew?
>>>>>> Horses?
>>>>>
>>>>> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse
>>>>> manure pollution in (at least) New York City.
>>>>>
>>>>>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and
>>>>>> portability as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we
>>>>>> are 50 years late deciding to make internal combustion effecent
>>>>>> and clean. But we didn't have the computer technology back then
>>>>>> to do it.
>>>>>
>>>>> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
>>>>> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats
>>>>> are equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
>>>>> consumption. I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
>>>>> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve
>>>>> with demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would
>>>>> be difficult to replace is jet planes.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>> Actually, I think the biggest problem is shipping - freighters.
>>>> Dig into that some.
>>>
>>>Depending on the size of the ship, nuclear could be an option,
>>>although I don't think any ships apart from navy have been nuclear so
>>>far.
>>
>> Not Navy, but not commercial either (Atomic Energy, Maritime, and
>> Commerce).
>>
>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NS_Savannah
>
>I stand corrected, Thanks!
>So the potential is there. Probably cost and proliferation concerns
>prevent any real implementations.

Yes, IIRC, proliferation and security were the primary concerns with the
Savanah. It certainly wasn't an economic success but it wasn't designed to
be, either.

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

08/08/2011 4:04 PM

Bottom line with nuke plants:

One design or operational (1) screw up is three (3) too many.

The risks are simply too large at this point in time.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

10/08/2011 4:02 PM


"Han" wrote:

> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year
> than
> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.

---------------------------------
Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
well as nukes?

BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
quickly as possible.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 10:08 AM


Somebody wrote:

> "Alternative energy sources" can do no more than nibble at the
> margins. All those you mention make up less than 5% of our energy
> needs.
--------------------------------------
California is all ready approaching 20% of it's electrical energy
requirements from renewable sources and is expecting to reach 35%
within 10 years.

What is so funny about that is that today Texas produces more wind
power than California.

More research is needed, but we are gaining on it.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 9:14 PM

The following is an interview with Mark Ruffalo that appeared in the
Huffington post today.

As they say, "If the foo s__ts, wear it,"

Lew

---------------------------------------

Mark Ruffalo Speaks Out For Tar Sands Action

Activist and actor Mark Ruffalo has joined the fight against the
Keystone XL pipeline, a pipeline from the tar sands in Canada to
refineries on the Gulf of Mexico.

In the video, Ruffalo says, “I’ve seen the kind of damage that
out-of-control energy development can do to water and to communities
near my own home, where fracking for natural gas is causing widespread
pollution ... All these problems are connected — we need to get off
fossil fuels.”

In a past interview with The Huffington Post, he said, "Either we're
going to go with some grace into green energy, or we're gonna go
kicking and screaming, but we're going by God. The world is already
leaving us behind. We're being left behind. America. Because the gas
and oil industry has a strangle hold on us. And our politicians."

JW

Just Wondering

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

15/08/2011 12:10 AM

On 8/11/2011 6:52 AM, Leon wrote:
> On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
>> Richard<[email protected]> wrote in
>> news:[email protected]:
>>
>>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>>> "Han" wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year
>>>>> than
>>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>>>
>>>> ---------------------------------
>>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
>>>> well as nukes?
>>>>
>>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
>>>> quickly as possible.
>>>>
>>>> Lew
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>> And replace them with what, Lew?
>>> Horses?
>>
>> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse manure
>> pollution in (at least) New York City.
>>
>>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and portability
>>> as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we are 50 years late
>>> deciding to make internal combustion effecent and clean. But we didn't
>>> have the computer technology back then to do it.
>>
>> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
>> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats are
>> equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
>> consumption.
>
> So when you mention battery technology being so far along, do you
> consider the down side that it is a nasty business to be disposing of
> the spent batteries? Typically the battery cars life cycle from
> beginning to end today use more energy and pollute more during the
> manufacturing, consumer operation, and disposal process than the Hummer.
>
> The electrics look good if you only consider the consumer benefit. They
> are not any better for the environment during manufacture and disposal.
>

Q. What happens when you battery runs down?
A. You have to recharge it.
Q. Where does the electricity come from to recharge it?
A. Mostly from power plants using coal, oil, and gas.

For most practical purposes, electrical energy is fossil fuel energy,
just one step removed.

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 6:07 AM

On May 31, 8:53=A0am, "HeyBub" <[email protected]> wrote:
> Larry W wrote:
> > In article <[email protected]>,
> > Lew Hodgett <[email protected]> wrote:
> >> Looks like Germany is taking the lead.
>
> >>http://tinyurl.com/3pcx2jh
>
> >> Lew
>
> > Yes, the lead in hysterical over-reaction. Well, sooner or later
> > someone had to surpass California in that respect.
>
> So, what is Germany to use to power electrical generation plants?
>
> I know! Oil and natural gas!
>
> There goes the demand curve - and the price.

And the Russkies operating many of the natural gas spigots.
.
.
.
...or COAL! (The ads say it is nice and clean.)

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 3:15 PM

dpb wrote:
> Mike Marlow wrote:
>
> ...
>
>
>> ...I'll ask you the same question I've already asked - are you ready
>> for that storage to be 10 miles from your home?
> ...
>
>
> Well, I'm not the "you" of the subthread but I'll make a response
> anyway... :)
>
> Ten miles? Depends on what's in that 10 mile zone. If it's a
> suitable industrial location, sure.

Ok - pick the industrial site nearest your home.

>
> Simply put, an industrial site of _any_ type doesn't belong in close
> proimity to a residential areas simply from land use considerations.

Oh come on... where do you live?

>
> I've worked long enough in the nuclear field to have no concerns
> regarding the ability to handle the material safely.

Apparently not. You would be the first person I've ever met who claimed to
be knowledgable in the industry and to at the same time, claim to hold no
concerns.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 3:49 PM

Larry W wrote:
> In article <[email protected]>,
> Mike Marlow <[email protected]> wrote:
> <...snipped...>
>> Really??? 3 Mile Island. Chernobyl, Japan. it does not take a
>> large number with nukes, to create a large impact. One is all it
>> takes.
>>
>> I don't glow in the dark either, and I'm 11 miles from 3 of them.
>> Downwind. But - you're gone from them now, right? Were you as much
>> of an advocate, with no concerns, when you lived nearer to them?
>> What if the disposal site was determined to be 10 miles from you?
>> I'm not anti-nuke. I don't fear nukes. I do however, think that a
>> great deal more thought needs to go into nukes than what comes out
>> in discussions like this. Too many people advocating nukes without
>> thinking about the ramifications.
>>
> <...snipped...>
>> ...The stuff is dangerous. More dangerous
>> than oil, coal, and NG.
>>
>
> I suppose it's a matter of opinion. Speaking for myself, I'd sure
> rather live next door to a nuclear plant than downstream from a coal
> slurry dam:
>

To be fair - I am no advocate of that particular manner of dealing with the
fly ash. I don't want to second guess something that the designers didn't
invite me to participate in, but from where I sit, it sure does look like
those slurrys could have been almost expected. We've been building damns
and ponds for a long time, and we've seen plenty of failures - makes one
wonder why some of those lessons seemed to have been lost on the design of
those ponds.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 10:37 PM

On Jun 3, 11:13=A0pm, "HeyBub" <[email protected]> wrote:
> Lew Hodgett wrote:
> > "dpb" wrote:
>
> >> Again, if it weren't for the alternative sources req'd to be around
> >> because it isn't reliable, that would be basically true.
> > ----------------------------
> > You're hung up on wind being unreliable.
>
> > There is more than one form of renewable energy.
>
> Right. Wind, hydro, tidal, geothermal, nuclear, etc.
>
> Name ONE as versatile, economical, or available as petroleum. By every
> objective standard, there is no current substitute for oil. Nor does anyo=
ne
> claim there will be in the foreseeable future.

Now THAT is some foreward thinking there Francis. How typical for a
republican.

Rc

Richard

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

15/08/2011 7:40 AM

On 8/15/2011 6:11 AM, Han wrote:
> Just Wondering<[email protected]> wrote in news:4e48b888$0$27188$a8266bb1
> @newsreader.readnews.com:
>
>> Q. What happens when you battery runs down?
>> A. You have to recharge it.
>> Q. Where does the electricity come from to recharge it?
>> A. Mostly from power plants using coal, oil, and gas.
>
> Isn't this an assumption? An ever increasing amount of baseline large
> scale electricity generation comes from renewables or nuclear. So, maybe
> it is "only" 20% now, that doesn't mean it can't be 50% or more relatively
> soon.
>
>
>> For most practical purposes, electrical energy is fossil fuel energy,
>> just one step removed.
>
> True, for now<smile>.
>


Did you hear about all the rolling blackout warnings this summer?

aw

aquaboy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 7:58 AM

http://www.japantoday.com/category/national/view/tepco-says-it-has-lost-con=
tact-with-143-nuclear-plant-workers

Tokyo Electric Power Co (TEPCO) said Thursday that it has not been
able to locate 143 individuals working to restore the Fukushima
Daiichi nuclear power plant since May. The utility said it has no idea
if the 143 have been exposed to radiation and to what level.

According to a report from TEPCO given to the Ministry of Health,
Labor and Welfare, TEPCO hired many of the workers through
subcontractors from all over Japan for limited periods and kept no
records of their addresses. On any given day, TEPCO said it has had up
to 1,000 workers on rotating schedules at the stricken power plant.

Asahi Geino reported in May that subcontractors were hiring day
laborers to work at the plant. The daily remuneration was three times
that of regular day jobs if within the grounds of the reactor complex,
and 1.5 times higher if within the wider area now restricted due to
high radioactivity.

While safety measures are in place to keep workers=92 daily exposure to
radiation within safe levels, claims for compensation due to sickness
from overexposure are unlikely to be paid out, the magazine reported.

and....

Japan ignored own radiation forecasts from very beginning.......
http://www.japantoday.com/category/national/view/japan-ignored-own-radiatio=
n-forecasts-from-very-beginning

And.....

Gov't to lift some evacuation advisories around nuclear plant.....
http://www.japantoday.com/category/national/view/japan-to-lift-some-nuclear=
-evacuation-advisories-around-nuclear-plant

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 6:32 PM

On May 31, 8:57=A0pm, dpb <[email protected]> wrote:
> On 5/31/2011 6:53 PM, Robatoy wrote:
> ...
>
> > I spent some time talking with the operators of the Annapolis Royal
> > Tidal Power station.
> > Their studies run into the same cyclical issues as does wind, with the
> > odd exception that they can count on the moon coming around. Really
> > interesting design.
>
> Indeed, altho it's much more predictable/repeatable than wind. =A0I'd
> think the random component from storms, etc., would be a very small
> fraction for them. =A0OTOH, the averages are fairly consistent over the
> long term w/ wind, but the short term random variations are quite large.
> =A0 Like last couple of days--we had 18 hours of 30+ mph sustained wind w=
/
> 50-60 mph gusts until roughly 8 PM last night. =A0Within an hour sustaine=
d
> winds dropped to under 10 and stayed there until just within the last
> hour or so today they've come back up to near 20 after being 15 or under
> the last 24. =A0Of course, of the previous 12 hours prior to the time tha=
t
> they exceed 30 mph at roughly 1 PM, roughly 9 hrs were under 10 mph
> while the minimum generation level is 9 mph. =A0That's hardly a consisten=
t
> fuel source even if it is cheap. =A0:)
>
> Yet this area has one of the highest annual average wind speeds in an
> accessible location that makes building large scale wind farms as
> economical as they're going to get from the physical side (unlike places
> like, say, Mt Washington, etc., that have incredible winds but are a)
> very isolated areas and b) highly impractical to get the power from even
> if had the turbine.
>
> Do you have any links that might have convenient data to look at for the
> tidal generation output? =A0I know where US EIA data links are; not sure
> what there is up north.
>

A cursory look and I found this for you:
http://tinyurl.com/3rtyqqu

Hard data is out there somewhere.

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 2:29 PM

Robatoy wrote:
> On Jun 24, 12:22 pm, "J. Clarke" <[email protected]> wrote:
>> In article <[email protected]>,
>> [email protected] says...
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>> Mike Marlow wrote:
>>
>>>> I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that
>>>> approach! But - even a well run plant does not address the issues
>>>> of accidents and waste disposal. Both of those offer a far more
>>>> dismal future than the thought of depleting natural gas.
>>
>>> Minor observation: We do not have a plan for nuclear waste removal
>>> because we don't NEED a plan.
>>
>>> There are several thoughts on the matter: Encase the waste in
>>> molten glass and dump the ingots in the middle of the Pacific,
>>> shoot the waste into the sun via rocket ship, liquify and pump into
>>> a salt dome, etc.
>>
>>> The reason none of these has been adoped is that the need for a
>>> solution is not critical.
>>
>>> The longer we postpone a decision, the greater the chance of a
>>> better solution being found.
>>
>>> Personally, I'm in favor of stacking the stuff up on the
>>> U.S.-Mexican border. It will make spotting illegals easier to spot
>>> in the dark.
>>
>> Actually the reason we don't have a plan is that Carter decreed that
>> it be stored instead of recycled and no President since has grown a
>> brain.
>
> One didn't even have a brain to grow!

Ok - no fair interjecting the obvious into an otherwise great dialog. Of
course politicians have no brains... why the hell else would they be
politicians?

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

26/06/2011 12:04 AM

dpb wrote:

>
> Again, while conveniently hiding behind the facade that it's a problem
> when the real problem is that there's no legal way to do anything
> about any of it in the US owing to political constraints as opposed to
> anything technical.
>

Not hiding. Have not heard anything from the nuclear industry that
genuinely mitigates the risk. Reprocessing does not, though it does change
the risk. It's not purely political - though I will agree and give you that
the politics behind it are a significant factor.

> Similarly w/ the argument about siting--if you're comfortable with
> existing industrial siting that wasn't the smartest then there's no
> objective basis to object regarding any other. In the overall actual
> risk, the conventional plants have very good odds of being far more
> likely to be a real problem than the nuclear plant or waste storage
> facility.
>
> It's paranoia, pure and simple....

Nice proclamation, but you stating it does not make it real.


--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

08/07/2011 11:32 AM

On Jul 8, 10:46=A0am, Dave Balderstone
<dave@N_O_T_T_H_I_Sbalderstone.ca> wrote:
> In article
> <1b1efd67-ea41-4c30-a16e-8cd6b725d...@u28g2000yqf.googlegroups.com>,
>
> Robatoy <[email protected]> wrote:
> > Oh wait... these windmills are 'instant ON'....no cost for them to sit
> > there other than the bleed to feed the creative funding packages.
>
> And the solar farms, too...
>
> <http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/05/solar-showdown-weeds-vs-silicon/>
>
> Dead technology...

I followed a few links from that site you posted and I hadn't thought
about the vulnerability of such installations.
One AK47 and 20 clips of ammo, there goes a big chunk of a farm. One
bullet per panel.

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

28/06/2011 2:08 AM

dpb wrote:

>
>
> Essentially for the same reasons we are...it doesn't matter what is
> the proposed solution, there's some wacko group dreaming up some
> scenario that has a one in a billion chance of coming true and that's
> the end of that.

Not at all for the same reasons. They have embraces recycling, and are
committing even more to it. Why do you use the term "wacko group"? Is it
because they dare to examine the risks, in contrast to your own views on the
matter? From what I have read, the "wacko groups" are not minimalized by
any industry experts, though the two factions may ultimately disagree.
You're the first I've heard refer to the dissenting voice that way.


>
> There is inherent risk in _anything_

And those various risks carry differing costs.

> and the likelihood of serious
> injury or death from many other industrial wastes is far higher than
> that for the disposal scenarios proposed;

I disagree completely. Remember, my comments have come from 2 points - the
potential for large scale disaster resultant from an accident, and the issue
of waste management. In either case, the potential for large scale disaster
is very large. Few is any other industrial wastes can lay waste entire
landscapes in the manner that nuclear impacts can.

> it's that the clamor for
> infinitely safe is

Why do you say such a thing? That has never come up in this conversation -
not at all. I am beginning to see that you are simply a pro-nuke because of
your professional background, and you have closed your mind to any thoughts
about the very obvious potentials for problems.

> apparently demanded for this particular process
> whereas as you've noted previously, really dumb things have been done
> in the past on siting other industrial processes/facilities and you
> seem to be ok w/ continuing down the same road there. Why the double
> standard???

Double standard? I don't recall ever allowing such a thing. Please refresh
me.


>
> Yucca Mtn was only "fragile" because of the mandate that it be
> "monitored retrievable" storage....that meant all kinds of stuff to do
> that. It surely would have been much better for all sorts of reasons
> than just letting spent assemblies continue to sit in spent fuel
> pools.
> I contend it is still essentially all political (and that is driven by
> the special interest groups of all ilks that have banded together as
> being anti-nuke for all sorts of underlying reasons from perceived
> risk as you to environmental to simply anti-technology/development)
> here and throughout the rest of the (more or less) democratic world.
>
> BTW, I was reminded from another story last night of a feature of
> Carter I had forgotten...it was he who got us going on corn ethanol
> because of his misguided boycott on exporting grain to the Russians
> over the Olympics and that was his answer to the resultant crash in
> the domestic grain markets from having killed the markets. It's
> taken almost 30 yrs to recover viable markets internal and external
> from that disaster and the current administration is almost as
> hostile to ag in holding up current approval of trade treaties that
> have been on hold since they took office. Meanwhile, altho we're
> losing out every year in those markets and will have tough road to
> recovery when they finally do get approved (assuming will,
> eventually) ag is one of the few positive trade balance areas in the
> US economy and they're doing about everything can to stifle it and
> make us less competitive worldwide. Hard to figure what goes on in
> their heads... :(

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 6:11 PM

On Aug 11, 8:21=A0pm, Han <[email protected]> wrote:
> Richard <[email protected]> wrote innews:3cidnYDcyJKM0NnTnZ2dnUVZ_qe=
[email protected]:
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> > On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
> >> Richard<[email protected]> =A0wrote in
> >>news:[email protected]:
>
> >>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> >>>> "Han" wrote:
>
> >>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per
> >>>>> year than
> >>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>
> >>>> ---------------------------------
> >>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
> >>>> well as nukes?
>
> >>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
> >>>> quickly as possible.
>
> >>>> Lew
>
> >>> And replace them with what, Lew?
> >>> Horses?
>
> >> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse
> >> manure pollution in (at least) New York City.
>
> >>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and
> >>> portability as gasoline. =A0I would add that our problem is that we
> >>> are 50 years late deciding to make internal combustion effecent and
> >>> clean. =A0But we didn't have the computer technology back then to do
> >>> it.
>
> >> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
> >> sources. =A0Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats
> >> are equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
> >> consumption. =A0I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
> >> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
> >> demand. =A0For now, I think the only transportation that would be
> >> difficult to replace is jet planes.
>
> > Actually, I think the biggest problem is shipping - freighters.
> > Dig into that some.
>
> Depending on the size of the ship, nuclear could be an option, although I
> don't think any ships apart from navy have been nuclear so far.
>
> --
> Best regards
> Han
> email address is invalid

Fuel is hard to get a hold of.

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 2:28 PM

J. Clarke wrote:
> In article <[email protected]>,
> [email protected] says...
>>
>> Mike Marlow wrote:
>>>
>>> I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that
>>> approach! But - even a well run plant does not address the issues of
>>> accidents and waste disposal. Both of those offer a far more dismal
>>> future than the thought of depleting natural gas.
>>
>> Minor observation: We do not have a plan for nuclear waste removal
>> because we don't NEED a plan.
>>
>> There are several thoughts on the matter: Encase the waste in molten
>> glass and dump the ingots in the middle of the Pacific, shoot the
>> waste into the sun via rocket ship, liquify and pump into a salt
>> dome, etc.
>>
>> The reason none of these has been adoped is that the need for a
>> solution is not critical.
>>
>> The longer we postpone a decision, the greater the chance of a better
>> solution being found.
>>
>> Personally, I'm in favor of stacking the stuff up on the U.S.-Mexican
>> border. It will make spotting illegals easier to spot in the dark.
>
> Actually the reason we don't have a plan is that Carter decreed that
> it be stored instead of recycled and no President since has grown a
> brain.

Actually, the French could tell you why recycling is not the panacea that
those condeming the US position, are so fond of implying.
--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 6:23 AM

On Jun 2, 9:05=A0am, dpb <[email protected]> wrote:

>
> There is still gas but it is far more valuable in the long run for
> chemical feedstock and other uses instead of wasting it for central
> station generation while have other fuels far more suited for the
> purpose that aren't so much suited for the other.
>
That's a mouthful. Like that christmas story about the girl who lights
matches to keep warm as opposed to her selling them to buy coal?

The more I read, search and talk to my small circle of friends at OPG
(Ontario Power Generation) the more pro nuclear I get. My two oldest
daughters and their husbands all work in either Pickering or
Darlington nuclear power stations. One of them works in the legal
department and pushes 'safety papers'. Another is so green in life-
style, he pisses me off. But all are educated and informed. No knee-
jerk responses from any of them. Japan was a combination of flukes
that all added up to an accident of major proportions.
In no way did that incident reflect on the concept and sense of
nuclear power. That particular event should be no more than a lesson
to be more careful where we build those units.

The oil, gas and coal industries all have their agendas and it will be
a cold day in hell if any of them ever become proponents of a solution
that takes money out of their pockets.
Who makes money off the windmill business? The sales people?...
because that's about it. Here in Ontario the Windpower barely makes up
for line-losses and that is one helluva expensive way to make up for
those.

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 1:32 PM

On Aug 11, 3:13=A0pm, Leon <lcb11211@swbelldotnet> wrote:
> On 8/11/2011 12:47 PM, Han wrote:
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
>
> > Robatoy<[email protected]> =A0wrote in news:e4c4325c-5386-4ed1-99=
12-
> > [email protected]:
>
> >> On Aug 11, 1:08 pm, "Lew Hodgett"<[email protected]> =A0wrote:
> >>> Somebody wrote:
> >>>> "Alternative energy sources" can do no more than nibble at the
> >>>> margins. All those you mention make up less than 5% of our energy
> >>>> needs.
>
> >>> --------------------------------------
> >>> California is all ready approaching 20% of it's electrical energy
> >>> requirements from renewable sources and is expecting to reach 35%
> >>> within 10 years.
>
> >>> What is so funny about that is that today Texas produces more wind
> >>> power than California.
>
> >> I can think of a reason for that.<g, d&r>
>
> > Don't hold back, Rob!!
>
> Do not poke Rob with that stick!

ROTF

Sk

Swingman

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/07/2011 6:09 AM

On 6/30/2011 7:14 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "Swingman" wrote:
>
>> Politics, not science.
>
> Obviously.
>
> Politics is the vehicle of change.

Politics is why your state is in the state its in ...

--
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Last update: 4/15/2010
KarlC@ (the obvious)

Sk

Swingman

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 6:59 AM

On 6/2/2011 2:30 AM, Just Wondering wrote:
> On 6/1/2011 4:46 PM, Swingman wrote:


>>>> I listen to "Democracy Now" on the local Pacific radio daily, simply as
>>>> a constant reminder as to just how much these people who produce it
>>>> hate
>>>> the thought of a successful democracy ... it is exactly the same mindset
>>>> with regard to nuclear energy.
>>>
>>> In the entire history of the world, has there ever been a single
>>> instance of a successful democracy?
>>
>> If you equate success with longevity, the jury is still out. (and this
>> one won't last much longer at the current rate)
>>
> I think you miss my point.

Nope, you missed mine and took off down a rabbit trail ...

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KarlC@ (the obvious)

Sk

Swingman

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/07/2011 8:25 AM

On 7/1/2011 8:03 AM, Leon wrote:
> On 7/1/2011 6:09 AM, Swingman wrote:
>> On 6/30/2011 7:14 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>> "Swingman" wrote:
>>>
>>>> Politics, not science.
>>>
>>> Obviously.
>>>
>>> Politics is the vehicle of change.
>>
>> Politics is why your state is in the state its in ...
>>
>
> But if you live in California, that is a good thing. Right? ;~)


ONLY ... as long as they stay/keep it in CA!!

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Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 7:53 AM

Larry W wrote:
> In article <[email protected]>,
> Lew Hodgett <[email protected]> wrote:
>> Looks like Germany is taking the lead.
>>
>> http://tinyurl.com/3pcx2jh
>>
>>
>> Lew
>>
>>
>>
> Yes, the lead in hysterical over-reaction. Well, sooner or later
> someone had to surpass California in that respect.

So, what is Germany to use to power electrical generation plants?

I know! Oil and natural gas!

There goes the demand curve - and the price.

Ll

Leon

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 2:13 PM

On 8/11/2011 12:47 PM, Han wrote:
> Robatoy<[email protected]> wrote in news:e4c4325c-5386-4ed1-9912-
> [email protected]:
>
>> On Aug 11, 1:08 pm, "Lew Hodgett"<[email protected]> wrote:
>>> Somebody wrote:
>>>> "Alternative energy sources" can do no more than nibble at the
>>>> margins. All those you mention make up less than 5% of our energy
>>>> needs.
>>>
>>> --------------------------------------
>>> California is all ready approaching 20% of it's electrical energy
>>> requirements from renewable sources and is expecting to reach 35%
>>> within 10 years.
>>>
>>> What is so funny about that is that today Texas produces more wind
>>> power than California.
>>
>> I can think of a reason for that.<g, d&r>
>
> Don't hold back, Rob!!
>


Do not poke Rob with that stick!

Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

04/06/2011 8:07 AM

Robatoy wrote:
> On Jun 3, 11:13 pm, "HeyBub" <[email protected]> wrote:
>> Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>> "dpb" wrote:
>>
>>>> Again, if it weren't for the alternative sources req'd to be around
>>>> because it isn't reliable, that would be basically true.
>>> ----------------------------
>>> You're hung up on wind being unreliable.
>>
>>> There is more than one form of renewable energy.
>>
>> Right. Wind, hydro, tidal, geothermal, nuclear, etc.
>>
>> Name ONE as versatile, economical, or available as petroleum. By
>> every objective standard, there is no current substitute for oil.
>> Nor does anyone claim there will be in the foreseeable future.
>
> Now THAT is some foreward thinking there Francis. How typical for a
> republican.

Thanks. You're right. My concise statement would serve admirably as an
introduction (foreward) to a book. Added to the other "C"s (Clear, Cogent,
Convincing), it should be a best seller!

My previous two books did not, frankly, take the market by storm. I still
have some copies I'd be willing to let go on the cheap.

* Toilet Tissue Origami - The Ultimate Book for the John, and
* The New Testament in Morse Code - The Translation for the Scholar Who Has
Every Other Translation

Let me know.

P.S.
I'm currently working on "Collecting Locomotives for Fun & Profit." It's
going slowly.

JJ

"Josepi"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

10/08/2011 9:58 PM

I am not familiar with the incident.

Two years?... sounds almost impossible but, the battery technology is pretty
decent these days and with all the power saving techniques using burst
transmission and circuit shut down etc...

-------
"Han" wrote in message news:[email protected]...

Han <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:
Oops, 2 years after the crash. see here:
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_France_Flight_447>

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Sk

Swingman

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

15/08/2011 9:21 AM

On 8/15/2011 8:32 AM, Han wrote:
> "J. Clarke"<[email protected]> wrote in
> news:[email protected]:
>
>> In any case, all energy is fossil fuel energy. Even solar. The fossil
>> is the primordial hydrogen that the sun is burning at a horrendous rate
>> and in a very wasteful manner.
>
> I'm sure the treaparty will fix that too ...

LOL ... you liberal rascal you! :)

One unarguable fact you guys conveniently lose sight of with regard to
the the Tea Party:

The "Tea Party" are NOT the ones that got us into this mess.

That is not to say that, given the doubtful opportunity, they won't
follow suit.

Remember, and NEVER lose sight that, Dickens' "Little Dorritt", Chapter
10, is the ONLY unalterable rule of government!

Op. cit.

;)


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KarlC@ (the obvious)

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to Swingman on 15/08/2011 9:21 AM

06/05/2012 9:19 PM

On Sun, 6 May 2012 13:16:03 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
<[email protected]> wrote:

>Lew Hodgett wrote:
>> "Lew Hodgett" wrote:
>>
>>> After a tour of the damaged reactor site, it's been announced by the
>>> Japanese it may take at least 30 years to clean up the mess.
>>>
>>> I'd call that a "Reactor problem".
>> ----------------------------------------
>>
>> Looks like "Reactor problem" was a bit of an understatement.
>>
>> Now six months later, the Japanese have pulled the plug on nuclear
>> power in Japan.
>>
>> Lew
>> .
>
>What fools! Don't they know it's safe, clean and cheap?

Before the earthquake/tsunami double-whammy, they _were_!
I think they're fools to get away from it.

--
With every experience, you alone are painting your
own canvas, thought by thought, choice by choice.
-- Oprah Winfrey

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 8:25 PM

In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
> On 5/31/2011 6:13 PM, Han wrote:
> > dpb<[email protected]> wrote in news:[email protected]:
> >
> >> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or in
> >> Germany. Baseload is still an issue.
> >
> > Probably less of a problem in Germany than hereabouts.
>
> There's got to be _something_ generating baseload...as much as the wind
> blows here in SW KS, the capacity factor of wind here is only about 40%
> of installed capacity. Take that baseload away from the nukes where's
> in coming from?

Looks like the Germans are going back to coal. No doubt they'll come up
with some overengineerd baroque monstrosity intended to be "clean".

> For the nearest of the large wind farms there's >80% correlation of
> local wind speed to output over the 7 years' of operational data so far
> so the limitation is real, not a decision to not operate.

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 12:22 PM

In article <[email protected]>,
[email protected] says...
>
> Mike Marlow wrote:
> >
> > I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that
> > approach! But - even a well run plant does not address the issues of
> > accidents and waste disposal. Both of those offer a far more dismal
> > future than the thought of depleting natural gas.
>
> Minor observation: We do not have a plan for nuclear waste removal because
> we don't NEED a plan.
>
> There are several thoughts on the matter: Encase the waste in molten glass
> and dump the ingots in the middle of the Pacific, shoot the waste into the
> sun via rocket ship, liquify and pump into a salt dome, etc.
>
> The reason none of these has been adoped is that the need for a solution is
> not critical.
>
> The longer we postpone a decision, the greater the chance of a better
> solution being found.
>
> Personally, I'm in favor of stacking the stuff up on the U.S.-Mexican
> border. It will make spotting illegals easier to spot in the dark.

Actually the reason we don't have a plan is that Carter decreed that it
be stored instead of recycled and no President since has grown a brain.

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 5:40 PM

In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
> Mike Marlow wrote:
>
> ...
>
>
> > Actually, the French could tell you why recycling is not the panacea that
> > those condeming the US position, are so fond of implying.
>
>
> Currently recycling of commercial nuclear fuel is a bum idea simply
> because the economics don't support it w/ a plentiful supply of virgin
> material (and espeically so as continue to blend down the former USSR
> and US stocks of HEU that has been and is being reclaimed from the arms
> treaties of the last decades. That being a 30:1 (roughly) expansion of
> material, even the relatively small amounts contained in a warhead as
> opposed to that in a reactor core load makes it go quite a long ways in
> minimizing the SWUs expense.
>
> Reprocessing will, in the end, become a viable alternative as supplies
> tighten up, just as alternative combustible fuels (ethanol and biodiesel
> for two) will continue to become more and more viable as the cost
> differential decreases and may _eventually_ even favor the biofuels.

If someone can find a way to make ethanol that does not involve growing
crops on arable land perhaps. Right now with corn for ethanol competing
with food crops the main effect of using ethanol is to run food prices
through the roof.

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 9:08 PM

In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
> J. Clarke wrote:
>
> ...
>
>
> > If someone can find a way to make ethanol that does not involve growing
> > crops on arable land perhaps. Right now with corn for ethanol competing
> > with food crops the main effect of using ethanol is to run food prices
> > through the roof.
>
>
> Even the World Bank has now come to its senses and noted that the effect
> of US corn ethanol on food prices is a very small fraction of the
> overall rise...

Funny how the corn farmers are claiming that removing the subsidy for
ethanol refining is going to cut their prices in half then.

> Note that wheat and other feed grains are high as well and they're not
> being used for ethanol.

Yep. Because they are being produced in less volume because farmers are
growing field corn to make ethanol. It's called supply and demand. A
farmer has x acres and wants to maximize his profit, so he grows corn
for ethanol instead of wheat for bread and pasta and flour and whatnot.

> The ultimate root causes of food pricing is
> _not_ the cost of the foodstuff at the farm; US farm percentages of the
> total food dollar have dropped from 20+% 10 years ago to under 15% now.
> The major costs are in the manufacturing and processing, and the
> distribution and retailing sectors.

Yep, you go on believing what the ethanol lobby wants you to believe.

> As a simple example, evean at $10/bu wheat, there's less than a quarter
> of wheat involved in the pound loaf of bread.

So how many cents worth of wheat are involved in the pound box of
macaroni? You're picking one of the most highly processed foods as your
example.

Sorry, but even if all the cropland in the world was used to produce
ethanol the amount produced would be a drop in the bucket to the overall
demand. So why do it other than to be politically correct?



JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 4:08 PM

In article <[email protected]>,
[email protected] says...
>
> Han wrote:
> >
> > Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
> > sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats
> > are equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
> > consumption. I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
> > manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
> > demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would be
> > difficult to replace is jet planes.
>
> Batteries are not "fuel sources," they are "fuel storage devices." Just like
> the gas tank on an automobile.
>
> "Alternative energy sources" can do no more than nibble at the margins. All
> those you mention make up less than 5% of our energy needs.
>
> Of course if we poured billions upon billions into research and development,
> we might be able to increase that to 10%.

If you read the fine print you find that the electric drive had more to
do with the savings than did the batteries. And vessels with electric
drive are nothing new--the Navy built its first electric drive
battleship in 1918 and had electric drive carriers in service at the
start of WWII.

However they were not battery electric, they were steam-electric.

The big downsides have always been weight and cost.

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

15/08/2011 9:15 AM

In article <[email protected]>,
[email protected] says...
>
> On 8/15/2011 6:11 AM, Han wrote:
> > Just Wondering<[email protected]> wrote in news:4e48b888$0$27188$a8266bb1
> > @newsreader.readnews.com:
> >
> >> Q. What happens when you battery runs down?
> >> A. You have to recharge it.
> >> Q. Where does the electricity come from to recharge it?
> >> A. Mostly from power plants using coal, oil, and gas.
> >
> > Isn't this an assumption? An ever increasing amount of baseline large
> > scale electricity generation comes from renewables or nuclear. So, maybe
> > it is "only" 20% now, that doesn't mean it can't be 50% or more relatively
> > soon.
> >
> >
> >> For most practical purposes, electrical energy is fossil fuel energy,
> >> just one step removed.
> >
> > True, for now<smile>.
> >
>
>
> Did you hear about all the rolling blackout warnings this summer?

In any case, all energy is fossil fuel energy. Even solar. The fossil
is the primordial hydrogen that the sun is burning at a horrendous rate
and in a very wasteful manner.

Sk

Swingman

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

30/06/2011 6:41 PM

On 6/30/2011 5:04 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> Germany does the deed.
>
> http://tinyurl.com/3do64xf

Politics, not science.

Had to laugh at the commentors. This quote says it all:

"Say I wanted broil a steak, which I don't eat because its meat and
causes climate change ..."

... nuff said.

Makes one hope they won't live to see the bill for stupidity come due.

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KarlC@ (the obvious)

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 2:43 PM

"HeyBub" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> Larry W wrote:
>> In article <[email protected]>,
>> Lew Hodgett <[email protected]> wrote:
>>> Looks like Germany is taking the lead.
>>>
>>> http://tinyurl.com/3pcx2jh
>>>
>>>
>>> Lew
>>>
>>>
>>>
>> Yes, the lead in hysterical over-reaction. Well, sooner or later
>> someone had to surpass California in that respect.
>
> So, what is Germany to use to power electrical generation plants?
>
> I know! Oil and natural gas!
>
> There goes the demand curve - and the price.

Germany is actually pretty big on renewables. Often wind. It was stated
that the "emergency" shutdown of some 7 big nuclear plants hadn't caused
any problems with electricity supply, so they thought they could handle the
mothballing of the remaining plants fairly easily.

Of course the customer will pay for any costs ...

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 11:13 PM

dpb <[email protected]> wrote in news:[email protected]:

> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or in
> Germany. Baseload is still an issue.

Probably less of a problem in Germany than hereabouts.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 1:48 AM

"Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote in news:4de59143$0$1711
[email protected]:

> The Germans seem to addressed the base load issue.
>
> "The plan calls for more investment in natural gas plants as a backup
> to prevent blackouts, the chancellor said."
>

When Holland runs out, the Germans are going to be totally dependent on
Russian gas. Doesn't sound really smart, but they'll know better ...

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 11:35 AM

"HeyBub" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> But what are the consequences of interrupting surface wind flow? Will
> it affect the weather? Crop pollination? A dog's sense of direction?

I'd guess that is minimal. Possibly the biggest drawback is hitting and
killing flying creatures.

> It's said that in some parts of Texas, one can't have more than one
> windmill per acre or all the wind will get used up!

Given the size of the propeller, I would suggest the same, if indeed an
acre is ~208 feet squared. Since the biggest rotors have a diameter of 400
feet, more than 4 acres seems better
<http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQxp6QTjgJg>

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

04/06/2011 11:19 AM

"HeyBub" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> No, global warming has just about been eliminated as a long-term
> anything. Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
> preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
> either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds. The whole thing
> has as much substance as crop circles and its practitioners, in the
> main, devotees of something resembling a cargo cult.

I know it is difficult, but keep an open mind. Global warming is a fact.
Exactly how much is man-made is not known, but an appreciable percentage
is. Chatter among scientists as to how to account for datapoints that
appear to be outliers is just that - chatter. Important for getting down
to the nitty-gritty, but it isn't affecting the big picture.



--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

04/06/2011 8:05 PM

"HeyBub" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> However, I detect some ambivalence in YOUR comment:
>
> "Exactly how much is man-made is not known, but an appreciable
> percentage is."
>
> If the amount is unknown, how can one assert "an appreciable
> percentage" of global warming is man-made?
>
> And what is this "appreciable" percentage? 50%? 90%? 5%?

Ambivalence - no, I'm not ambivalent about it. On the other hand, as
many have pointed out, Mother Nature has on occasion made things warmer
and colder, and no one can be sure (yet) what She is doing all by herself
right now. There is uncertainty in both the natural trend(s) and the
trends caused by humankind.

What is unequivocal (IMNSHO) is that we are contributing to warming of
the global climate. As the doomsday sayers have pointed out, a very high
proportion of the people on earth live in coastal areas. If sealevel is
indeed going to rise several feet, and maybe several tens of feet, there
will be hell to pay in areas like, e.g. New York. I remember there was a
storm, I believe in the 80s, that occurred at exactly the wrong time -
socalled spring tides, when twice a month moon, earth and sun are aligned
so that normal tides are already 1 or 2 feet higher than average. The
long duration storm had pushed up waters in New York Bay so high that
notonly the highways circling Manhattan were flooded, the parking lot
behind the VA Hospital on 23rd Str was under water - cars up to their
windows in seawater, subbasement flooded, elevators (18 stories) out of
action, etc. I had to help rescue foodstuffs from the subbasement. A
general emergency situation. Imagine patients who needed to be moved,
carried by stretcher up and down the stairs. Also, I believe on this
occasion, the subway pumps couldn't keep up and subways broke down
because of the flooding.

This just to indicate that a few feet of sealevel will make a nasty and
big difference.

My country of origin, Holland is of necessity busy with a really big and
long duration program of water control, both from the sea and from the
rivers entering Holland. Because of greater and longer periods of heat
and lack of precipitation, that includes measures to conserve and
preserve water supplies, both for people and for agriculture. All this
idiotic denial of what is inevitably going to happen to some degree, has
me concerned that some just have their heads in the sand. Preparing for
what is going to happen in fifty or 150 years doesn't sound appealing,
but you're going to face it some day. And it is going to cost a lot.


--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

09/08/2011 1:52 AM

"Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote in news:4e406b92$0$27968
[email protected]:

> Bottom line with nuke plants:
>
> One design or operational (1) screw up is three (3) too many.
>
> The risks are simply too large at this point in time.
>
> Lew

Remember the Air France plane that disappeared over the Middle Atlantic
some time back? On its way from Brazil, it ran into bad weather. The
pilots were not too experienced/trained, and didn't read the
malfunctioning pitot tube(s) speed indicators with enough suspicion.
Those pitot tubes were KNOWN to be prone to icing up. As a result, they
pointed the nose up, not down, and stalled the plane into the ocean. A
clear example of a known defect, that normally doesn't result in really
bad things, but, obviously, here it did. The same with nukes. There are
a number of known bad things in design of the totality of some of the
plants and nobody does anything until it is too late. Certainly with
Chernobyl and Fukushima (sp?). That does NOT mean nukes are inherently
bad, just that some things with some nukes are bad, and should be fixed.

As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year than
all the people who have died from nuke accidents.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

kk

in reply to Han on 09/08/2011 1:52 AM

16/08/2011 5:55 PM

On Mon, 15 Aug 2011 09:15:05 -0400, "J. Clarke" <[email protected]> wrote:

>In article <[email protected]>,
>[email protected] says...
>>
>> On 8/15/2011 6:11 AM, Han wrote:
>> > Just Wondering<[email protected]> wrote in news:4e48b888$0$27188$a8266bb1
>> > @newsreader.readnews.com:
>> >
>> >> Q. What happens when you battery runs down?
>> >> A. You have to recharge it.
>> >> Q. Where does the electricity come from to recharge it?
>> >> A. Mostly from power plants using coal, oil, and gas.
>> >
>> > Isn't this an assumption? An ever increasing amount of baseline large
>> > scale electricity generation comes from renewables or nuclear. So, maybe
>> > it is "only" 20% now, that doesn't mean it can't be 50% or more relatively
>> > soon.
>> >
>> >
>> >> For most practical purposes, electrical energy is fossil fuel energy,
>> >> just one step removed.
>> >
>> > True, for now<smile>.
>> >
>>
>>
>> Did you hear about all the rolling blackout warnings this summer?
>
>In any case, all energy is fossil fuel energy. Even solar. The fossil
>is the primordial hydrogen that the sun is burning at a horrendous rate
>and in a very wasteful manner.

Nuclear is fossil in origin?

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

09/08/2011 4:23 PM

Larry Jaques <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> A 35,000' drop is an awful lot for a stall without any recovery.
> I have to question that conclusion. Got a cite for it? If nothing
> else, even a fairly newly licensed pilot would have a better feel for
> pitch attitude than that would indicate.

I read this somewhere. Remember, the plane was buffeted by really bad
weather, the instruments gave conflicting readings, probably was near pitch
black. There was somewhere a preliminary reading of the black boxes that
were finally recovered. A miracle in itselfthat they were found, in the
middle of the ocean, no reliable position known until just about then.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

10/08/2011 11:20 AM

"Josepi" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> The black boxes have locating beacon transmitters in them and are
> designed to be found easily.

Yes, but the ocean is big, real big, and I'm pretty sure that a) the range
of the transmitter has limits, and b) the powersource is finite. When they
did find the boxes they were a bit surprised they still were transmitting
after how long, a year??
--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

10/08/2011 11:22 AM

Han <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> "Josepi" <[email protected]> wrote in
> news:[email protected]:
>
>> The black boxes have locating beacon transmitters in them and are
>> designed to be found easily.
>
> Yes, but the ocean is big, real big, and I'm pretty sure that a) the
> range of the transmitter has limits, and b) the powersource is finite.
> When they did find the boxes they were a bit surprised they still
> were transmitting after how long, a year??

Oops, 2 years after the crash. see here:
<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_France_Flight_447>

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 12:11 PM

Richard <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>> "Han" wrote:
>>
>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year
>>> than
>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>
>> ---------------------------------
>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
>> well as nukes?
>>
>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
>> quickly as possible.
>>
>> Lew
>>
>>
>
> And replace them with what, Lew?
> Horses?

Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse manure
pollution in (at least) New York City.

> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and portability
> as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we are 50 years late
> deciding to make internal combustion effecent and clean. But we didn't
> have the computer technology back then to do it.

Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats are
equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
consumption. I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would be difficult
to replace is jet planes.


--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to Han on 11/08/2011 12:11 PM

15/08/2011 6:31 PM

On Mon, 15 Aug 2011 10:51:29 -0500, Swingman <[email protected]> wrote:

>On 8/15/2011 10:02 AM, Larry Jaques wrote:
>> On Mon, 15 Aug 2011 09:21:36 -0500, Swingman<[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
>>> Remember, and NEVER lose sight that, Dickens' "Little Dorritt", Chapter
>>> 10, is the ONLY unalterable rule of government!
>>>
>>> Op. cit.
>>
>> Opus in printius:
>> http://www.readprint.com/chapter-2800/Little-Dorrit-Charles-Dickens
>>
>> ;)
>>
>> P.S: Is the Department of Redundancy Department included in today's
>> Department of Circumlocution?
>
>That which we call a rose ...

Wilt pricketh thou just the same?

--
Happiness lies in the joy of achievement and the thrill of creative effort.
-- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 3:57 PM

"HeyBub" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> Han wrote:
>>
>> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
>> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats
>> are equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
>> consumption. I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
>> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
>> demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would be
>> difficult to replace is jet planes.
>
> Batteries are not "fuel sources," they are "fuel storage devices."
> Just like the gas tank on an automobile.

Right, but they are a necessity for electric automobile propulsion, don't
you think?

> "Alternative energy sources" can do no more than nibble at the
> margins. All those you mention make up less than 5% of our energy
> needs.

Not so clear to me. It will take time and money to get alternative
energy sources more integrated, but it may not be as expensive as you
think, and neither as far away

> Of course if we poured billions upon billions into research and
> development, we might be able to increase that to 10%.

Refurbishing current energy plants and building new ones does take money,
but it should be well-spent, not at the whim of big oil, etc.


--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 3:59 PM

Leon <lcb11211@swbelldotnet> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
>> Richard<[email protected]> wrote in
>> news:[email protected]:
>>
>>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>>> "Han" wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per
>>>>> year than
>>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>>>
>>>> ---------------------------------
>>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
>>>> well as nukes?
>>>>
>>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
>>>> quickly as possible.
>>>>
>>>> Lew
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>> And replace them with what, Lew?
>>> Horses?
>>
>> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse
>> manure pollution in (at least) New York City.
>>
>>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and
>>> portability as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we
>>> are 50 years late deciding to make internal combustion effecent and
>>> clean. But we didn't have the computer technology back then to do
>>> it.
>>
>> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
>> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats
>> are equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
>> consumption.
>
> So when you mention battery technology being so far along, do you
> consider the down side that it is a nasty business to be disposing of
> the spent batteries? Typically the battery cars life cycle from
> beginning to end today use more energy and pollute more during the
> manufacturing, consumer operation, and disposal process than the
> Hummer.
>
> The electrics look good if you only consider the consumer benefit.
> They are not any better for the environment during manufacture and
> disposal.

That's why I said the below. Reduce, reuse and recycling ... etc.

> I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
>> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
>> demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would be
>> difficult to replace is jet planes.
>>
>>
>



--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 4:00 PM

Robatoy <[email protected]> wrote in news:1361353c-ebf6-469f-b516-
[email protected]:

> LOL...Battery powered (heavy) planes...cool. So the runways need to be
> 15 miles, so what? There's always eminent domain.

Back to the spruce goose, and seaplanes ...

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 5:47 PM

Robatoy <[email protected]> wrote in news:e4c4325c-5386-4ed1-9912-
[email protected]:

> On Aug 11, 1:08 pm, "Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote:
>> Somebody wrote:
>> > "Alternative energy sources" can do no more than nibble at the
>> > margins. All those you mention make up less than 5% of our energy
>> > needs.
>>
>> --------------------------------------
>> California is all ready approaching 20% of it's electrical energy
>> requirements from renewable sources and is expecting to reach 35%
>> within 10 years.
>>
>> What is so funny about that is that today Texas produces more wind
>> power than California.
>
> I can think of a reason for that. <g, d&r>

Don't hold back, Rob!!

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

12/08/2011 12:21 AM

Richard <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
>> Richard<[email protected]> wrote in
>> news:[email protected]:
>>
>>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>>> "Han" wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per
>>>>> year than
>>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>>>
>>>> ---------------------------------
>>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
>>>> well as nukes?
>>>>
>>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
>>>> quickly as possible.
>>>>
>>>> Lew
>>>>
>>>>
>>>
>>> And replace them with what, Lew?
>>> Horses?
>>
>> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse
>> manure pollution in (at least) New York City.
>>
>>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and
>>> portability as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we
>>> are 50 years late deciding to make internal combustion effecent and
>>> clean. But we didn't have the computer technology back then to do
>>> it.
>>
>> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
>> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats
>> are equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
>> consumption. I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
>> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
>> demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would be
>> difficult to replace is jet planes.
>>
>>
> Actually, I think the biggest problem is shipping - freighters.
> Dig into that some.

Depending on the size of the ship, nuclear could be an option, although I
don't think any ships apart from navy have been nuclear so far.


--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

15/08/2011 11:11 AM

Just Wondering <[email protected]> wrote in news:4e48b888$0$27188$a8266bb1
@newsreader.readnews.com:

> Q. What happens when you battery runs down?
> A. You have to recharge it.
> Q. Where does the electricity come from to recharge it?
> A. Mostly from power plants using coal, oil, and gas.

Isn't this an assumption? An ever increasing amount of baseline large
scale electricity generation comes from renewables or nuclear. So, maybe
it is "only" 20% now, that doesn't mean it can't be 50% or more relatively
soon.


> For most practical purposes, electrical energy is fossil fuel energy,
> just one step removed.

True, for now <smile>.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

15/08/2011 1:31 PM

Richard <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> Did you hear about all the rolling blackout warnings this summer?

I'm in the greater New York City area, not in Japan. While there were a
few outages here during the heatwaves, most were due to storms. No rolling
blackouts here.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

15/08/2011 1:32 PM

"J. Clarke" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> In any case, all energy is fossil fuel energy. Even solar. The fossil
> is the primordial hydrogen that the sun is burning at a horrendous rate
> and in a very wasteful manner.

I'm sure the treaparty will fix that too ...

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

15/08/2011 2:58 PM

Swingman <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> On 8/15/2011 8:32 AM, Han wrote:
>> "J. Clarke"<[email protected]> wrote in
>> news:[email protected]:
>>
>>> In any case, all energy is fossil fuel energy. Even solar. The
>>> fossil is the primordial hydrogen that the sun is burning at a
>>> horrendous rate and in a very wasteful manner.
>>
>> I'm sure the treaparty will fix that too ...
>
> LOL ... you liberal rascal you! :)
>
> One unarguable fact you guys conveniently lose sight of with regard to
> the the Tea Party:
>
> The "Tea Party" are NOT the ones that got us into this mess.
>
> That is not to say that, given the doubtful opportunity, they won't
> follow suit.
>
> Remember, and NEVER lose sight that, Dickens' "Little Dorritt",
> Chapter 10, is the ONLY unalterable rule of government!
>
> Op. cit.
>
> ;)

Noted with delight!!

Just to remind you, I'm fiscally conservative. As just restated in the
NY Times, Texas didn't suffer as much as CA & FL from the housing
collapse (in part) because of its rather stringent mortgage regulations.
Other than that they (of course) had little good to say about Parry ...


--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Sk

Swingman

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/07/2011 11:51 AM

On 7/1/2011 8:25 AM, Swingman wrote:
> On 7/1/2011 8:03 AM, Leon wrote:
>> On 7/1/2011 6:09 AM, Swingman wrote:
>>> On 6/30/2011 7:14 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>>> "Swingman" wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> Politics, not science.
>>>>
>>>> Obviously.
>>>>
>>>> Politics is the vehicle of change.
>>>
>>> Politics is why your state is in the state its in ...
>>>
>>
>> But if you live in California, that is a good thing. Right? ;~)
>
>
> ONLY ... as long as they stay/keep it in CA!!

And it ooks like some are fed up with it:

http://www.pe.com/localnews/stories/PE_News_Local_D_secede01.411b87a9f.html

--
www.e-woodshop.net
Last update: 4/15/2010
KarlC@ (the obvious)

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 11:58 PM

Larry W wrote:
> In article <[email protected]>,
> Mike Marlow <[email protected]> wrote:
> <<...snipped...>>
>>> I suppose it's a matter of opinion. Speaking for myself, I'd sure
>>> rather live next door to a nuclear plant than downstream from a coal
>>> slurry dam:
>>>
>>
>> To be fair - I am no advocate of that particular manner of dealing
>> with the fly ash. I don't want to second guess something that the
>> designers didn't invite me to participate in, but from where I sit,
>> it sure does look like those slurrys could have been almost
>> expected. We've been building damns and ponds for a long time, and
>> we've seen plenty of failures - makes one wonder why some of those
>> lessons seemed to have been lost on the design of those ponds.
>>
>
> Mike, just to clarify, those are NOT fly ash impoundments. They are
> _slurry_ impoundments where the waste from _mining_ the coal is put.
> Fly ash is produced from _burning_ coal and is yet another waste
> product from coal that is often stored in impoundment dams. Coal is
> just plain dirty all around.

Ok - I may have misunderstood the links when I looked at them earlier. I
thought they were fly ash slurries. Maybe not so much a difference though -
it's still a mess that probably could have been dealt with better right from
the outset.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Sk

Swingman

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 6:41 AM

On 6/2/2011 10:54 AM, Just Wondering wrote:

>
> Then let's go back to your original point.

You won't get the point until you broaden your scope ... listen to the
program, then look up the concept of "progressivm".


You referred to people who
> "hate the thought of a successful democracy." A true democracy (as
> distinguished from a representative government" is a government where
> the people rule directly by majority vote.

Rabbit trail ... watch the droppings.

--
www.e-woodshop.net
Last update: 4/15/2010
KarlC@ (the obvious)

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

28/06/2011 2:21 AM

dpb wrote:

>
> Speaking of which, all of the above "relies on" are bogus even for the
> spent fuel pools.

Not at all true. Japan didn't count on the tsunami. The three plants near
me are on a geological fault. Come on - be honest and quit being such an
apologist for your industry. I'm not trying to berate the industry, but you
can't see the forest for the trees, in your professional willingness to see
nothing but your career training. There's a lot of information you could
well investigate, which does not attempt to demonize the nuclear industry,
but does raise questions that the industry itself does not dismiss.

>
> Certainly any repository site or other alternative has included design
> basis earthquake, outside threaths, etc., etc, etc., ...

Really?


--

-Mike-
[email protected]

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 2:31 PM

dpb wrote:

>
> And, actually, we _do_ need a solution...filling and interminable
> expanding the spent fuel pools at the operating sites is _not_ a good
> substitute for longterm storage in lieu of reprocessing.

Reprocessing is better than what we have here now, but it is no long term
solution. Not even a good short term solution. Nuclear waste is nuclear
waste and it is not safe regardless of whether it is reprocessed or not.
the complete issue needs address and to suggest that reprocessing is an
end-all solution is nothing short of foolish.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 2:18 PM

On Jun 2, 3:24=A0pm, "chaniarts" <[email protected]> wrote:
> Lew Hodgett wrote:
> > "chaniarts" wrote:
>
> >> but it's much windier elsewhere in europe than germany. without a
> >> european-wide energy producer, they're going to have to buy power
> >> from elsewhere. that elsewhere is going to have to use nuclear, so
> >> they're just exporting their problem to another country.
> > ----------------------------------
> > HUH!
>
> > If the krauts can make enough money selling power to the rest of
> > Europe, they will probably be happy to oblige.
>
> > Lew
>
> huh yourself. the krauts will be buyers, not sellers.

They'll just run an extension cord to Poland=97worked so well the last
time....

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

28/06/2011 3:48 PM

dpb wrote:

>
> I don't minimize risk; what I have noted is that it doesn't seem that
> threre is any satisfying a large number of critics no matter what is
> done...the shipping cask testing is just one example. A definitive
> test that will survive a catastrophic accident and still shipping was
> one of the "insurmountable difficulties" raised.

I agree that in any environment, one can never seem to satisfy the critics -
they have their own agenda. I've been trying to be careful to only speak of
things I've read that even the industry advocates have said. They have
openly acknowledged risks. Please do understand - I'm not at all about
trying to leverage the opinions of some fringe antagonist group.

>
> There are some considered critics, granted, but the position I
> characterize w/ Harry Reid and the populist politics seems to me to be
> the controlling factor in setting public policy rather than actual
> cost:benefit risk analysis.
>
> There has been one really severe nuclear accident in the world in the
> history of nuclear power; Chernobyl and that it was so significant a
> result owed to the design and primarily that the USSR built reactors
> w/o any primary containment whatsoever. Because of that, it has no
> bearing on any other facility presently operating.

I'll agree to that. TMI was in no way in the same league and it remains to
be seen what level the Japanese incident will fall into. But - that's not
been the underlying thought in my part of the discussion. Mine centers more
around the things we know are going to be issues, but may not have
experienced yet - but predictably will. The incidents to date only serve to
point to the fact that we need to be conscious of these possibilities - or
probabilities.

>
> In the US, TMI caused no discernible injuries and was the instigator
> for major revisions in design modifications and upgrades to the
> current generation of facilities.

Yeahbut... (and I know - yeahbuts are not really a very solid argument...) -
we got lucky there. Well, maybe not lucky, but in the end we did not have
to face the probable worst case. Granted, it is because a lot of things
worked as planned, and that is good. But again - my statements are not
about operations, but about storage and about unexpected events. TMI -
though I have thrown it out there, is really not the best case to review.
What does matter about TMI is that despite all the official press releases
from both the industry and the government is that the damage was far greater
and far closer to catastrophic than what was revealed to the public - who
was reassured that all was well. That plant was a lot closer to a
catastrophic melt down than was acknowledged at the time. Credibility does
count some.

>
> The Fukushima incident has, afaict, had no personal injuries offsite
> and no deaths although some onsite exposures (which, it appears, for
> the most part could have largely been avoided).

I think you are correct in that, but that is because people were either
washed out to sea to die in a different manner, or were evacuated to avoid
the impending doom. So, it is not even remotely reasonable to look at this
case as evidence of the safety of nuclear. Yup - people were evacuated.
You're now saying - oh look no one was irradiated. Well hell - of course
not - they were evacuated. Think about it...


> As for the tsunami,
> indeed it appears the design basis event was under-estimated for the
> site; that issue is being addressed all over the world already even
> in places that have no chance of ever seing tsunamis for alternative
> scenarios.

Point being - lots of plants around the world - including in my area where
geological issues are a concern to some level. In the interest of building
the plants, those concerns were dismissed. Just like the likelihood of the
Japanese plant ever really being hit and severely impacted by a tsunami.
Well - we've seen these things happen. The credibility of the assurances is
gone. I don't care what you were taught to believe over 30 years. The
dangers, the risks of both operation and storage have been foisted on the
consuming public without proper regard for the what-if scenario.


> There will undoubtedly be new procedures and safeguards
> placed on whichever facilities are in the region you're near. Note,
> however, that even w/ the severity of the earthquake in Japan, the
> physical integrity of the plants was not compromised other than by
> the loss of cooling owing to the tsunami, not the tremor.

Was not compromised???????????????? How in the hell do you say that?
Please - stop trying to bring this to some fine granularity of statement so
that you can prove that there was no safety issue. Just look at the big
picture. Is the plant up? Is it safe? Is it safe to live within 5 miles
of it? When - by the way... do you expect it will be safe to simply walk
through it? The point is that the very real dangers were realized.


>
> Overall, compared to any other major technology in widespread use, the
> actual number of deaths and injuries from commercial nuclear power
> accidents continues to leave it w/ far and away the best safety record
> of any.

I have agreed to this point more than once, but you must also realize that
we're only now beginning to realize the impacts that we had dismissed as a
result of a pretty good service record for 20 years. We became lulled into
assuming that since we didn't have a lot of bad experiences, that we could
now argue for how safe things really are. That's just plain bullshit and
you know it. The risks are real as is evidenced by the very industry
itself - again ... I have not seen anyone within your industry downplay the
risks the way that you do.

> That there will continue to be improvements and modifications
> is certainly true and reasoned input is always useful but expecting
> there to never be any conceivable incident is also unrealistic.

Never suggested that.

>
> My contention remains that nuclear-related perceived risk is ranked
> far higher than the realities of the actual happenings.

Yeahbut... The risk of storage for example, is very low when you begin to
store materials. it grows as storage grows.

> Surely it is
> unfortunate that any of these have occurred but then again, there
> could be another large airliner be lost tomorrow over the South
> Atlantic w/ multi-hundred passengers to an apparent severe
> thunderstorm and yet virtually nobody would choose to not get on
> _their_ flight the next day following despite that event.

Agreed - but the scale of risk is completely different. 400 people will not
be exposed to risk in a nuckear accident (whether it is operational or
logistical). As well the post incident issues are much greater in the case
of a nuclear incident. That all just servers to differentiate the two.

> OTOH,
> there's already movement to close nuclear facilities in places that
> have no chances of tsunamis by reacting to Japan; it makes no
> comparative sense whatever.

I do agree that some of these decisions make no sense at all - but that
draws back to the fact that I'm not anti-nuke. Focusing on dealing with
waste and looking at the potential accident scenarios are good thoughts, but
in no way do I support the knee jerk reaction to simply close down plants.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Sk

Swingman

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 5:46 PM

On 6/1/2011 4:17 PM, Just Wondering wrote:
> On 6/1/2011 12:50 PM, Swingman wrote:
>> On 6/1/2011 1:02 PM, chaniarts wrote:
>>> Han wrote:
>>>> dpb<[email protected]> wrote in news:[email protected]:
>>>>
>>>>> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or
>>>>> in Germany. Baseload is still an issue.
>>>>
>>>> Probably less of a problem in Germany than hereabouts.
>>>
>>> but it's much windier elsewhere in europe than germany. without a
>>> european-wide energy producer, they're going to have to buy power from
>>> elsewhere. that elsewhere is going to have to use nuclear, so they're
>>> just
>>> exporting their problem to another country.
>>
>> This whole is issue is purely political and based on neither science,
>> nor 40 years of statistical evidence with regard to the risk versus
>> reward of nuclear electrical generation.
>>
>> I listen to "Democracy Now" on the local Pacific radio daily, simply as
>> a constant reminder as to just how much these people who produce it hate
>> the thought of a sucessful democracy ... it is exactly the same mindset
>> with regard to nuclear energy.
>
> In the entire history of the world, has there ever been a single
> instance of a successful democracy?

If you equate success with longevity, the jury is still out. (and this
one won't last much longer at the current rate)

> I'm curious.
> In the last 50 years, how much electrical energy has been produced,
> worldwide, by plants powered by (a) coal, (b) other fossil fuels, (c)
> nuclear energy, and (d) all other energy sources combined?
> During the same 50 years, how many people have been killed, and how many
> injured, as the result of the use of (a) coal, (b) other fossil fuels,
> (c) nuclear energy, and (d) all other energy sources combined?
> The mortality/injury rates should include the processes of extracting
> the energy source and transporting it to point-of-use.
> I don't know, but I rather suspect that the death/injury rate per
> megawatt for nuclear power is lower than the other categories.

That is exactly my point, and just a much longer winded way of saying
the same thing. For those who prefer wordy illumination:

Reward versus risk is a tradeoff in all basic human endeabors from
hunter gathering to fishing for dinner, and nuclear energy is provably,
and statistically, far less riskier than your choice of geographic
location, from Joplin MO to Japan.

Nuclear energy may not be the winner in the long run, some new
technology will eventually come along, but currently it is far and above
the best possible "risk versus reward" choice, except to the fuzzy
thinking bunch.

But you have to consider that most of the anti-nuclear bunch are of the
EXACT same political mindset as those who want to outlaw male
circumcision in San Francisco, a special breed of progressive dickheads
who would apparently benefit greatly from the act themselves ...


www.e-woodshop.net
Last update: 4/15/2010
KarlC@ (the obvious)

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 7:49 AM

Robatoy wrote:

>
> I am all for oversight. There's always a chance that a privately owned
> utility will try shortcuts to improve their bottom line.
> We have a good sized unit just 1.5 hrs up the lake from here (
> http://www.brucepower.com/about-us/ ) and they are all over those
> guys. The rest of the nukes are monitored by themselves, NOT a good
> plan.

I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that approach!
But - even a well run plant does not address the issues of accidents and
waste disposal. Both of those offer a far more dismal future than the
thought of depleting natural gas.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

23/06/2011 1:19 PM

On Jun 23, 3:21=A0pm, "Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote:
> Where there is smoke...................
>
> http://tinyurl.com/6l6lzn2
>
> "Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote in message
>
> news:[email protected]...
>
>
>
> > Looks like they are going to need north of 80,000 pairs of lead
> > pants for the folks who have been forced to evacuate who lived
> > within 10 miles of the triple reactor melt down in Japan.
>
> > How about some more nukes?
>
> > Lead pants can be a growth industry.
>
> > Lew

I am all for oversight. There's always a chance that a privately owned
utility will try shortcuts to improve their bottom line.
We have a good sized unit just 1.5 hrs up the lake from here (
http://www.brucepower.com/about-us/ ) and they are all over those
guys. The rest of the nukes are monitored by themselves, NOT a good
plan.

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to Robatoy on 23/06/2011 1:19 PM

27/06/2011 6:23 AM

On Mon, 27 Jun 2011 08:39:36 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
<[email protected]> wrote:

>dpb wrote:

>> Meanwhile, owing to those decisions, spent fuel continues to simply
>> accumulate at the reactor sites as there is no alternative allowed or
>> allowable at present. The current situation is _all_, fundamentally,
>> political in how we got to this quagmire because every alternative has
>> been closed to date by intervention from DC.
>
>Not so much, as I understand it. Again - France is still dealing with what
>to do with their spent fuel.

And dealing with it well. Here's a 4-page NYT report on it:
http://goo.gl/12tDf The US could reduce their waste levels by a
factor of four by following the French methods of recycling.

--
The whole life of man is but a point of time; let us enjoy it.
-- Plutarch

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to Robatoy on 23/06/2011 1:19 PM

27/06/2011 9:49 AM

Larry Jaques wrote:
> On Mon, 27 Jun 2011 08:39:36 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
> <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> dpb wrote:
>
>>> Meanwhile, owing to those decisions, spent fuel continues to simply
>>> accumulate at the reactor sites as there is no alternative allowed
>>> or allowable at present. The current situation is _all_,
>>> fundamentally, political in how we got to this quagmire because
>>> every alternative has been closed to date by intervention from DC.
>>
>> Not so much, as I understand it. Again - France is still dealing
>> with what to do with their spent fuel.
>
> And dealing with it well. Here's a 4-page NYT report on it:
> http://goo.gl/12tDf The US could reduce their waste levels by a
> factor of four by following the French methods of recycling.

Yes, we could - and there has never been discussion or debate over that
point.

Read that very article again and see that neither France, the pro-recycling
factions, the anti-recycling factions (those two terms are probably a little
too strong), and the nuclear industry at large, have no more answers about
the waste and the threats is presents, than you and I as we read articles
like this. There is a lot of debate by experts on each side who know a
great deal more about this than either of us.

That article only states what I've been saying all along - the waste in any
form is still a looming issue. You can't just look at the availability of
electricity and ignore the waste issues.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

ME

Martin Eastburn

in reply to Robatoy on 23/06/2011 1:19 PM

27/06/2011 7:38 PM

The issue is with congress. Not with the science or engineering.

Other countries have machines that take poor quality fuel and
make stronger fuel better. They are called Breeders.
We invented them here and had to export technology.

The country went backwards and spent money on black fuel
from foreign countries. Other countries have programs and
we have had them for many years without major issues.

Breeders were only developed in prototype mode never a
functional production unit.

Martin

On 6/27/2011 8:49 AM, Mike Marlow wrote:
> Larry Jaques wrote:
>> On Mon, 27 Jun 2011 08:39:36 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
>> <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> dpb wrote:
>>
>>>> Meanwhile, owing to those decisions, spent fuel continues to simply
>>>> accumulate at the reactor sites as there is no alternative allowed
>>>> or allowable at present. The current situation is _all_,
>>>> fundamentally, political in how we got to this quagmire because
>>>> every alternative has been closed to date by intervention from DC.
>>>
>>> Not so much, as I understand it. Again - France is still dealing
>>> with what to do with their spent fuel.
>>
>> And dealing with it well. Here's a 4-page NYT report on it:
>> http://goo.gl/12tDf The US could reduce their waste levels by a
>> factor of four by following the French methods of recycling.
>
> Yes, we could - and there has never been discussion or debate over that
> point.
>
> Read that very article again and see that neither France, the pro-recycling
> factions, the anti-recycling factions (those two terms are probably a little
> too strong), and the nuclear industry at large, have no more answers about
> the waste and the threats is presents, than you and I as we read articles
> like this. There is a lot of debate by experts on each side who know a
> great deal more about this than either of us.
>
> That article only states what I've been saying all along - the waste in any
> form is still a looming issue. You can't just look at the availability of
> electricity and ignore the waste issues.
>

Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 10:10 PM

Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "Robatoy" wrote:
>> Instead of pummeling each other with lofty 'educated' crap, why not
> stop this bullshit train and look at what makes sense?
>
> Goddammit!!!!!
> ------------------------------------
> That's already been done.
>
> Renewable energy is the only viable option.

You mean, like whale oil?

>
> One thing is sure, it will require multiple types of renewable to get
> the job done.
>
> Forget fossil fuels in the long term.

Latest estimates of natural gas reserves show that we have six times the
reserves we had a decade ago. At current consumption rates, the U.S. has
sufficient natural gas for about 200 years. For coal, even longer.

>
> The global warming issues have already eliminated coal and oil as long
> term fuel sources.

No, global warming has just about been eliminated as a long-term anything.
Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as preposterous and the
global warming scientists have been shown to be either dupes (being
charitable) or out-and-out frauds. The whole thing has as much substance as
crop circles and its practitioners, in the main, devotees of something
resembling a cargo cult.

>
> If you can get a commercial insurance carrier to underwrite the next
> nuke you want to bring on line, get back to me, otherwise it is a dead
> issue.
>
> The oil and coal lobbies have very deep pockets and it is proving to
> be a hell of a battle; however, in the end, they will lose configured
> as they are now.

The amount of oil used for other than transportation is minuscule. Of the
available renewable energy sources, only wind is possible for transportation
(think sails).

I know, I know, you're thinking of electric, but can you even conceive of an
electric 18-wheeler carrying 40,000 pounds of rebar? You can't put
geothermal anything in the tanks of an airplane.

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 10:39 AM

On Aug 11, 1:08=A0pm, "Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote:
> Somebody wrote:
> > "Alternative energy sources" can do no more than nibble at the
> > margins. All those you mention make up less than 5% of our energy
> > needs.
>
> --------------------------------------
> California is all ready approaching 20% of it's electrical energy
> requirements from renewable sources and is expecting to reach 35%
> within 10 years.
>
> What is so funny about that is that today Texas produces more wind
> power than California.

I can think of a reason for that. <g, d&r>

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 2:20 PM

Larry Jaques wrote:
> On Fri, 24 Jun 2011 07:49:57 -0400, "Mike Marlow"
> <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> Robatoy wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> I am all for oversight. There's always a chance that a privately
>>> owned utility will try shortcuts to improve their bottom line.
>>> We have a good sized unit just 1.5 hrs up the lake from here (
>>> http://www.brucepower.com/about-us/ ) and they are all over those
>>> guys. The rest of the nukes are monitored by themselves, NOT a good
>>> plan.
>
> Remember that all the nuclear generating units insure the others. Any
> accident costs for one unit come out of the pockets of the other
> units. None of them wants to see the other guy falter.
>
>
>> I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that
>> approach! But - even a well run plant does not address the issues of
>> accidents and waste disposal. Both of those offer a far more dismal
>> future than the thought of depleting natural gas.
>
> How many thousands of man-years of safe nuclear power have we had
> already? Over three thousand. Actual accidents pale in comparison to
> you guy's unsubstantiated fears. I lived about 20 miles directly
> downwind of SONGS for 35 years and I don't glow in the dark, Mike.

Really??? 3 Mile Island. Chernobyl, Japan. it does not take a large
number with nukes, to create a large impact. One is all it takes.

I don't glow in the dark either, and I'm 11 miles from 3 of them. Downwind.
But - you're gone from them now, right? Were you as much of an advocate,
with no concerns, when you lived nearer to them? What if the disposal site
was determined to be 10 miles from you? I'm not anti-nuke. I don't fear
nukes. I do however, think that a great deal more thought needs to go into
nukes than what comes out in discussions like this. Too many people
advocating nukes without thinking about the ramifications.



>
> France has shown us that we -don't- have to store everything and we
> -can- reprocess spent fuel instead of storing it. It's time we came up
> to speed. Our grid needs help NOW!
>
> Chernobyl, TMI, and Fukushima have been illustrative of how we can
> better build even safer units.

We can... but will we? And then again - what about the damned waste? The
one question that everyone dances around. Even France - not bound by the US
restrictions, has only minimized our level of risk - they have not
addressed/dealt with the matter. The stuff is dangerous. More dangerous
than oil, coal, and NG.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rr

RicodJour

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 4:32 PM

On Jun 25, 5:09=A0pm, dpb <[email protected]> wrote:
> Mike Marlow wrote:
>
> ...
>
> > I wouldn't be fearful of entering a facility either. =A0I do trust in t=
he
> > controls for the most part, that are in place and in practice. =A0My po=
ints
> > have not been about those, but about the inevitable accident that will =
occur
> > from uncontrolable factors such as geological disturbances,
> > weather/meterological events, and in this day and age - the mental
> > disturbances of groups of people.
>
> Well, any of those can happen whether you're onsite or not...so, you
> might as well accept the risk. =A0After all, if you drive to work in the
> morning, your likelihood of severe trauma from an accident is _far_
> higher than that you'll be injured by a commercial reactor or its
> byproducts.
>
>
>
> > As well, I've limited myself to only expressing concerns for the
> > accumulation of waste and the lack of any good way to address that prob=
lem.
>
> Again, while conveniently hiding behind the facade that it's a problem
> when the real problem is that there's no legal way to do anything about
> any of it in the US owing to political constraints as opposed to
> anything technical.
>
> Similarly w/ the argument about siting--if you're comfortable with
> existing industrial siting that wasn't the smartest then there's no
> objective basis to object regarding any other. =A0In the overall actual
> risk, the conventional plants have very good odds of being far more
> likely to be a real problem than the nuclear plant or waste storage
> facility.
>
> It's paranoia, pure and simple....

No, I don't think it's quite so pure or simple. There's a fairness
component in play. People's sense of fairness is a very strong
motivator, and there have been innumerable studies showing that people
(and even chimps and other animals) will react quite differently when
they feel they are not being treated fairly. For instance, when
someone gives someone something, that's good, but if someone gives
someone something and gives a third person more/less of the something,
than the initial receiver's opinion might change. Good may not be
good anymore - it might just be unfair.

In something like a natural disaster, an Act Of God, there is little
to invoke the fairness of it all. In a man-made disaster, or a
disaster that was exacerbated by man (poor design, corners cut, bad
decisions) then fairness comes into play.

Hurricane Katrina was a huge natural disaster that nobody could have
prevented. The levee's breaching and FEMA sitting on its thumbs for a
while were another story, and people were outraged by the unfairness
of it all. Like the old saying, adding insult to injury.

Anything nuclear carries a lot of emotional baggage from the Cold War,
and from what people learned about in school about the bombs dropped
in WWII. There's no switch to turn that stuff off - there will always
be a lingering uneasiness. That's quite different than paranoia.

As far as the overall risks, humanity has an unfortunate ability to
accurately predict such things, and an even more unfortunate lack of
gumption to do something painful ahead of time. You can fill in the
examples yourself.

R

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

28/06/2011 2:15 AM

dpb wrote:


Sorry - hit Send too soon...

>
> I contend it is still essentially all political (and that is driven by
> the special interest groups of all ilks that have banded together as
> being anti-nuke for all sorts of underlying reasons from perceived
> risk as you to environmental to simply anti-technology/development)
> here and throughout the rest of the (more or less) democratic world.
>

Perceived risks? Come on - how can a guy that lived his career in the
nuclear industry not admit the very real risks? Your credibility is quickly
waining when you make such statements. Your very own industry experts do
not diminish those risks in the same manner you try to.




--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 4:53 PM

On May 31, 7:27=A0pm, dpb <[email protected]> wrote:
> On 5/31/2011 6:13 PM, Han wrote:
>
> > dpb<[email protected]> =A0wrote innews:[email protected]:
>
> >> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or in
> >> Germany. =A0Baseload is still an issue.
>
> > Probably less of a problem in Germany than hereabouts.
>
> There's got to be _something_ generating baseload...as much as the wind
> blows here in SW KS, the capacity factor of wind here is only about 40%
> of installed capacity. =A0Take that baseload away from the nukes where's
> in coming from?
>
> For the nearest of the large wind farms there's >80% correlation of
> local wind speed to output over the 7 years' of operational data so far
> so the limitation is real, not a decision to not operate.
>
I spent some time talking with the operators of the Annapolis Royal
Tidal Power station.
Their studies run into the same cyclical issues as does wind, with the
odd exception that they can count on the moon coming around. Really
interesting design.

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

08/08/2011 8:44 PM

On 09 Aug 2011 01:52:48 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:

>"Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote in news:4e406b92$0$27968
>[email protected]:
>
>> Bottom line with nuke plants:
>>
>> One design or operational (1) screw up is three (3) too many.
>>
>> The risks are simply too large at this point in time.

OHMIGOD! Poor Lew. His aluminum hat has evidently fallen off again.

>
>Remember the Air France plane that disappeared over the Middle Atlantic
>some time back? On its way from Brazil, it ran into bad weather. The
>pilots were not too experienced/trained, and didn't read the
>malfunctioning pitot tube(s) speed indicators with enough suspicion.
>Those pitot tubes were KNOWN to be prone to icing up. As a result, they
>pointed the nose up, not down, and stalled the plane into the ocean. A

A 35,000' drop is an awful lot for a stall without any recovery.
I have to question that conclusion. Got a cite for it? If nothing
else, even a fairly newly licensed pilot would have a better feel for
pitch attitude than that would indicate.


>clear example of a known defect, that normally doesn't result in really
>bad things, but, obviously, here it did. The same with nukes. There are
>a number of known bad things in design of the totality of some of the
>plants and nobody does anything until it is too late. Certainly with
>Chernobyl and Fukushima (sp?). That does NOT mean nukes are inherently
>bad, just that some things with some nukes are bad, and should be fixed.

Absolutely, dear sir.


>As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year than
>all the people who have died from nuke accidents.

Cars, coal, stairs, pools. The list is quite large.

--
We are always the same age inside.
-- Gertrude Stein

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 3:48 AM

In article <[email protected]>,
Lew Hodgett <[email protected]> wrote:
>Looks like Germany is taking the lead.
>
>http://tinyurl.com/3pcx2jh
>
>
>Lew
>
>
>
Yes, the lead in hysterical over-reaction. Well, sooner or later someone
had to surpass California in that respect.



--
There is always an easy solution to every human problem -- neat,
plausible, and wrong." (H L Mencken)

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar. org

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to [email protected] (Larry W) on 31/05/2011 3:48 AM

31/05/2011 8:41 PM

On Tue, 31 May 2011 18:32:34 -0700 (PDT), Robatoy
<[email protected]> wrote:

>On May 31, 8:57 pm, dpb <[email protected]> wrote:
>> On 5/31/2011 6:53 PM, Robatoy wrote:
>> ...
>>
>> > I spent some time talking with the operators of the Annapolis Royal
>> > Tidal Power station.
>> > Their studies run into the same cyclical issues as does wind, with the
>> > odd exception that they can count on the moon coming around. Really
>> > interesting design.
>>
>> Indeed, altho it's much more predictable/repeatable than wind.  I'd
>> think the random component from storms, etc., would be a very small
>> fraction for them.  OTOH, the averages are fairly consistent over the
>> long term w/ wind, but the short term random variations are quite large.
>>   Like last couple of days--we had 18 hours of 30+ mph sustained wind w/
>> 50-60 mph gusts until roughly 8 PM last night.  Within an hour sustained
>> winds dropped to under 10 and stayed there until just within the last
>> hour or so today they've come back up to near 20 after being 15 or under
>> the last 24.  Of course, of the previous 12 hours prior to the time that
>> they exceed 30 mph at roughly 1 PM, roughly 9 hrs were under 10 mph
>> while the minimum generation level is 9 mph.  That's hardly a consistent
>> fuel source even if it is cheap.  :)
>>
>> Yet this area has one of the highest annual average wind speeds in an
>> accessible location that makes building large scale wind farms as
>> economical as they're going to get from the physical side (unlike places
>> like, say, Mt Washington, etc., that have incredible winds but are a)
>> very isolated areas and b) highly impractical to get the power from even
>> if had the turbine.
>>
>> Do you have any links that might have convenient data to look at for the
>> tidal generation output?  I know where US EIA data links are; not sure
>> what there is up north.
>>
>
>A cursory look and I found this for you:
>http://tinyurl.com/3rtyqqu
>
>Hard data is out there somewhere.

Truth!

--
Education is when you read the fine print.
Experience is what you get if you don't.
-- Pete Seeger

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 6:10 PM

On 5/31/2011 5:52 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
...

> As far as Germany being able to produce renewable energy at a
> competitive price, they already do it.

A) yes, B) not so much...it's pretty heavily subsidized.

> Much of it using equipment built by an in-house outfit by the name of
> Siemens.

They (Siemens) also have a facility in KS building for the US market
(also quite heavily subsidized).

Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or in
Germany. Baseload is still an issue.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 6:27 PM

On 5/31/2011 6:13 PM, Han wrote:
> dpb<[email protected]> wrote in news:[email protected]:
>
>> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or in
>> Germany. Baseload is still an issue.
>
> Probably less of a problem in Germany than hereabouts.

There's got to be _something_ generating baseload...as much as the wind
blows here in SW KS, the capacity factor of wind here is only about 40%
of installed capacity. Take that baseload away from the nukes where's
in coming from?

For the nearest of the large wind farms there's >80% correlation of
local wind speed to output over the 7 years' of operational data so far
so the limitation is real, not a decision to not operate.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 7:57 PM

On 5/31/2011 6:53 PM, Robatoy wrote:
...

> I spent some time talking with the operators of the Annapolis Royal
> Tidal Power station.
> Their studies run into the same cyclical issues as does wind, with the
> odd exception that they can count on the moon coming around. Really
> interesting design.

Indeed, altho it's much more predictable/repeatable than wind. I'd
think the random component from storms, etc., would be a very small
fraction for them. OTOH, the averages are fairly consistent over the
long term w/ wind, but the short term random variations are quite large.
Like last couple of days--we had 18 hours of 30+ mph sustained wind w/
50-60 mph gusts until roughly 8 PM last night. Within an hour sustained
winds dropped to under 10 and stayed there until just within the last
hour or so today they've come back up to near 20 after being 15 or under
the last 24. Of course, of the previous 12 hours prior to the time that
they exceed 30 mph at roughly 1 PM, roughly 9 hrs were under 10 mph
while the minimum generation level is 9 mph. That's hardly a consistent
fuel source even if it is cheap. :)

Yet this area has one of the highest annual average wind speeds in an
accessible location that makes building large scale wind farms as
economical as they're going to get from the physical side (unlike places
like, say, Mt Washington, etc., that have incredible winds but are a)
very isolated areas and b) highly impractical to get the power from even
if had the turbine.

Do you have any links that might have convenient data to look at for the
tidal generation output? I know where US EIA data links are; not sure
what there is up north.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 9:08 PM

On 5/31/2011 8:09 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>> A) yes, B) not so much...it's pretty heavily subsidized.
> ---------------------------------
> When the renewable energy business starts getting subsidized at the
> same level the oil& coal businesses already receive, get back to me.
> -------------------------------------

OK, here we are... :)

Heavily involved w/ our local REC. We buy some wind power owing to the
legislative mandate and the public relations end of it. It costs us 2X
the cost of our conventional coal generation and almost 3X that from our
share of Wolf Creek Nuclear.

>> They (Siemens) also have a facility in KS building for the US market
>> (also quite heavily subsidized).
> ------------------------------------
> Glad to see you gained some jobs in KS.
> ------------------------------------

Well, as long as the tax incentives are in place and the legislative
mandates that make the expense pay, I suppose they will be. In the long
run it's not clear that forcing up utility rates for everybody else for
the benefit of a few hundred jobs and lucky landowners is an overall
paying proposition but I guess we'll see how it plays out over time.


>> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or
>> in Germany. Baseload is still an issue.
> -------------------------------
> You are quick nto point out the wind doesn't blow 100% of the time.
>
> So what?

So what is what you say next...


...

> The Germans seem to addressed the base load issue.
>
> "The plan calls for more investment in natural gas plants as a backup
> to prevent blackouts, the chancellor said."
...

That is the stupidest use of natural gas that one can possibly make of
it... :(

And, they're trading near zero emissions and no C emissions for another
increase in fossil. What happened to reducing C footprint????

All in all, I think they're making a kneejerk reaction in the totally
wrong direction for the wrong reasons.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 9:16 PM

On 5/31/2011 9:00 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
...

> Same principle applies to windmills.
>
> Design for 100% output from 10MPH-20MPH wind velocities.
>
> From 20MPH and up, start feathering the blades.
>
> Good grief, it's not the end of the world.
>
> It is very old technology.
...

That would, indeed, be very old technology and would reduce the 40%
installed annual average capacity factor to something under 20% just
raising the cost/MWe _another_ factor of 2X (which is already 2X that of
conventional generation for us and 3X that of our nuclear)

--

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

04/06/2011 3:16 PM

On Jun 4, 3:17=A0pm, Larry Jaques <[email protected]>
wrote:

{schnipferized for brevitization]

>. If we humans, in a fit of
> ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
> need stronger medication." =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =
=A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 --Ian Plimer

Yup. Just like that saying: that men cannot create a simple worm, yet
we create gods by the hundreds.

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

04/06/2011 12:17 PM

On 04 Jun 2011 11:19:12 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:

>"HeyBub" <[email protected]> wrote in
>news:[email protected]:
>
>> No, global warming has just about been eliminated as a long-term
>> anything. Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
>> preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
>> either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds. The whole thing
>> has as much substance as crop circles and its practitioners, in the
>> main, devotees of something resembling a cargo cult.
>
>I know it is difficult, but keep an open mind. Global warming is a fact.
>Exactly how much is man-made is not known, but an appreciable percentage
>is. Chatter among scientists as to how to account for datapoints that
>appear to be outliers is just that - chatter. Important for getting down
>to the nitty-gritty, but it isn't affecting the big picture.

No, Global Warming(kumbaya) is merely a buzzword, Han. Climate
change, OTOH, is a fact. Temps go up, temps go down, glaciers
increase/decrease, sea levels vacillate. There is no solid proof that
any of it is anthropomorphic. GW models are merely chatter. And they
improve vastly by the decade, as dozens of new, previously unknown
factors are included. They're gettin' there, but models still aren't
ready for prime time. Look at how iffy mere current weather forecast
models are. Now increase the complexity by ten thousand and you have
climate models. Oops! They can't even predict the past, given all
that data history.

I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.

"The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
need stronger medication." --Ian Plimer
_Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_

--
Experience is a good teacher, but she send in terrific bills.
-- Minna Thomas Antrim

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 9:40 AM

On Sun, 5 Jun 2011 04:13:47 +0000 (UTC),
[email protected] (Larry W) wrote:

>In article <[email protected]>,
>Larry Jaques <[email protected]> wrote:
><...snipped...>
>>
>>I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
>>
>>"The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
>>of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
>>the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
>>closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
>>energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
>>asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
>>ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
>>ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
>>need stronger medication." --Ian Plimer
>> _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_
>>
>
>I'm not one to cry "the sky is falling, the sky is falling" but over
>the history of mankind there have been many who made similar statements
>about whales, passenger pigeons, now-depleted fisheries, forests, etc.
>Certainly there is much still to be learned about how and to what degree
>humans affect climate, but to think that the activities of 7 BILLION people
>have NO effect is not a reasonable conclusion.
>world climate

Mother Nature is a big girl now. She can handle slight changes like
humans and volcanoes, eh?

That said, I firmly believe that man should rein in his extravagances
(coal burning power production for a super biggie) and negligence so
he treads more lightly on Mother Earth.

--
Experience is a good teacher, but she send in terrific bills.
-- Minna Thomas Antrim

DW

Doug Winterburn

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

04/06/2011 5:17 PM

On 06/04/2011 12:17 PM, Larry Jaques wrote:
> On 04 Jun 2011 11:19:12 GMT, Han<[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> "HeyBub"<[email protected]> wrote in
>> news:[email protected]:
>>
>>> No, global warming has just about been eliminated as a long-term
>>> anything. Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
>>> preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
>>> either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds. The whole thing
>>> has as much substance as crop circles and its practitioners, in the
>>> main, devotees of something resembling a cargo cult.
>>
>> I know it is difficult, but keep an open mind. Global warming is a fact.
>> Exactly how much is man-made is not known, but an appreciable percentage
>> is. Chatter among scientists as to how to account for datapoints that
>> appear to be outliers is just that - chatter. Important for getting down
>> to the nitty-gritty, but it isn't affecting the big picture.
>
> No, Global Warming(kumbaya) is merely a buzzword, Han. Climate
> change, OTOH, is a fact. Temps go up, temps go down, glaciers
> increase/decrease, sea levels vacillate. There is no solid proof that
> any of it is anthropomorphic. GW models are merely chatter. And they
> improve vastly by the decade, as dozens of new, previously unknown
> factors are included. They're gettin' there, but models still aren't
> ready for prime time. Look at how iffy mere current weather forecast
> models are. Now increase the complexity by ten thousand and you have
> climate models. Oops! They can't even predict the past, given all
> that data history.
>
> I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
>
> "The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
> of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
> the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
> closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
> energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
> asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
> ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
> ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
> need stronger medication." --Ian Plimer
> _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_
>
> --
> Experience is a good teacher, but she send in terrific bills.
> -- Minna Thomas Antrim

Start collecting firewood and get your mukluks laundered:

<http://www.spaceandscience.net/>

DW

Doug Winterburn

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

04/06/2011 9:35 PM

On 06/04/2011 09:13 PM, Larry W wrote:
> In article<[email protected]>,
> Larry Jaques<[email protected]> wrote:
> <...snipped...>
>>
>> I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
>>
>> "The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
>> of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
>> the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
>> closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
>> energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
>> asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
>> ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
>> ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
>> need stronger medication." --Ian Plimer
>> _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_
>>
>
> I'm not one to cry "the sky is falling, the sky is falling" but over
> the history of mankind there have been many who made similar statements
> about whales, passenger pigeons, now-depleted fisheries, forests, etc.
> Certainly there is much still to be learned about how and to what degree
> humans affect climate, but to think that the activities of 7 BILLION people
> have NO effect is not a reasonable conclusion.
> world climate
>

Any idea how much the biomass of insects outweighs the biomass of mammals?

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

06/06/2011 8:11 PM


"Robatoy" wrote:

> Even though I think the whole GW scare is grossly overblown (can you
say, carbon tax, money grab?) it behooves us to apply good stewardship
of SpaceShip Earth. When camping in the forest, take out what you
brought in. Clean up after yourself.
-------------------------------
You're shorts must be squeezing your balls so tight you have a severe
case of analytis AKA: Shitty outlook on life.

"Cap & Trade" has been around for at least 25 years.

Much of it got started to meet the 1990 Clean Air Act.

For years Unocal (Union Oil Of California) would buy high polluting
vehicles off the street, then scrap them out to gain the pollution tax
credits here in SoCal.

Those pollution credits were then used to offset the pollution created
by their refineries.

It was cheaper to scrap cars than upgrade the refinery.

BTW, Unocal sold the refineries so they quit buying cars.

At the same time there were businesses whose pollution tax credits
were worth more than the rest of the business in total.

Like the cars, also got rid of some sick businesses.

To paraphrase your above comments, "you mess it up, you clean it up",
seems like a good idea.

"Cap & Trade" is not new and it certainly is NBD.

It is just a simple straight forward way to implement a pollution
reduction program.

Lew

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 11:07 AM

In article <[email protected]>,
[email protected] says...
>
> In article <[email protected]>,
> Doug Winterburn <[email protected]> wrote:
> >On 06/04/2011 09:13 PM, Larry W wrote:
> >> In article<[email protected]>,
> >> Larry Jaques<[email protected]> wrote:
> >> <...snipped...>
> >>>
> >>> I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
> >>>
> >>> "The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
> >>> of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
> >>> the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
> >>> closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
> >>> energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
> >>> asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
> >>> ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
> >>> ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
> >>> need stronger medication." --Ian Plimer
> >>> _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_
> >>>
> >>
> >> I'm not one to cry "the sky is falling, the sky is falling" but over
> >> the history of mankind there have been many who made similar statements
> >> about whales, passenger pigeons, now-depleted fisheries, forests, etc.
> >> Certainly there is much still to be learned about how and to what degree
> >> humans affect climate, but to think that the activities of 7 BILLION people
> >> have NO effect is not a reasonable conclusion.
> >> world climate
> >>
> >
> >Any idea how much the biomass of insects outweighs the biomass of mammals?
>
> I don't really know, though I do recall reading somewhere that the biomass
> of ants alone, worldwide, is about the same as that of humans. BUT, those
> ants and other insects and animals are not burning 6 or 7 BILLION TONS
> of coal every year, 28 billion barrels of oil, etc.

And how much change does that actually make every year?

There is supposed to be a temperature spike right now. Anybody who can
read an oscilloscope who lookes at the ice core data sees this. So how
does one determine with any certainty that what we are seeing is not
that spike? Comparing that ice core data from Antarctica and from
Greenland also tells us that during that spike in the previous
glaciation the Greenland ice cap melted off, so again we see nothing
unexpected, so again how do we determine with any certainty that what we
are seeing is not that natural spike?

In previous cycles that spike was of very short duration and followed by
a very rapid temperature drop, and increased glaciation, ultimately
leading to sea levels dropping more than 300 feet and to glaciers large
enough to move the whole of Long Island covering North America well
south of the Great Lakes--if that happens again all of Canada is just
plain swept clean, and all of New England, and Chicago and Seattle and a
number of other northerm US cities. Europe will lose Scandinavia, the
Netherlands, and most of the UK.

So with that prospect, it may turn out that in a short time we're trying
to find ways to actually provide that "anthropogenic global warming"
that the gloom and doom crowd is currently telling is is going to make
the sky fall.

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 2:19 PM

In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
> > Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
> > preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
> > either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds.
>
> I've been staying out of this one but I have to ask - debunked by who?
> Faux News? Glenn Beck and his ilk? Something like 95% of scientists in
> the field (not some yahoo whose field is arificial polymers or the like)
> agree that global warming is occurring and that man made pollution plays
> a large part.

Yeah, 95 percent of the scientists in the field of global warming say
this.

They got caught suppressing data and fudging their numbers and their
credibility was destroyed.

Might have been just a few but that doesn't matter in politics.



Sk

Swingman

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 8:02 AM

On 6/4/2011 11:35 PM, Doug Winterburn wrote:

> Any idea how much the biomass of insects outweighs the biomass of mammals?

Proving, once again, that we live in culture where just enough education
to believe what seems a be a reasonable, logical conclusion is not
necessarily so.

--
www.e-woodshop.net
Last update: 4/15/2010
KarlC@ (the obvious)

Hn

Han

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 9:16 PM

Larry Jaques <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> Mother Nature is a big girl now. She can handle slight changes like
> humans and volcanoes, eh?
>
> That said, I firmly believe that man should rein in his extravagances
> (coal burning power production for a super biggie) and negligence so
> he treads more lightly on Mother Earth.

Fully agree. This is a reference to astudy of the effects of the Mt
Pinatubo eruption on world-wide temperatures:
http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/briefs/hansen_02/
All that stuff in the upper atmosphere did indeed cool things down. I.e.,
the reverse direction of what our generation of CO2 and methane does.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 9:07 AM

On Jun 5, 9:34=A0am, [email protected] (Larry W) wrote:
> In article <[email protected]>,
> Doug Winterburn =A0<[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
>
>
>
> >On 06/04/2011 09:13 PM, Larry W wrote:
> >> In article<[email protected]>,
> >> Larry Jaques<[email protected]> =A0wrote:
> >> <...snipped...>
>
> >>> I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
>
> >>> "The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
> >>> of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
> >>> the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
> >>> closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
> >>> energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
> >>> asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation=
,
> >>> ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
> >>> ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
> >>> need stronger medication." =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =
=A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 --Ian Plimer
> >>> _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_
>
> >> I'm not one to cry "the sky is falling, the sky is falling" but over
> >> the history of mankind there have been many who made similar statement=
s
> >> about whales, passenger pigeons, =A0now-depleted fisheries, forests, e=
tc.
> >> Certainly there is much still to be learned about how and to what degr=
ee
> >> humans affect climate, but to think that the activities of 7 BILLION p=
eople
> >> have NO effect is not a reasonable conclusion.
> >> world climate
>
> >Any idea how much the biomass of insects outweighs the biomass of mammal=
s?
>
> I don't really know, though I do recall reading somewhere that the biomas=
s
> of ants alone, worldwide, is about the same as that of humans. BUT, those
> ants and other insects and animals are not burning 6 or 7 BILLION TONS
> of coal every year, 28 billion barrels of oil, etc.
>

This planet we live on has been nailed by some serious events, some
are speculated to be the reason the dinosaurs became extinct. It has
always managed to right itself in spectacular fashion.

Even though I think the whole GW scare is grossly overblown (can you
say, carbon tax, money grab?) it behooves us to apply good stewardship
of SpaceShip Earth. When camping in the forest, take out what you
brought in. Clean up after yourself.
So when it became obvious that the smelters at Sudbury's nickel mines
were causing acid rain. it was a measurable and verifiable problem.
Very local, and with some basic intervention, those lakes around
Sudbury have sprang back to life.
But in a global perspective that problem was a mere pimple on an
elephant's ass.
Same goes for the 'repair' of Lake Erie. We DO need to be careful, but
'heating up the whole planet' ??? Waaay too much booga-booga, none of
which is verifiable.

Just another bullshit method to extract money from the working stiffs.

The sunsabitches just keep trying to bend us over. How much of that
'carbon' tax is going to get used to 'cool off' our planet? Laughable,
that's what it is.

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

04/06/2011 9:38 PM

On Jun 5, 12:13=A0am, [email protected] (Larry W) wrote:
> In article <[email protected]>,
> Larry Jaques =A0<[email protected]> wrote:
> <...snipped...>
>
>
>
> >I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
>
> >"The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
> >of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
> >the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
> >closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
> >energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
> >asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
> >ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
> >ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
> >need stronger medication." =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 =
=A0 =A0 =A0 =A0 --Ian Plimer
> > _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_
>
> I'm not one to cry "the sky is falling, the sky is falling" but over
> the history of mankind there have been many who made similar statements
> about whales, passenger pigeons, =A0now-depleted fisheries, forests, etc.
> Certainly there is much still to be learned about how and to what degree
> humans affect climate, but to think that the activities of 7 BILLION peop=
le
> have NO effect is not a reasonable conclusion.

BUT... you need to add us to all the other living organisms on the
planet, from chickens, to plankton, to platypuses etc.
This planet is so alive with gazillions of organisms that the effect
we are having is seriously diluted.
If 7 billion people all moved to the Province of Ontario, they would
all have a piece of property big enough to build a house on it. That
math gets really interesting if 4 people moved into that hypothetical
house. Now the property would be 4 x bigger for those families....
discuss....

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 11:19 AM

On Jun 5, 12:59=A0pm, Larry Blanchard <[email protected]> wrote:
> > Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
> > preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
> > either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds.
>
> I've been staying out of this one but I have to ask - debunked by who? =
=A0
> Faux News? Glenn Beck and his ilk? =A0Something like 95% of scientists in
> the field (not some yahoo whose field is arificial polymers or the like)
> agree that global warming is occurring and that man made pollution plays
> a large part.
>

A LARGE part? Your choice to buy into that hollow assertion by "95%"
of the scientific community.

The political Left sells fear through environmental money grabs, the
political Right has everyone believing that there's raghead with
explosives under everybody's bed.

I guess fear sells, but rational thought is difficult to sweep under
the carpet.

And how about that 95% of scientists who call this LARGE man-made
global warming by its real name: Bullshit?

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 10:26 PM

J. Clarke wrote:
> In article <[email protected]>,
> [email protected] says...
>>

>>
>> I don't really know, though I do recall reading somewhere that the
>> biomass of ants alone, worldwide, is about the same as that of
>> humans. BUT, those ants and other insects and animals are not
>> burning 6 or 7 BILLION TONS
>> of coal every year, 28 billion barrels of oil, etc.
>
> And how much change does that actually make every year?

Well obviously - it makes BILLIONS of change. After all - that word is
important enough and meaningful enough to capitalize...


--

-Mike-
[email protected]

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 4:13 AM

In article <[email protected]>,
Larry Jaques <[email protected]> wrote:
<...snipped...>
>
>I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
>
>"The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
>of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
>the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
>closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
>energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
>asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
>ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
>ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
>need stronger medication." --Ian Plimer
> _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_
>

I'm not one to cry "the sky is falling, the sky is falling" but over
the history of mankind there have been many who made similar statements
about whales, passenger pigeons, now-depleted fisheries, forests, etc.
Certainly there is much still to be learned about how and to what degree
humans affect climate, but to think that the activities of 7 BILLION people
have NO effect is not a reasonable conclusion.
world climate

--
Often wrong, never in doubt.

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar. org

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 1:34 PM

In article <[email protected]>,
Doug Winterburn <[email protected]> wrote:
>On 06/04/2011 09:13 PM, Larry W wrote:
>> In article<[email protected]>,
>> Larry Jaques<[email protected]> wrote:
>> <...snipped...>
>>>
>>> I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
>>>
>>> "The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
>>> of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
>>> the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
>>> closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
>>> energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
>>> asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
>>> ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
>>> ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
>>> need stronger medication." --Ian Plimer
>>> _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_
>>>
>>
>> I'm not one to cry "the sky is falling, the sky is falling" but over
>> the history of mankind there have been many who made similar statements
>> about whales, passenger pigeons, now-depleted fisheries, forests, etc.
>> Certainly there is much still to be learned about how and to what degree
>> humans affect climate, but to think that the activities of 7 BILLION people
>> have NO effect is not a reasonable conclusion.
>> world climate
>>
>
>Any idea how much the biomass of insects outweighs the biomass of mammals?

I don't really know, though I do recall reading somewhere that the biomass
of ants alone, worldwide, is about the same as that of humans. BUT, those
ants and other insects and animals are not burning 6 or 7 BILLION TONS
of coal every year, 28 billion barrels of oil, etc.

--
Often wrong, never in doubt.

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar. org

LB

Larry Blanchard

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

05/06/2011 4:59 PM


> Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
> preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
> either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds.

I've been staying out of this one but I have to ask - debunked by who?
Faux News? Glenn Beck and his ilk? Something like 95% of scientists in
the field (not some yahoo whose field is arificial polymers or the like)
agree that global warming is occurring and that man made pollution plays
a large part.


--
Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw

LB

Larry Blanchard

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

06/06/2011 4:21 PM

On Sun, 05 Jun 2011 11:19:51 -0700, Robatoy wrote:

> And how about that 95% of scientists who call this LARGE man-made global
> warming by its real name: Bullshit?

Cite please. Or you could name them and their field of expertise :-).

--
Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw

Sk

Swingman

in reply to dpb on 31/05/2011 9:16 PM

04/06/2011 2:25 PM

On 6/4/2011 2:17 PM, Larry Jaques wrote:
> On 04 Jun 2011 11:19:12 GMT, Han<[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> "HeyBub"<[email protected]> wrote in
>> news:[email protected]:
>>
>>> No, global warming has just about been eliminated as a long-term
>>> anything. Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
>>> preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
>>> either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds. The whole thing
>>> has as much substance as crop circles and its practitioners, in the
>>> main, devotees of something resembling a cargo cult.
>>
>> I know it is difficult, but keep an open mind. Global warming is a fact.
>> Exactly how much is man-made is not known, but an appreciable percentage
>> is. Chatter among scientists as to how to account for datapoints that
>> appear to be outliers is just that - chatter. Important for getting down
>> to the nitty-gritty, but it isn't affecting the big picture.
>
> No, Global Warming(kumbaya) is merely a buzzword, Han. Climate
> change, OTOH, is a fact. Temps go up, temps go down, glaciers
> increase/decrease, sea levels vacillate. There is no solid proof that
> any of it is anthropomorphic. GW models are merely chatter. And they
> improve vastly by the decade, as dozens of new, previously unknown
> factors are included. They're gettin' there, but models still aren't
> ready for prime time. Look at how iffy mere current weather forecast
> models are. Now increase the complexity by ten thousand and you have
> climate models. Oops! They can't even predict the past, given all
> that data history.
>
> I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
>
> "The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
> of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
> the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
> closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
> energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
> asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
> ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
> ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
> need stronger medication." --Ian Plimer
> _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_


And long live Joe Bastardi ...

--
www.e-woodshop.net
Last update: 4/15/2010
KarlC@ (the obvious)

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 11:00 PM

On 5/31/2011 10:15 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>> OK, here we are... :)
>>
>> Heavily involved w/ our local REC. We buy some wind power owing to
>> the legislative mandate and the public relations end of it. It
>> costs us 2X the cost of our conventional coal generation and almost
>> 3X that from our share of Wolf Creek Nuclear.
> -------------------------------------
> Annualized, what kind of money are we talking about?
> ----------------------------------

20% mandate will raise wholesale rates by roughly (0.8*1)+(0.2)[(0.7*2)
+ (0.3*3)] = 1.26 --> 26%

That's just for the privilege of making the greenies feel good about
themselves...

>> Well, as long as the tax incentives are in place and the legislative
>> mandates that make the expense pay, I suppose they will be. In the
>> long run it's not clear that forcing up utility rates for everybody
>> else for the benefit of a few hundred jobs and lucky landowners is
>> an overall paying proposition but I guess we'll see how it plays out
>> over time.
> ----------------------------
> Sounds like a plan.

Not a real good one, but a plan nonetheless... :(

>> That is the stupidest use of natural gas that one can possibly make
>> of it... :(
> -------------------------
> You are entitled to your opinion.

Indeed. Wasting dwindling gas supplies for central station power
generation is just innately stupid.

> The operative phrase is "Back up" not "Primary".
> --------------------------------

"Primary" has to come from somewhere when the "backup" isn't...which
means it still has to be there irregardless.

>> And, they're trading near zero emissions and no C emissions for
>> another increase in fossil. What happened to reducing C
>> footprint????
> -------------------------------
> Look at the annualized total footprint and get back to me.
> --------------------------------

???

>> All in all, I think they're making a kneejerk reaction in the
>> totally wrong direction for the wrong reasons.
> ---------------------------------
> Tell that to the Japanese.

When did the last tsunami hit Germany?

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

31/05/2011 11:15 PM

On 5/31/2011 10:49 PM, Robatoy wrote:
> On May 31, 10:08 pm, dpb<[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> That is the stupidest use of natural gas that one can possibly make of
>> it... :(
...

>
> I agree 100%

I guess I have to allow as there is at least one possibly worse use of
n-gas--one could flare it

--

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 8:37 AM

In article <[email protected]>,
Lew Hodgett <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
>
>The industry has had almost 50 years to reliably solve it's safety
>issues and has failed miserably.
>
>It's time to move on.
>
>Lew
>
>

The oil industry has had 100 years and actually has failed miserably. Coal
has had at least 200 and as for safety, really needs no comment. Nuclear
power has had an extremely safe history, relative to fossil fuel, with
far fewer deaths, illness, and environmental impact. Think of all the
people who would be healthier or alive today, and the land and
enviromment that would not have been ruined for future generations, if
the USA produced electricity from nuclear power in the same proportion
that, say, France does.


--
There are no stupid questions, but there are lots of stupid answers.

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar. org

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 1:00 PM

On 5/31/2011 9:13 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
...

> GE had the smarts to walk away in the early 1970's.

That's news to them and Hitachi, I'm sure...

> Westinghouse stayed in the nuclear business for a while.

Indeed they did...

> Where are they today?

Same place they've always been, Westinghouse Energy Center, Monroeville,
PA (amongst a zillion other facilities worldwide)

...

> It's time to move on.
...

And we are.

At present there are 20 applications for 24 units submitted and docketed
for licensing before the US NRC.

Of these 6 are GE/Hitachi ABWR or ESBWR, 12 are W AP1000 and the
remaining 6 are Areva EPR designs.

B&W has just recently formed a new NPGD headquartered in Charlotte, NC

--

cc

"chaniarts"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 11:02 AM

Han wrote:
> dpb <[email protected]> wrote in news:[email protected]:
>
>> Problem still is that wind doesn't blow 100% of time either here or
>> in Germany. Baseload is still an issue.
>
> Probably less of a problem in Germany than hereabouts.

but it's much windier elsewhere in europe than germany. without a
european-wide energy producer, they're going to have to buy power from
elsewhere. that elsewhere is going to have to use nuclear, so they're just
exporting their problem to another country.

http://www.economist.com/blogs/schumpeter/2011/06/german-energy

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 1:34 PM

On 6/1/2011 1:02 PM, chaniarts wrote:
...

> but it's much windier elsewhere in europe than germany. without a
> european-wide energy producer, they're going to have to buy power from
> elsewhere. that elsewhere is going to have to use nuclear, so they're just
> exporting their problem to another country.
>
> http://www.economist.com/blogs/schumpeter/2011/06/german-energy
...

Hmmm....where have I heard that model before? Oh, California and
Colorado come to mind.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/06/2011 2:58 PM

On 5/31/2011 10:06 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>> That would, indeed, be very old technology and would reduce the 40%
>> installed annual average capacity factor to something under 20% just
>> raising the cost/MWe _another_ factor of 2X (which is already 2X
>> that of conventional generation for us and 3X that of our nuclear)
> ---------------------------------
> Sounds like my design parameters are a tad conservative.
...

I looked at the wind data for the nine years I had previously correlated
to the output of the Gray County wind farm. I have only daily averages
(24-hr sustained wind speed averages) and a maximum sustained daily wind
speed on hand; going to the finer resolution would require downloading
more data than I care to deal with on a dialup link.

If one were to feather so that no extra energy were extracted above 10
mph, 97% of the days over those 9 years you would be leaving something
on the table for at least a portion of those days.

At 20 mph, the ratio is lower, of course, but my guess of 2 probably
wasn't too terribly far off. The 9-yr average for that threshold is
right at 60%.

While they do feather the turbines (and shutdown speed is something
around 55 mph iirc, I've not been able to find a specific criterion
documented on whether that is sustained or measured gust or for what
length of time to require shut down nor what time/threshold releases the
rotor again), they are more sophisticated than to simply feather the
blades at constant power at some relatively low windspeed. That's
another aspect I've not seen the full details on that I'd like to know
more about but as previously noted, there's an almost perfect 1:1
correlation w/ wind speed and generated output over these nine years so
it's clear they extract more energy w/ more energy input (as one would
expect and again demonstrating that the low average output isn't one of
simply not operating at capacity as then the output would be essentially
independent of the wind speed).

It's unfortunate that there isn't a way to generate the maximum or a
desired setpoint and have the output match that like a conventional
generation device; that then would be the cat's meow, I'd agree. But w/
the fickle fuel source it requires a redundant generation source (or
sources if those are also not highly reliable) and the fixed capital
expense of those facilities means the real cost of the "free" fuel is
actually quite high. And, of course, since all of these other sources
are low density fuels, the capital cost for them per MWe is also pretty
high.

--

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to dpb on 01/06/2011 2:58 PM

04/06/2011 8:22 PM

On Sat, 4 Jun 2011 15:16:18 -0700 (PDT), Robatoy
<[email protected]> wrote:

>On Jun 4, 3:17 pm, Larry Jaques <[email protected]>
>wrote:
>
>{schnipferized for brevitization]
>
>>. If we humans, in a fit of
>> ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
>> need stronger medication."                               --Ian Plimer
>
>Yup. Just like that saying: that men cannot create a simple worm, yet
>we create gods by the hundreds.

And look where -that- took us. <sigh>

--
Experience is a good teacher, but she send in terrific bills.
-- Minna Thomas Antrim

Hn

Han

in reply to dpb on 01/06/2011 2:58 PM

05/06/2011 12:26 AM

Larry Jaques <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

Eventually we (or our children) will find out.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to dpb on 01/06/2011 2:58 PM

04/06/2011 8:33 PM

On Sat, 04 Jun 2011 17:17:38 -0700, Doug Winterburn
<[email protected]> wrote:

>On 06/04/2011 12:17 PM, Larry Jaques wrote:
>> On 04 Jun 2011 11:19:12 GMT, Han<[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> "HeyBub"<[email protected]> wrote in
>>> news:[email protected]:
>>>
>>>> No, global warming has just about been eliminated as a long-term
>>>> anything. Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
>>>> preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
>>>> either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds. The whole thing
>>>> has as much substance as crop circles and its practitioners, in the
>>>> main, devotees of something resembling a cargo cult.
>>>
>>> I know it is difficult, but keep an open mind. Global warming is a fact.
>>> Exactly how much is man-made is not known, but an appreciable percentage
>>> is. Chatter among scientists as to how to account for datapoints that
>>> appear to be outliers is just that - chatter. Important for getting down
>>> to the nitty-gritty, but it isn't affecting the big picture.
>>
>> No, Global Warming(kumbaya) is merely a buzzword, Han. Climate
>> change, OTOH, is a fact. Temps go up, temps go down, glaciers
>> increase/decrease, sea levels vacillate. There is no solid proof that
>> any of it is anthropomorphic. GW models are merely chatter. And they
>> improve vastly by the decade, as dozens of new, previously unknown
>> factors are included. They're gettin' there, but models still aren't
>> ready for prime time. Look at how iffy mere current weather forecast
>> models are. Now increase the complexity by ten thousand and you have
>> climate models. Oops! They can't even predict the past, given all
>> that data history.
>>
>> I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
>>
>> "The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
>> of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
>> the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
>> closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
>> energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
>> asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
>> ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
>> ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
>> need stronger medication." --Ian Plimer
>> _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_
>>
>> --
>> Experience is a good teacher, but she send in terrific bills.
>> -- Minna Thomas Antrim
>
>Start collecting firewood and get your mukluks laundered:
>
><http://www.spaceandscience.net/>

"Why don't you come in out of the cornstarch and dry your mukluks in
the cellophane, Nick."

I'll bet Hanson over at NASA and Casey at the SSRC have a marvelous
relationship.

--
Experience is a good teacher, but she send in terrific bills.
-- Minna Thomas Antrim

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to dpb on 01/06/2011 2:58 PM

04/06/2011 1:11 PM

On Sat, 04 Jun 2011 14:25:39 -0500, Swingman <[email protected]> wrote:

>On 6/4/2011 2:17 PM, Larry Jaques wrote:
>> On 04 Jun 2011 11:19:12 GMT, Han<[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>> "HeyBub"<[email protected]> wrote in
>>> news:[email protected]:
>>>
>>>> No, global warming has just about been eliminated as a long-term
>>>> anything. Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
>>>> preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
>>>> either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds. The whole thing
>>>> has as much substance as crop circles and its practitioners, in the
>>>> main, devotees of something resembling a cargo cult.
>>>
>>> I know it is difficult, but keep an open mind. Global warming is a fact.
>>> Exactly how much is man-made is not known, but an appreciable percentage
>>> is. Chatter among scientists as to how to account for datapoints that
>>> appear to be outliers is just that - chatter. Important for getting down
>>> to the nitty-gritty, but it isn't affecting the big picture.
>>
>> No, Global Warming(kumbaya) is merely a buzzword, Han. Climate
>> change, OTOH, is a fact. Temps go up, temps go down, glaciers
>> increase/decrease, sea levels vacillate. There is no solid proof that
>> any of it is anthropomorphic. GW models are merely chatter. And they
>> improve vastly by the decade, as dozens of new, previously unknown
>> factors are included. They're gettin' there, but models still aren't
>> ready for prime time. Look at how iffy mere current weather forecast
>> models are. Now increase the complexity by ten thousand and you have
>> climate models. Oops! They can't even predict the past, given all
>> that data history.
>>
>> I was made aware of this guy this morning. He states it well.
>>
>> "The history of temperature change over time is related to the shape
>> of the continents, the shape of the sea floor, the pulling apart of
>> the crust, the stitching back together of the crust, the opening and
>> closing of sea ways, changes in the Earth's orbit, changes in solar
>> energy, supernoval eruptions, comet dust, impacts by comets and
>> asteroids, volcanic activity, bacteria, soil formation, sedimentation,
>> ocean currents, and the chemistry of air. If we humans, in a fit of
>> ego, think we can change these normal planetary processes, then we
>> need stronger medication." --Ian Plimer
>> _Heaven and Earth: Global Warming, the Missing Science_
>
>
>And long live Joe Bastardi ...

Yes! And long live Patrick Michaels, Bjorn Lomborg, Christopher
Horner, S. Fred Singer, Ronald Bailey, and Peter Huber.

(who wrote the books: Meltdown, The Skeptical Environmentalist,
Politically Incorrect Guide to Global Warming, Climate Change
Reconsidered, Earth Report 2000, and Hard Green, among dozens of
others.)

Sanity lives!

--
Experience is a good teacher, but she send in terrific bills.
-- Minna Thomas Antrim

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 7:35 AM

On 6/2/2011 12:54 AM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
...

>> B&W has just recently formed a new NPGD headquartered in Charlotte,
>> NC
> ----------------------------------
> They will never get off the ground.
...

The plan isn't to build airplanes... :)

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 7:40 AM

On 6/2/2011 12:43 AM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
...

>> "free" fuel is actually quite high. And, of course, since all of
>> these other sources are low density fuels, the capital cost for them
>> per MWe is also pretty high.
> ---------------------------------
> Engineering details that are being resolved.

Engineering can't change that the basic fuel energy density is extremely
low and variable.

> Nobody said it was going to be easy, but we're are gaining on it.
>
> Afterall, it took almost 10 years to get to the moon.

And where did that get us? (On the same vein as the sidebar about W,
GE, etc., ...)

> If you look at the cost of ownership equation, wind power has a very
> high front end cost, but after that operating costs drops drastically.

Well, but it doesn't. It still has the reliability problem that
requires the conventional generation facilities be maintained and
operational to make up for the shortfall when it isn't up to the task.

That makes the cost the cost of the wind investment _plus_ the other
standby investment cost anyway. It can _never_ be even equal.
>
> As every sailor knows, the wind is free, but putting it to use gets
> expensive.
...

And never gets cheap...

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 8:05 AM

On 6/2/2011 12:26 AM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> I asked:
> Annualized, what kind of money are we talking about?
> ----------------------------------
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>> 20% mandate will raise wholesale rates by roughly
>> (0.8*1)+(0.2)[(0.7*2) + (0.3*3)] = 1.26 --> 26%
> -------------------------------------
> Interestingn gibberish but it doesn't answer the question.
> ----------------------------------

Of course it answers the question. 25% higher cost for purchased power
translates to at least that on the retail side. What's your current
bill; raise it by one-fourth.

>
>
>>>> That is the stupidest use of natural gas that one can possibly
>>>> make
>>>> of it... :(
>>> -------------------------
>>> You are entitled to your opinion.
>>
>> Indeed. Wasting dwindling gas supplies for central station power
>> generation is just innately stupid.
> --------------------------------------
>> "Wasting dwindling gas supplies...."
>
> I take it you don't accept all that oil industry propaganda about our
> proven natural gas reserves.

Not really, no, I don't. All I have to do is watch the rate at which
severance tax paid by producers to State decreases from year to year
despite increasing wellhead prices.

There is still gas but it is far more valuable in the long run for
chemical feedstock and other uses instead of wasting it for central
station generation while have other fuels far more suited for the
purpose that aren't so much suited for the other.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 8:50 AM

On 6/2/2011 12:28 AM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>> I guess I have to allow as there is at least one possibly worse use
>> of n-gas--one could flare it
> ----------------------------------
> Are you talking about a refinery or a landfill flare?

Neither. I'm saying about the only use of natural gas less productive
than for central station generation would be to simply open the feed
line and flare it instead.

Interesting, of course is history here...been reading a reprint edition
of Time magazine from May, 1945, the week after the fall of Berlin and
the capitulation. In it is a story just happened to see this morning
about the first pipeline finished from TX to WVA to capture the some
200,000,000 cuft/day of "waste" gas being blown off from TX oil
production all within roughly 10 miles from the new line. No estimate
was given of what the overall blow-off and flared volumes were at the
time.

Think what having those supplies back would do to energy costs now.

Using up large quantities of what we have left for generation is just
about as stupid as that previous waste seems now.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 9:40 AM

On 6/2/2011 12:54 AM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>> That's news to them and Hitachi, I'm sure...
> -----------------------------
> GE got out of the new reactor business in the 1970s, while I was
> employed by them; however, they remain active in the renewal parts
> business to support the units they had sold.
> ----------------------------------

Well, the market went away for a while but they've licensed technology
to Hitachi and are majority owner of GE/Hitachi and are selling building
and operating ABWR/ESBWR.

Evolved to conditions but didn't actually get out of the business.

>>> Westinghouse stayed in the nuclear business for a while.
>>
>> Indeed they did...
>>
>>> Where are they today?
>>
>> Same place they've always been, Westinghouse Energy Center,
>> Monroeville, PA (amongst a zillion other facilities worldwide)
> --------------------------
> Is there anything else remaining of "Circle W" as a business after the
> nuke business?

The pieces are mostly active but CBS dismantled the W company while they
owned it by selling various business units off. Nothing that had
anything to do w/ anything except the corporate mentality of CBS being a
communications company having no clue of what to do about actually
building anything.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 1:06 PM

On 6/2/2011 12:54 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
...

> Yep, renewable energy gets the job done, IF we develop it.

Nope. It can help in niche markets and supplement but it's always going
to be expensive compared to alternatives for baseload generation at
least for the foreseeable future. When and if there's a quantum leap in
storage technology at reasonable cost, _then_ you can begin to think in
new paradigms. Until then, not so much....

> BTW, natural gas doesn't get the job done, but it can serve as an
> intermediate fuel to transition away from fossil based fuels.

Such shortsighted thinking is absolutely asinine -- and you're the one
trying to pretend you're looking ahead. :(

> Think Pickens calls it a "Bridge".

Pickens really calls it his "cash cow" and gives a rat's patootie about
anything else other than short term profit (after all, he's only a
limited portion of his allotted seven-score left to go; what's he care?).

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 2:15 PM

On 6/2/2011 12:54 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>> I asked:
>> Annualized, what kind of money are we talking about?
>> ----------------------------------
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>> Of course it answers the question. 25% higher cost for purchased
>> power translates to at least that on the retail side. What's your
>> current bill; raise it by one-fourth.
> --------------------------
> Actual $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$.

ACTUAL_CURRENT_BILL_$ * 1.26 == BILL_AT_20%_MANDATE_$

Is your power too cheap to meter I guess you're saying so it doesn't
make any difference to you what the incremental use rate is?

If you're trying to impugn that the size of the utility service is small
that it doesn't really matter, purchased power in 2010 for the
distributing co-op organization just about $92.8M; our share is roughly
$3M. So, if that goes up 25%, it's equivalent of an additional tax of
some 3/4 of a million dollars or about $23M for the the combined co-ops
that cover roughly half of the state (geographically). You'll have got
that kind of chump change stashed in the dresser sock drawer I suppose.

--

cc

"chaniarts"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 12:24 PM

Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "chaniarts" wrote:
>
>> but it's much windier elsewhere in europe than germany. without a
>> european-wide energy producer, they're going to have to buy power
>> from elsewhere. that elsewhere is going to have to use nuclear, so
>> they're just exporting their problem to another country.
> ----------------------------------
> HUH!
>
> If the krauts can make enough money selling power to the rest of
> Europe, they will probably be happy to oblige.
>
> Lew

huh yourself. the krauts will be buyers, not sellers.

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

02/06/2011 9:22 PM

On 6/2/2011 7:10 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
...

> BTW, other than power, what else did your $750K buy or better yet the
> $3M your REC group kicked in?.

????

That was our expense for the power we distributed for 2010; nothing
else. We're distribution, not generation; that's the bill to the
generation bunch.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 8:56 AM

On 6/2/2011 7:10 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
...

> $750K is a sixeable nut where ever you are but it still pales when
> compared to the oil industry subsidy that is North of $24 BILLION with
> a "B".

OK, so first you compare the full nationwide petroleumto a single,
relatively small group of rural electric co-ops on a one-to-one basis of
absolute dollars...

> The $24 Billion subsidy is one of the primary reasons for a renewable
> energy subsidy you want to keep bringing to the table.

Then, you claim that the oil depletion allowance (the bulk of the
"subsidy" folks are ranting about these days) somehow has something
central to do w/ central station coal and nuclear generation rates.(1)

Lastly, the subsidies for green energy have virtually nothing to do w/
the comparative balance between oil and gas but almost everything to do
w/ a mostly political agenda couched in "save the planet" terms.

>
> What does the average retail customer pay for power ($/KWH) on an
> annual basis including the 25% increase?
> I see rates that vary from $0.10/KWH to as much as $0.17/KWH ...

Despite the combined efforts of the cooperating co-ops that form the
pool of which we are one of 29 local RECs to acquire cost-effective
generation our retail rates are still towards the upper end of the range
you have outlined above. This is primarily owing to the fact we are
very rural and therefore the transmission costs are quite high owing to
the large number of miles of line we have installed and maintain.
Rather than an urban utility of many loads(meters)/mile, we measure in
miles/meter.

This is yet another example of the hidden tax of the cost of rural
services that is generally unrecognized by the folks who eat the food
and wear the fiber and other products we produce for them.

(1) As a sidebar on depletion credit...

Depletion, like depreciation, allows for the recovery of
capital investment over time. Percentage depletion is used
for most mineral resources including oil and natural gas. It
is a tax deduction calculated by applying the allowable
percentage to the gross income from a property. For oil
and natural gas the allowable percentage is 15 percent.

A part of the tax code since 1926, percentage depletion has
changed over time. Current tax law limits the use of percentage
depletion of oil and gas in several ways.

First, the percentage depletion allowance may only be taken by
independent producers and royalty owners and not by integrated oil
companies.

Second, depletion may only be claimed up to specific daily American
production levels of 1,000 barrels of oil or 6,000 mcf of natural
gas.

Third, the deduction is limited to 65% of net taxable income.

Fourth, the net income limitation requires percentage depletion to be
calculated on a property-by-property basis.

Over 85 percent of America’s oil wells are marginal wells –
producing less than 15 barrels per day. About 75 percent of American
natural gas wells are marginal wells.

Marginal wells are unique to the United States; other countries shut
down these small operations. Once shut down, they will never be
opened again – it is too costly. Even keeping them operating is
expensive – they must be periodically reworked, their produced water
(around 9 of every 10 barrels produced) must be disposed properly,
the electricity costs to run their pumps must be paid. The depletion
credit is instrumental in providing sufficient ROI to continue to
produce from these wells and for continued exploration and wildcatting.

Even at current high prices during the period between the previous peak
and the recent resurgence it was very apparent in how much local "oil
patch" activity followed those swings. It didn't take long for the
rework rigs to get parked again when prices went back to the $80 range.
The folks in DC (and to a lesser extent even in Topeka) simply don't
seem to follow that significant economic activity occurs only when there
is a better return in any given area than there would be by doing
something different.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 1:46 PM

On 6/2/2011 12:43 AM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
...

> If you look at the cost of ownership equation, wind power has a very
> high front end cost, but after that operating costs drops drastically.
>
> As every sailor knows, the wind is free, but putting it to use gets
> expensive.
...

Again, if it weren't for the alternative sources req'd to be around
because it isn't reliable, that would be basically true.

In reality, it is nuclear that is expensive initial capital cost but for
which fuel costs are near minimal over time--which is what makes our REC
shared ownership of a fraction of Wolf Creek Nuclear by far the cheapest
power we have.

OK, I found the annual meeting minutes program I was looking for--we're
in process of trying to build a new coal-fired plant in W KS for future
demand for us and secondarily as an exporter to CO in return for the
revenue the extra power will bring to the local economies.

In there the current estimated construction costs are--

Coal $2500-$2600 /MWe
Nuke $5000-$5200 /MWe
Wind $2400-$2500 /MWe (including tax credits)

The kicker is that w/ wind we can only expect roughly 40% of that
installed capacity to be available (on annual capacity of 112 MWe
installed observed over nine years of actual production) so the actual
average installed cost is roughly 2.5X the above or $6000 /MWe-ongrid.

So, when one factors that into the overall operating cost of the
facility to satisfy a given load demand, the cost for wind is well above
any of the alternatives and this doesn't account for the capital cost
needed to ensure reliable backup from conventional or imported purchased
from an alternate-source to ensure the necessary reliability.

One has to consider what it actually requires to run a utility grid in
toto and simply the fact that one has X number of installed wind
generators of Y MWe rated capacity really has surprisingly little to do
with the Z number of MWe one can count on putting onto the grid at any
given instant. And, the bottom line is that one has to be able to do
the last 24/7 come wind or no.

--

ME

Martin Eastburn

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

05/06/2011 8:44 PM

Yea I remember when the data was exposed. One measuring station
was on top of a building next to an exhaust vent. The vent was hot.

The person used that to model Canada and the onslaught flow towards N.A.

He was exposed and disposed. Lots of people had used his data and
reports for forecasting and their talks.

Martin

On 6/5/2011 2:52 PM, [email protected] wrote:
> On Sun, 5 Jun 2011 14:19:53 -0400, "J. Clarke"<[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> In article<[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>>>
>>>> Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
>>>> preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
>>>> either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds.
>>>
>>> I've been staying out of this one but I have to ask - debunked by who?
>>> Faux News? Glenn Beck and his ilk? Something like 95% of scientists in
>>> the field (not some yahoo whose field is arificial polymers or the like)
>>> agree that global warming is occurring and that man made pollution plays
>>> a large part.
>>
>> Yeah, 95 percent of the scientists in the field of global warming say
>> this.
>>
>> They got caught suppressing data and fudging their numbers and their
>> credibility was destroyed.
>>
>> Might have been just a few but that doesn't matter in politics.
>
> The numbers no longer matter because everything is based on the fudged data
> and all the original data was destroyed. Wonder why?

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

06/06/2011 1:19 PM

In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
> On Sun, 05 Jun 2011 20:44:13 -0500, Martin Eastburn wrote:
>
> > Yea I remember when the data was exposed. One measuring station was on
> > top of a building next to an exhaust vent. The vent was hot.
>
> Reference?

That would have likely been Anthony Watts' "surfacestations.org" site
which is down at the moment (whether it's down temporarily or has been
shut down permanently I have no idea).

He found a number of stations where the temperature sensor was near an
air conditioner, and many other discrepancies from NOAA's published
standards for temperature measurement. He included photographs of the
stations and other information, so you can make your own determination
of whether there might be a problem, he didn't expect you to take his
word for it.

He's not the only one to question the quality of the data though.

The simple fact is that we don't know whether the percieved "warming" is
real or an artifact of instrumentation error.

NOAA recognized this as early as 2002 when they published a new set of
standards for temperature measurement. However those new standards do
not help us figure out whether older data is erroneous.

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

07/06/2011 1:33 PM

In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
> On Tue, 07 Jun 2011 00:43:54 +0000, Larry wrote:
>
> > Larry Blanchard <[email protected]> wrote in
> > news:[email protected]:
> >
> >> On Sun, 05 Jun 2011 20:44:13 -0500, Martin Eastburn wrote:
> >>
> >>> Yea I remember when the data was exposed. One measuring station was
> >>> on top of a building next to an exhaust vent. The vent was hot.
> >>
> >> Reference?
> >>
> >>
> > http://www.surfacestations.org/
>
> So you're using a Fox News weatherman as your authoritative source?

Nope, he's using the images and other data on that site as his
authoritative source. The site could be run by three gerbils and
dyspeptic squirrel but that wouldn't invalidate the data it provides.

You are very guilty here of the ad-hominem fallacy.

> I
> went to that web site and then I Googled Anthony Watts - the man is a
> laughingstock. He's been discredited six ways from Sunday.

I don't notice you discrediting anything on that site. Show us an error
in his data.

> And a weatherman deals in just that - weather, not climate. Watts has no
> pertinent credentials.

And you still haven't shown us that the data on that site is erroneous.

The climatologists get all the data on which they're basing their long
range analysis from weather stations you know. And weathermen,
regardless of their knowledge of climate, do know a thing or two about
weather stations.

Sorry, but you're doing more harm than good for your side with your line
of argument. Refute the data.

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

07/06/2011 7:47 PM

In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
> On Tue, 07 Jun 2011 13:33:24 -0400, J. Clarke wrote:
>
> > Sorry, but you're doing more harm than good for your side with your line
> > of argument. Refute the data.
>
> OK:
>
> http://www.skepticalscience.com/On-the-reliability-of-the-US-Surface-
> Temperature-Record.html

Sorry but that's not a refutation. In fact that argument is based on
_acceptance_ of the data that you claim that it refutes.

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

07/06/2011 9:48 PM

In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
> Larry Blanchard <[email protected]> wrote in
> news:[email protected]:
>
> >>>
> >>>
> >> http://www.surfacestations.org/
> >
> > I Googled Anthony
> > Watts - the man is a laughingstock. He's been discredited
> > six ways from Sunday.
> >
>
> A quote from his website:
>
> "The 1997 Conference on the World Climate Research Programme
> to the Third Conference of the Parties of the United Nations
> Framework Convention on Climate Change concluded that the
> ability to monitor the global climate was inadequate and
> deteriorating."
>
> You think it's any better now?
>
> I haven't seen a single person here claim humans are totally
> innocent. What I have heard is that they've been lying to us
> and manipulating data to get their desired results.
>
> All I'm doing is looking at the "problem" objectively which
> apparently you can't do. If it doesn't fit your philosphy I
> guess it's BS?
>
> Both sides of the debate are likely saying something true. I
> just don't know which is which.

It's all irrelevant anyway. The US isn't buying into it and despite
signing Kyoto, China is ignoring it, and if the US and China don't play
along the rest of the world is wasting its time trying to cut emissions.

JC

"J. Clarke"

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

08/06/2011 3:00 PM

In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
> On Tue, 07 Jun 2011 19:47:44 -0400, J. Clarke wrote:
>
> > In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
> >>
> >> On Tue, 07 Jun 2011 13:33:24 -0400, J. Clarke wrote:
> >>
> >> > Sorry, but you're doing more harm than good for your side with your
> >> > line of argument. Refute the data.
> >>
> >> OK:
> >>
> >> http://www.skepticalscience.com/On-the-reliability-of-the-US-Surface-
> >> Temperature-Record.html
> >
> > Sorry but that's not a refutation. In fact that argument is based on
> > _acceptance_ of the data that you claim that it refutes.
>
> Correct. But it refutes the interpretation of the data on the site you
> gave.

It also shows that the data in general is questionable.

Lr

Larry

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

07/06/2011 12:43 AM

Larry Blanchard <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> On Sun, 05 Jun 2011 20:44:13 -0500, Martin Eastburn wrote:
>
>> Yea I remember when the data was exposed. One measuring
>> station was on top of a building next to an exhaust vent.
>> The vent was hot.
>
> Reference?
>

http://www.surfacestations.org/

Lr

Larry

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

08/06/2011 12:48 AM

Larry Blanchard <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

>>>
>>>
>> http://www.surfacestations.org/
>
> I Googled Anthony
> Watts - the man is a laughingstock. He's been discredited
> six ways from Sunday.
>

A quote from his website:

"The 1997 Conference on the World Climate Research Programme
to the Third Conference of the Parties of the United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change concluded that the
ability to monitor the global climate was inadequate and
deteriorating."

You think it's any better now?

I haven't seen a single person here claim humans are totally
innocent. What I have heard is that they've been lying to us
and manipulating data to get their desired results.

All I'm doing is looking at the "problem" objectively which
apparently you can't do. If it doesn't fit your philosphy I
guess it's BS?

Both sides of the debate are likely saying something true. I
just don't know which is which.

Larry

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

07/06/2011 5:43 PM

On Jun 7, 7:47=A0pm, "J. Clarke" <[email protected]> wrote:
> In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>
>
>
> > On Tue, 07 Jun 2011 13:33:24 -0400, J. Clarke wrote:
>
> > > Sorry, but you're doing more harm than good for your side with your l=
ine
> > > of argument. =A0Refute the data.
>
> > OK:
>
> >http://www.skepticalscience.com/On-the-reliability-of-the-US-Surface-
> > Temperature-Record.html
>
> Sorry but that's not a refutation. =A0In fact that argument is based on
> _acceptance_ of the data that you claim that it refutes.

*in a documentary whisper*>>>
"and so, ladies and gentlemen, Doctor Twatwaffle tries to hook another
willing fish.
Stay tuned to watch the next episode named "Twatwaffle gets told to go
fuck himself."

kk

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

05/06/2011 2:52 PM

On Sun, 5 Jun 2011 14:19:53 -0400, "J. Clarke" <[email protected]> wrote:

>In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>>
>> > Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
>> > preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
>> > either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds.
>>
>> I've been staying out of this one but I have to ask - debunked by who?
>> Faux News? Glenn Beck and his ilk? Something like 95% of scientists in
>> the field (not some yahoo whose field is arificial polymers or the like)
>> agree that global warming is occurring and that man made pollution plays
>> a large part.
>
>Yeah, 95 percent of the scientists in the field of global warming say
>this.
>
>They got caught suppressing data and fudging their numbers and their
>credibility was destroyed.
>
>Might have been just a few but that doesn't matter in politics.

The numbers no longer matter because everything is based on the fudged data
and all the original data was destroyed. Wonder why?

LB

Larry Blanchard

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

06/06/2011 4:21 PM

On Sun, 05 Jun 2011 20:44:13 -0500, Martin Eastburn wrote:

> Yea I remember when the data was exposed. One measuring station was on
> top of a building next to an exhaust vent. The vent was hot.

Reference?

--
Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw

LB

Larry Blanchard

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

07/06/2011 4:45 PM

On Tue, 07 Jun 2011 00:43:54 +0000, Larry wrote:

> Larry Blanchard <[email protected]> wrote in
> news:[email protected]:
>
>> On Sun, 05 Jun 2011 20:44:13 -0500, Martin Eastburn wrote:
>>
>>> Yea I remember when the data was exposed. One measuring station was
>>> on top of a building next to an exhaust vent. The vent was hot.
>>
>> Reference?
>>
>>
> http://www.surfacestations.org/

So you're using a Fox News weatherman as your authoritative source? I
went to that web site and then I Googled Anthony Watts - the man is a
laughingstock. He's been discredited six ways from Sunday.

And a weatherman deals in just that - weather, not climate. Watts has no
pertinent credentials.

--
Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw

LD

"Lobby Dosser"

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

07/06/2011 4:05 PM

"J. Clarke" <[email protected]> wrote in message
news:[email protected]...
> In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>>
>> On Tue, 07 Jun 2011 00:43:54 +0000, Larry wrote:
>>
>> > Larry Blanchard <[email protected]> wrote in
>> > news:[email protected]:
>> >
>> >> On Sun, 05 Jun 2011 20:44:13 -0500, Martin Eastburn wrote:
>> >>
>> >>> Yea I remember when the data was exposed. One measuring station was
>> >>> on top of a building next to an exhaust vent. The vent was hot.
>> >>
>> >> Reference?
>> >>
>> >>
>> > http://www.surfacestations.org/
>>
>> So you're using a Fox News weatherman as your authoritative source?
>
> Nope, he's using the images and other data on that site as his
> authoritative source. The site could be run by three gerbils and
> dyspeptic squirrel but that wouldn't invalidate the data it provides.
>
> You are very guilty here of the ad-hominem fallacy.
>
>> I
>> went to that web site and then I Googled Anthony Watts - the man is a
>> laughingstock. He's been discredited six ways from Sunday.
>
> I don't notice you discrediting anything on that site. Show us an error
> in his data.
>
>> And a weatherman deals in just that - weather, not climate. Watts has no
>> pertinent credentials.
>
> And you still haven't shown us that the data on that site is erroneous.
>
> The climatologists get all the data on which they're basing their long
> range analysis from weather stations you know. And weathermen,
> regardless of their knowledge of climate, do know a thing or two about
> weather stations.
>
> Sorry, but you're doing more harm than good for your side with your line
> of argument. Refute the data.
>
>


Better, ask for a definition of "Climate". Gets real quiet after that.

--
"I'm the man who broke the bank at Monte Carlo ..."

LB

Larry Blanchard

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

07/06/2011 11:11 PM

On Tue, 07 Jun 2011 13:33:24 -0400, J. Clarke wrote:

> Sorry, but you're doing more harm than good for your side with your line
> of argument. Refute the data.

OK:

http://www.skepticalscience.com/On-the-reliability-of-the-US-Surface-
Temperature-Record.html

--
Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw

LD

"Lobby Dosser"

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

08/06/2011 2:11 AM

"J. Clarke" <[email protected]> wrote in message
news:[email protected]...
> In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>>
>> Larry Blanchard <[email protected]> wrote in
>> news:[email protected]:
>>
>> >>>
>> >>>
>> >> http://www.surfacestations.org/
>> >
>> > I Googled Anthony
>> > Watts - the man is a laughingstock. He's been discredited
>> > six ways from Sunday.
>> >
>>
>> A quote from his website:
>>
>> "The 1997 Conference on the World Climate Research Programme
>> to the Third Conference of the Parties of the United Nations
>> Framework Convention on Climate Change concluded that the
>> ability to monitor the global climate was inadequate and
>> deteriorating."
>>
>> You think it's any better now?
>>
>> I haven't seen a single person here claim humans are totally
>> innocent. What I have heard is that they've been lying to us
>> and manipulating data to get their desired results.
>>
>> All I'm doing is looking at the "problem" objectively which
>> apparently you can't do. If it doesn't fit your philosphy I
>> guess it's BS?
>>
>> Both sides of the debate are likely saying something true. I
>> just don't know which is which.
>
> It's all irrelevant anyway. The US isn't buying into it and despite
> signing Kyoto, China is ignoring it, and if the US and China don't play
> along the rest of the world is wasting its time trying to cut emissions.


Not really. Along the way they're boosting their own economies and getting
an edge on us with alternate/renewable energy. BTW, the Chinese are doing a
massive amount of said work themselves while they spew more carbon per
capita - and with a hell of a lot of capitas. The US is pretty much behind
the eight ball on all of this.

--
"I'm the man who broke the bank at Monte Carlo ..."

LB

Larry Blanchard

in reply to dpb on 03/06/2011 1:46 PM

08/06/2011 6:12 PM

On Tue, 07 Jun 2011 19:47:44 -0400, J. Clarke wrote:

> In article <[email protected]>, [email protected] says...
>>
>> On Tue, 07 Jun 2011 13:33:24 -0400, J. Clarke wrote:
>>
>> > Sorry, but you're doing more harm than good for your side with your
>> > line of argument. Refute the data.
>>
>> OK:
>>
>> http://www.skepticalscience.com/On-the-reliability-of-the-US-Surface-
>> Temperature-Record.html
>
> Sorry but that's not a refutation. In fact that argument is based on
> _acceptance_ of the data that you claim that it refutes.

Correct. But it refutes the interpretation of the data on the site you
gave.


--
Intelligence is an experiment that failed - G. B. Shaw

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 3:03 PM

On 6/3/2011 1:46 PM, dpb wrote:
...

> OK, I found the annual meeting minutes program I was looking for--
...
> In there the current estimated construction costs are--
>
> Coal $2500-$2600 /MWe
> Nuke $5000-$5200 /MWe
> Wind $2400-$2500 /MWe (including tax credits)
>
> The kicker is that w/ wind we can only expect roughly 40% of that
> installed capacity to be available (on annual capacity of 112 MWe
> installed observed over nine years of actual production) so the actual
> average installed cost is roughly 2.5X the above or $6000 /MWe-ongrid.
...

BTW, just for comparison--for the time period the overall average
capacity factor for Wolf Creek Nuclear Station was 87.1% w/ a peak
annual capacity of 95.8% in '07; the _lowest_ being 81.5% in '05 owing
to an extra week (roughly) longer outage duration costing roughly 2% on
annual output.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 3:48 PM

On 6/3/2011 3:29 PM, Robatoy wrote:
...

> stop this bullshit train and look at what makes sense?
...

Not sure what they're doing up north, Robatoy; what they're doing down
here is making more bs rules and adding costs thereby.

My task (and I've chosen to accept it) is to try to throw fact in front
of the train and make as much effort as possible to keep power
affordable for our members.

I don't know of any way other than to try to counteract the agenda of
the others than by refuting them, do you?

(Or, maybe I'm totally misreading...I will kill this thread in my reader
so I'm no longer tempted, though, at least until Lew goes off again... :) )

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 5:17 PM

On 6/3/2011 4:03 PM, Robatoy wrote:
...

> If your task is keeping costs down on distribution, then it doesn't
> matter where the MWs come from.

Well, basically the way we can do that is to control our power cost
which is to say, try to maintain the most effective generation option
possible.

> If the decision to drain a lake through a turbine is 20 free MW's for
> a year and then the damn thing goes dry, the lake that is, then cooler
> heads must prevail. In that hypothetical scenario, you can't run lines
> to a community with a guarantee to supply them.
> So the supply has to have some robustness to it. Not only are we
> talking about base-load, we are also looking at sustainability. The
> steadiest, reliable base-load we have, here and below the border, is
> nuclear. Fact.

Well, that sorta' thing is patently obvious--which is my rant against
natural gas for central generation except for very unusual circumstances.

And B), yes. Only (or at least the major) problem there is politics and
paranoia here (as I suspect it is there).

...

> We can't afford NOT to go nuclear.

Amen, brother; preaching to choir there...

Altho I am not at all opposed to coal; mines don't _necessarily_
collapse and it's really other than nuclear by far the most plentiful
and suitable fuel for the purpose. Certainly taking it off the table in
the US isn't having nor will it have any effect on the Chinese and
Indians nor most of the rest of the developing world so its a fools
errand to think one is carrying the water for some other agenda by doing so.

Adios from south of the border ... :)

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 8:55 PM

On 6/3/2011 8:14 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>>
>> That was our expense for the power we distributed for 2010; nothing
>> else. We're distribution, not generation; that's the bill to the
>> generation bunch.
> ---------------------------------
> So what did the $3M buy?
>
> Somebody made money from the deal.
>
> Who?

We buy and sell widgets. The widgets happen to be kWhrs. That was our
cost for the widgets for last year.

We turned around and sold the widgets for enough to cover operating
costs and a little more. We're a member-owned cooperative; our purpose
isn't to make money but to provide the service to our members. So,
beyond covering expenses, we try to only keep a reasonable ROI for
improvements and maintenance, etc..

As for the rest, the generation comes from folks who are in the same
business; some are commercial and some are also electric cooperatives.
They have the expected business models for the type of venture they
happen to be.

There are a large number of utilities of all stripes (municipal,
investor-owned, cooperatives) that are transmission/distribution only;
ie, do not operate generation facilities. There are, otoh,
generation-only utilities as well (altho I don't know of any that are
municipal of the type, there are cooperatives and investor-owned).

Somehow you're being either purposely obtuse or I fail to understand how
this can seem to be so complicated/foreign to you...

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 9:01 PM

On 6/3/2011 8:57 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>> Again, if it weren't for the alternative sources req'd to be around
>> because it isn't reliable, that would be basically true.
> ----------------------------
> You're hung up on wind being unreliable.
>
> There is more than one form of renewable energy.

_ALL_ of which suffer the problem. The sun still goes down at night and
isn't always out even during the day.

And, one still has to have the reliable sources whether you can build
enough diversity in the others or not, the more of those you build the
even higher level of additional capital burden you create for the privilege.

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

03/06/2011 9:21 PM

On 6/3/2011 8:53 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "dpb" wrote:
>
>
>> OK, so first you compare the full nationwide petroleumto a single,
>> relatively small group of rural electric co-ops on a one-to-one
>> basis of absolute dollars...
> ------------------------------
> That was your statement, you claim to be subsidizing the renewable
> energy business.

I made no such statement other than that there are significant subsidies
in place for renewables and various states have mandates that utilities
within them must utilize a stated percentage of that power irregardless
of whether it is the least cost power available to them. That forces
demand that otherwise wouldn't be there.

...

>> Lastly, the subsidies for green energy have virtually nothing to do
>> w/ the comparative balance between oil and gas but almost everything
>> to do w/ a mostly political agenda couched in "save the planet"
>> terms.
> -------------------------------
> You are entitled to your misguided opinion.

And can you demonstrate the opinion to in error?

> -------------------------------
>
...

> Since you didn't directly answer the question, will assume your retail
> price is around $0.15/KWH.

Not terribly far off....
>
> The latest data I found for the average retail price of a KWH for the
> state of Kansas was $0.0956/KWH for Nov 2009.

Seems somewhat low. Would guess does not include fuel adjustment and
other local tariffs.

> Sounds like somebody in Kansas is getting a hell of deal.

As per usual, indeed the urban areas get a major break compared to rural
areas because it simply costs more to deliver to one farmstead every
mile to three miles as opposed to however many houses/apartments there
on a city block.

> Might want to check it out.

Believe me, we know the problem all too well...

To add insult to injury, the KCC allowed one of the investor utilities
to cherry-pick the one sizable industrial load on our distribution and
at the same time dump the rural area of the county they had served for
almost 50 years as "unprofitable" owing to the low load density. If we
were to rely on such we still would have no power at all, no matter what
the cost. That's the reason behind the REA movement to begin with and
it hasn't changed in 80 years.

...

> Like a lot of the tax code, the depreciation allowance has outlived
> it's usefulness.
...

That it doesn't apply to the integrated oil companies means it isn't
what most folks represent it to be (and I'd guess even a majority of the
congress critters at the hearings not too long ago other than the
particular few w/ direct knowledge. Other than that they generally just
take the populist position on anything.)

--

dn

dpb

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

04/06/2011 5:37 PM

On 6/4/2011 3:05 PM, Han wrote:
...

> Ambivalence - no, I'm not ambivalent about it. On the other hand, as
> many have pointed out, Mother Nature has on occasion made things warmer
> and colder, and no one can be sure (yet) what She is doing all by herself
> right now. There is uncertainty in both the natural trend(s) and the
> trends caused by humankind.
>
> What is unequivocal (IMNSHO) is that we are contributing to warming of
> the global climate....

I don't think that's so "unequivocal" at all...and if it is indeed
natural cycle, what we choose to do if done on large scale might just be
the _wrong_ thing unless one really does know whether and precisely what
effects are what.

--

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 4:16 AM

In article <[email protected]>,
Mike Marlow <[email protected]> wrote:
<...snipped...>
>Really??? 3 Mile Island. Chernobyl, Japan. it does not take a large
>number with nukes, to create a large impact. One is all it takes.
>
>I don't glow in the dark either, and I'm 11 miles from 3 of them. Downwind.
>But - you're gone from them now, right? Were you as much of an advocate,
>with no concerns, when you lived nearer to them? What if the disposal site
>was determined to be 10 miles from you? I'm not anti-nuke. I don't fear
>nukes. I do however, think that a great deal more thought needs to go into
>nukes than what comes out in discussions like this. Too many people
>advocating nukes without thinking about the ramifications.
>
<...snipped...>
>...The stuff is dangerous. More dangerous
>than oil, coal, and NG.
>

I suppose it's a matter of opinion. Speaking for myself, I'd sure rather
live next door to a nuclear plant than downstream from a coal slurry dam:

http://www.southernstudies.org/2009/05/power-politics-activists-arrested-for-protesting-dangerous-coal-sludge-dam-in-west-virginia.html

http://www.theiowaedict.com/injury-caused-by-property-defects/what-does-lake-delhi-iowa-and-buffalo-creek-wv-have-in-common/

--
When the game is over, the pawn and the king are returned to the same box.

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar.org

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 4:33 AM

In article <[email protected]>,
HeyBub <[email protected]> wrote:
<...snipped...>
>Personally, I'm in favor of stacking the stuff up on the U.S.-Mexican
>border. It will make spotting illegals easier to spot in the dark.
>
>

Actually, stacking it up is not a really good idea. During the Manhattan
project, the Oak Ridge team, mostly chemists and engineers, worked on
enriching & isolating the fissionable U235 isotope from the much
more prevalant U238. They were not aware of the reasons for doing
this (classified) and most did not have an understanding of the critcal
mass concept. Fortunately, one of the physicists at Los Alamos realized
the danger after seeing a photograph of the stack.

The USSR had a number of nuclear accidents in the late 50s at what is
now called Mayak. It's been theorized some of these resulted from
accidental criticality incidents.




--
When the game is over, the pawn and the king are returned to the same box.

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar.org

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 10:04 PM

In article <[email protected]>,
Mike Marlow <[email protected]> wrote:
<<...snipped...>>
>> I suppose it's a matter of opinion. Speaking for myself, I'd sure
>> rather live next door to a nuclear plant than downstream from a coal
>> slurry dam:
>>
>
>To be fair - I am no advocate of that particular manner of dealing with the
>fly ash. I don't want to second guess something that the designers didn't
>invite me to participate in, but from where I sit, it sure does look like
>those slurrys could have been almost expected. We've been building damns
>and ponds for a long time, and we've seen plenty of failures - makes one
>wonder why some of those lessons seemed to have been lost on the design of
>those ponds.
>

Mike, just to clarify, those are NOT fly ash impoundments. They are
_slurry_ impoundments where the waste from _mining_ the coal is put. Fly
ash is produced from _burning_ coal and is yet another waste product from
coal that is often stored in impoundment dams. Coal is just plain dirty
all around.

--
When the game is over, the pawn and the king are returned to the same box.

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar.org

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

25/06/2011 10:14 PM

In article <[email protected]>, dpb <[email protected]> wrote:
>Larry W wrote:
>
>> In article <[email protected]>,
>> HeyBub <[email protected]> wrote:
>> <...snipped...>
>>
>>>Personally, I'm in favor of stacking the stuff up on the U.S.-Mexican
>>>border. It will make spotting illegals easier to spot in the dark.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>
>> Actually, stacking it up is not a really good idea. During the Manhattan
>> project, the Oak Ridge team, mostly chemists and engineers, worked on
>> enriching & isolating the fissionable U235 isotope from the much
>> more prevalant U238. They were not aware of the reasons for doing
>> this (classified) and most did not have an understanding of the critcal
>> mass concept. Fortunately, one of the physicists at Los Alamos realized
>> the danger after seeing a photograph of the stack.
>>
>> The USSR had a number of nuclear accidents in the late 50s at what is
>> now called Mayak. It's been theorized some of these resulted from
>> accidental criticality incidents.
>...
>
>
>Commercial reactor _new_ fuel won't reach criticality in an open stack
>w/o moderator, what more spent fuel...
>
>I spent almost 30 years in Oak Ridge and am aware (I am almost certain)
>of all the criticality or near=criticality incidents there since the
>inception as things of intense scrutiny and rehash for lessons learned,
>etc. I have never heard of such an incident as you describe; please
>provide some details so can dig into this...
>
>--
>

I admit that I made that statement from memory of Richard Rhodes book which
I read many years ago and I may not have all my facts straight as to
location and dated, but I do have a recollection of such an incident
being in the book. OTOH, my memory is not what it used to be...
--
When the game is over, the pawn and the king are returned to the same box.

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar.org

Rc

Richard

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

12/08/2011 2:06 AM

On 8/11/2011 8:11 PM, Robatoy wrote:
> On Aug 11, 8:21 pm, Han<[email protected]> wrote:
>> Richard<[email protected]> wrote innews:[email protected]:
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>> On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
>>>> Richard<[email protected]> wrote in
>>>> news:[email protected]:
>>
>>>>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>>>>> "Han" wrote:
>>
>>>>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per
>>>>>>> year than
>>>>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>
>>>>>> ---------------------------------
>>>>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
>>>>>> well as nukes?
>>
>>>>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
>>>>>> quickly as possible.
>>
>>>>>> Lew
>>
>>>>> And replace them with what, Lew?
>>>>> Horses?
>>
>>>> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse
>>>> manure pollution in (at least) New York City.
>>
>>>>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and
>>>>> portability as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we
>>>>> are 50 years late deciding to make internal combustion effecent and
>>>>> clean. But we didn't have the computer technology back then to do
>>>>> it.
>>
>>>> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
>>>> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats
>>>> are equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
>>>> consumption. I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
>>>> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
>>>> demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would be
>>>> difficult to replace is jet planes.
>>
>>> Actually, I think the biggest problem is shipping - freighters.
>>> Dig into that some.
>>
>> Depending on the size of the ship, nuclear could be an option, although I
>> don't think any ships apart from navy have been nuclear so far.
>>
>> --
>> Best regards
>> Han
>> email address is invalid
>
> Fuel is hard to get a hold of.


You have to be a first world government to be abe to affore fuel.

Ll

Leon

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

01/07/2011 8:03 AM

On 7/1/2011 6:09 AM, Swingman wrote:
> On 6/30/2011 7:14 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>> "Swingman" wrote:
>>
>>> Politics, not science.
>>
>> Obviously.
>>
>> Politics is the vehicle of change.
>
> Politics is why your state is in the state its in ...
>

But if you live in California, that is a good thing. Right? ;~)

Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

04/06/2011 8:00 AM

Han wrote:
> "HeyBub" <[email protected]> wrote in
> news:[email protected]:
>
>> No, global warming has just about been eliminated as a long-term
>> anything. Global warming science has been thoroughly debunked as
>> preposterous and the global warming scientists have been shown to be
>> either dupes (being charitable) or out-and-out frauds. The whole
>> thing has as much substance as crop circles and its practitioners,
>> in the main, devotees of something resembling a cargo cult.
>
> I know it is difficult, but keep an open mind. Global warming is a
> fact. Exactly how much is man-made is not known, but an appreciable
> percentage is. Chatter among scientists as to how to account for
> datapoints that appear to be outliers is just that - chatter.
> Important for getting down to the nitty-gritty, but it isn't
> affecting the big picture.

I stand corrected: When I said global warming is bunk I mean "man-made"
global warming. Thank you for pointing out my shorthand could lead to the
wrong conclusion.

However, I detect some ambivalence in YOUR comment:

"Exactly how much is man-made is not known, but an appreciable percentage
is."

If the amount is unknown, how can one assert "an appreciable percentage" of
global warming is man-made?

And what is this "appreciable" percentage? 50%? 90%? 5%?

Rc

Richard

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 12:59 AM

On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "Han" wrote:
>
>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year
>> than
>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>
> ---------------------------------
> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
> well as nukes?
>
> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
> quickly as possible.
>
> Lew
>
>

And replace them with what, Lew?
Horses?

There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and portability
as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we are 50 years late
deciding to make internal combustion effecent and clean. But we didn't
have the computer technology back then to do it.

kk

in reply to Richard on 11/08/2011 12:59 AM

16/08/2011 5:56 PM

On 15 Aug 2011 14:58:47 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:

>Swingman <[email protected]> wrote in
>news:[email protected]:
>
>> On 8/15/2011 8:32 AM, Han wrote:
>>> "J. Clarke"<[email protected]> wrote in
>>> news:[email protected]:
>>>
>>>> In any case, all energy is fossil fuel energy. Even solar. The
>>>> fossil is the primordial hydrogen that the sun is burning at a
>>>> horrendous rate and in a very wasteful manner.
>>>
>>> I'm sure the treaparty will fix that too ...
>>
>> LOL ... you liberal rascal you! :)
>>
>> One unarguable fact you guys conveniently lose sight of with regard to
>> the the Tea Party:
>>
>> The "Tea Party" are NOT the ones that got us into this mess.
>>
>> That is not to say that, given the doubtful opportunity, they won't
>> follow suit.
>>
>> Remember, and NEVER lose sight that, Dickens' "Little Dorritt",
>> Chapter 10, is the ONLY unalterable rule of government!
>>
>> Op. cit.
>>
>> ;)
>
>Noted with delight!!
>
>Just to remind you, I'm fiscally conservative. As just restated in the
>NY Times, Texas didn't suffer as much as CA & FL from the housing
>collapse (in part) because of its rather stringent mortgage regulations.
> Other than that they (of course) had little good to say about Parry ...

You expect the NYT to say *anything* good about Perry?

ZY

Zz Yzx

in reply to "[email protected]" on 16/08/2011 5:56 PM

06/05/2012 2:38 PM

>Sorry - I left by sarcasm widget at home when I posted my reply.
Jeez.... I got it. Maybe, from now on, we all should precede all
coments with a tag, eg.:

sarcasm: <s>
disdain: <d>
stupidity: <wtf?>
disbelief: <wtff?>
disagree: <gfy>
anger: <ihy>
think you're stupid: <itys>

game on

Hn

Han

in reply to Richard on 11/08/2011 12:59 AM

15/08/2011 3:09 PM

Larry Jaques <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> P.S: Is the Department of Redundancy Department included in today's
> Department of Circumlocution?

They are separate entities, not at all duplicating each other.
... --- ...
--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to Richard on 11/08/2011 12:59 AM

17/08/2011 1:11 AM

"[email protected]" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> On 15 Aug 2011 14:58:47 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>><SNIP>
>>
>>Just to remind you, I'm fiscally conservative. As just restated in the
>>NY Times, Texas didn't suffer as much as CA & FL from the housing
>>collapse (in part) because of its rather stringent mortgage regulations.
>> Other than that they (of course) had little good to say about Parry ...
>
> You expect the NYT to say *anything* good about Perry?

I said: "Other than that they (of course) had little good to say about
Parry"
Why did you think I added "of course"?

But I do agree with the NY Times this time <grin>.
--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

LJ

Larry Jaques

in reply to Richard on 11/08/2011 12:59 AM

15/08/2011 8:02 AM

On Mon, 15 Aug 2011 09:21:36 -0500, Swingman <[email protected]> wrote:

>On 8/15/2011 8:32 AM, Han wrote:
>> "J. Clarke"<[email protected]> wrote in
>> news:[email protected]:
>>
>>> In any case, all energy is fossil fuel energy. Even solar. The fossil
>>> is the primordial hydrogen that the sun is burning at a horrendous rate
>>> and in a very wasteful manner.
>>
>> I'm sure the treaparty will fix that too ...
>
>LOL ... you liberal rascal you! :)

<g> Did he mean "tea" or "tree", as in his Tree Hugger party, I'm
wondering? Anything else is unthinkable. Heavens! :^)

I wish our Tea Party would lose the loudmouthed freaks at the top,
getting all the media attention, though.


>One unarguable fact you guys conveniently lose sight of with regard to
>the the Tea Party:
>
>The "Tea Party" are NOT the ones that got us into this mess.

Verily!


>That is not to say that, given the doubtful opportunity, they won't
>follow suit.

An unfortunate possibility.


>Remember, and NEVER lose sight that, Dickens' "Little Dorritt", Chapter
>10, is the ONLY unalterable rule of government!
>
>Op. cit.

Opus in printius:
http://www.readprint.com/chapter-2800/Little-Dorrit-Charles-Dickens

;)

P.S: Is the Department of Redundancy Department included in today's
Department of Circumlocution?

--
Happiness lies in the joy of achievement and the thrill of creative effort.
-- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Sk

Swingman

in reply to Richard on 11/08/2011 12:59 AM

15/08/2011 10:51 AM

On 8/15/2011 10:02 AM, Larry Jaques wrote:
> On Mon, 15 Aug 2011 09:21:36 -0500, Swingman<[email protected]> wrote:


>> Remember, and NEVER lose sight that, Dickens' "Little Dorritt", Chapter
>> 10, is the ONLY unalterable rule of government!
>>
>> Op. cit.
>
> Opus in printius:
> http://www.readprint.com/chapter-2800/Little-Dorrit-Charles-Dickens
>
> ;)
>
> P.S: Is the Department of Redundancy Department included in today's
> Department of Circumlocution?

That which we call a rose ...

--
www.e-woodshop.net
Last update: 4/15/2010
KarlC@ (the obvious)

Ll

Leon

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

15/08/2011 7:01 AM

On 8/15/2011 1:10 AM, Just Wondering wrote:
> On 8/11/2011 6:52 AM, Leon wrote:
>> On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
>>> Richard<[email protected]> wrote in
>>> news:[email protected]:
>>>
>>>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>>>> "Han" wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year
>>>>>> than
>>>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>>>>
>>>>> ---------------------------------
>>>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
>>>>> well as nukes?
>>>>>
>>>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
>>>>> quickly as possible.
>>>>>
>>>>> Lew
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> And replace them with what, Lew?
>>>> Horses?
>>>
>>> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse manure
>>> pollution in (at least) New York City.
>>>
>>>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and portability
>>>> as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we are 50 years late
>>>> deciding to make internal combustion effecent and clean. But we didn't
>>>> have the computer technology back then to do it.
>>>
>>> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
>>> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats are
>>> equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
>>> consumption.
>>
>> So when you mention battery technology being so far along, do you
>> consider the down side that it is a nasty business to be disposing of
>> the spent batteries? Typically the battery cars life cycle from
>> beginning to end today use more energy and pollute more during the
>> manufacturing, consumer operation, and disposal process than the Hummer.
>>
>> The electrics look good if you only consider the consumer benefit. They
>> are not any better for the environment during manufacture and disposal.
>>
>
> Q. What happens when you battery runs down?
> A. You have to recharge it.
> Q. Where does the electricity come from to recharge it?
> A. Mostly from power plants using coal, oil, and gas.
>
> For most practical purposes, electrical energy is fossil fuel energy,
> just one step removed.

Use by the consumer is the only actual point that building, using , and
disposal of an electric car makes sense on paper.
Cars that run on electricity are more efficient than those that run on
gasoline, approximately 4 times more efficient. Basically stated, it
costs approximately 1/4 the amount to produce the electricity needed to
accomplish what gasoline accomplishes for a vehicle

I would say that the biggest obstacle that electric cars have is that
you cannot refill them in 10 minutes so taking them on a trip past a
charge capacity is going to be difficult.

The next big obstacle is going to be when the "greenies" discover that
the cost and environmental impact to manufacture and dismantle those
electric vehicles is worse than for a conventional vehicle. Think
grocery store bag. Save the trees, choose plastic over paper! Save the
environment, bring and reuse your own cloth bags. Think don't drive tot
he grocery store with excess weight which will use more fuel, use the
grocery store bags.








Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

06/07/2011 7:38 AM

Lew Hodgett wrote:
> ----------------------------
> The days of the nuclear industry's "Feet up, pat 'em on the po po"
> approach to dealing with the public are over.
>
> The industry has had 40+ years to develop a reliable and safe waste
> stream processing method and they are still at square one.
>
> Until the industry gets serious about solving this problem on a world
> wide basis, there will be no new nukes built, at least if I can help
> stop them.

There are MANY solutions to nuclear waste. None have been adopted because we
don't NEED to adopt them. The longer we wait before deciding on which
solution is best, the better the chance that an even better solution will be
found.

>
> There are just too many other alternate renewable energy possibilities
> waiting to be developed including, but not limited to the next
> generation of batteries and photo cells..

Batteries are NOT an energy solution. Batteries STORE energy, they don't
create it. The energy they store has to come from somewhere, presumably
nuclear power plants.

Photocells won't work for large scale deployment either. The earth receives
about 1300 watts / sq meter of sun energy. At the equator. At noon. With no
clouds.

Assuming 50% conversion factor and adjusting for latitude, clouds, 12 hours
of darkness, and other limitations, it would take a solar collector farm the
size of the Los Angeles basin (1200 sq miles) to provide the 50GW of power
used by California.

Consider the cost to manufacture, install, and maintain 1200 square miles of
solar collectors. You would NEVER recoup the investment.

Don't get me wrong - alternative, renewable, energy sources have their
place, but they'll never do more than nibble at the margins and are almost
never cost-effective.


Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 7:48 AM

Han wrote:
>
> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats
> are equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
> consumption. I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
> demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would be
> difficult to replace is jet planes.

Batteries are not "fuel sources," they are "fuel storage devices." Just like
the gas tank on an automobile.

"Alternative energy sources" can do no more than nibble at the margins. All
those you mention make up less than 5% of our energy needs.

Of course if we poured billions upon billions into research and development,
we might be able to increase that to 10%.

Ll

Leon

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

11/08/2011 7:52 AM

On 8/11/2011 7:11 AM, Han wrote:
> Richard<[email protected]> wrote in
> news:[email protected]:
>
>> On 8/10/2011 6:02 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
>>> "Han" wrote:
>>>
>>>> As has been pointed out before, more coal workers have died per year
>>>> than
>>>> all the people who have died from nuke accidents.
>>>
>>> ---------------------------------
>>> Does that include the long term (25 years) effects of both coal as
>>> well as nukes?
>>>
>>> BTW, helps to make the case to wean ourselves from fossil fuels as
>>> quickly as possible.
>>>
>>> Lew
>>>
>>>
>>
>> And replace them with what, Lew?
>> Horses?
>
> Reminds me why the automobile was hailed as the solution to horse manure
> pollution in (at least) New York City.
>
>> There is nothing in the wings that has near the power and portability
>> as gasoline. I would add that our problem is that we are 50 years late
>> deciding to make internal combustion effecent and clean. But we didn't
>> have the computer technology back then to do it.
>
> Apart from nuclear, there is water, wind, solar and more renewable
> sources. Battery technology is now so far along that even tugboats are
> equipped and are saving (in hybrid mode) 40-60% of their diesel
> consumption.

So when you mention battery technology being so far along, do you
consider the down side that it is a nasty business to be disposing of
the spent batteries? Typically the battery cars life cycle from
beginning to end today use more energy and pollute more during the
manufacturing, consumer operation, and disposal process than the Hummer.

The electrics look good if you only consider the consumer benefit. They
are not any better for the environment during manufacture and disposal.





I'm not that sanguine about the "greenness" of
> manufacturing high yield batteries, but that should also improve with
> demand. For now, I think the only transportation that would be difficult
> to replace is jet planes.
>
>

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

06/05/2012 1:16 PM

Lew Hodgett wrote:
> "Lew Hodgett" wrote:
>
>> After a tour of the damaged reactor site, it's been announced by the
>> Japanese it may take at least 30 years to clean up the mess.
>>
>> I'd call that a "Reactor problem".
> ----------------------------------------
>
> Looks like "Reactor problem" was a bit of an understatement.
>
> Now six months later, the Japanese have pulled the plug on nuclear
> power in Japan.
>
> Lew
> .

What fools! Don't they know it's safe, clean and cheap?

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

tn

tiredofspam

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

06/05/2012 3:22 PM

Wow, Mike... don't you think they know that it's not.

So if its cheap, why are they pulling the plug?
Because one accident like this costs way more than the savings. And
displaces thousands if not millions.

Clean... those rods will need to be kept clear of anyone for 40 thousand
years. So you realize that civilzation has not been around that long.
What language will they be speaking then. Will the warning to the
entrance be understood...



On 5/6/2012 1:16 PM, Mike Marlow wrote:
> Lew Hodgett wrote:
>> "Lew Hodgett" wrote:
>>
>>> After a tour of the damaged reactor site, it's been announced by the
>>> Japanese it may take at least 30 years to clean up the mess.
>>>
>>> I'd call that a "Reactor problem".
>> ----------------------------------------
>>
>> Looks like "Reactor problem" was a bit of an understatement.
>>
>> Now six months later, the Japanese have pulled the plug on nuclear
>> power in Japan.
>>
>> Lew
>> .
>
> What fools! Don't they know it's safe, clean and cheap?
>

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

17/08/2011 1:23 PM


"Han" wrote:

> If the GOP thinks that they can win with idiots like Perry, they're
> only
> making it easy for Obama.
-------------------------------
If you want an argument, change the subject.

Lew

LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

22/11/2011 5:17 PM

After a tour of the damaged reactor site, it's been announced by the
Japanese it may take at least 30 years to clean up the mess.

I'd call that a "Reactor problem".

Lew




LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

23/11/2011 10:17 PM


"Larry W" wrote:

> 30 years is not too bad. There are coal strip mines that have never
> been cleaned up after 60 and 70 years.

-----------------------------
You want an argument change the subject.

About the ugliest thing I've ever seen were unreclaimed strip mines in
SE Ohio.

At one time it was productive farm land.

And now they want to blow the top off Blair mountain in WVA to get at
a seam of coal.

It's insane.

Lew


LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

06/05/2012 10:13 AM


"Lew Hodgett" wrote:

> After a tour of the damaged reactor site, it's been announced by the
> Japanese it may take at least 30 years to clean up the mess.
>
> I'd call that a "Reactor problem".
----------------------------------------

Looks like "Reactor problem" was a bit of an understatement.

Now six months later, the Japanese have pulled the plug on nuclear
power in Japan.

Lew
.



LH

"Lew Hodgett"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

07/05/2012 4:25 PM


"Larry W" wrote:
>
>
> Here's a coal mining problem that has existed since 1962 and will
> probably
> NEVER be cleaned up:
> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centralia,_Pennsylvania
>
> Some estimates say the underground fire will continue to burn for as
> much as
> 100 or even 200 or more years. Nuclear power looks like a pretty
> clean
> alternative from here.
--------------------------------
Guess there is some sort of twisted logic there, but damned if I see
it.

Replacing one poisonious fuel source with another even more dangerous
one doesn't get the job done.

Lew


MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

09/05/2012 8:49 PM

Tom Del Rosso wrote:
> Mike Marlow wrote:
>> Tom Del Rosso wrote:
>>> tiredofspam wrote:
>>>> Wow, Mike... don't you think they know that it's not.
>>>>
>>>> So if its cheap, why are they pulling the plug?
>>>> Because one accident like this costs way more than the savings.
>>>> And displaces thousands if not millions.
>>>
>>> Does it really cost more than all the savings for 50 years between
>>> accidents?
>>
>> Think about that - just for a moment.
>
> Ok. Now what?
>

So - what is that savings? Be sure to include all of the costs associated
with nuclear energy. 11% of the world's energy is generated by nuclear
power. What are the surrounding costs of that energy? It was supposed to
be too cheap to meter, but then it became very expensive to administer and
to deliver. So - what are those savings?


> Note that I'm thinking about all the savings from hundreds of
> reactors that had no accidents.
>
>
>>> And that interval will get longer. Keeping it away from shore in a
>>> country that has tsunamis isn't that hard.
>>>
>>
>> Of course, we all know that the only threat is tsunamis...
>
> It sure isn't earthquakes, since all the reactors including Fukushima
> survived that.
>

You sir, have a lot to consider. Simply because something has not happened
yet, is no reason not to be concerned for the cost for when it does happen.
It is very short sighted to simply look at what has (or has not...)
happened... yet.


>
>>>> Clean... those rods will need to be kept clear of anyone for 40
>>>> thousand years. So you realize that civilzation has not been
>>>> around that long. What language will they be speaking then. Will
>>>> the warning to the entrance be understood...
>>>
>>> It won't take us 100 years to figure out how to get the remaining
>>> energy out of them, if we try to do it at all.
>>
>> You might be right about that. I suspect you are. So long as
>> nothing happens in the 100 years...
>
> We can make a facility that's stable for longer than that.

We can? I think the DOE would want to hear of your plan.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

09/05/2012 9:40 PM

Phil Kangas wrote:
> "Mike Marlow"
>>>
>>> We can make a facility that's stable for longer
>>> than that.
>>
>> We can? I think the DOE would want to hear of
>> your plan.
>>
>> --
>>
>> -Mike-
>> [email protected]
>>
>
> Thorium.....

Sure - let's just jump on board with something else that we don't understand
well yet, just because...

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

06/05/2012 3:39 PM

tiredofspam wrote:
> Wow, Mike... don't you think they know that it's not.
>
> So if its cheap, why are they pulling the plug?
> Because one accident like this costs way more than the savings. And
> displaces thousands if not millions.
>
> Clean... those rods will need to be kept clear of anyone for 40
> thousand years. So you realize that civilzation has not been around
> that long. What language will they be speaking then. Will the warning
> to the entrance be understood...
>

Sorry - I left by sarcasm widget at home when I posted my reply.

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Richard

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

25/11/2011 12:17 AM

On 11/24/2011 8:16 PM, Larry W wrote:
> In article<[email protected]>,
> Lew Hodgett<[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> "Larry W" wrote:
>>
>>> 30 years is not too bad. There are coal strip mines that have never
>>> been cleaned up after 60 and 70 years.
>>
>> -----------------------------
>> You want an argument change the subject.
>>
>> About the ugliest thing I've ever seen were unreclaimed strip mines in
>> SE Ohio.
>>
>> At one time it was productive farm land.
>>
>> And now they want to blow the top off Blair mountain in WVA to get at
>> a seam of coal.
>>
>> It's insane.
>>
>> Lew
>>
>
> We certainly agree on that! Mountain top removal is an abomination.
>
>
>
>


Eh. So's Fracking, but I don't expect them to stop.

Hn

Han

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

17/08/2011 11:51 AM

"[email protected]" <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

>>> You expect the NYT to say *anything* good about Perry?
>>
>>I said: "Other than that they (of course) had little good to say about
>>Parry"
>>Why did you think I added "of course"?
>
> It's still a weak statement (of the obvious).
>
>>But I do agree with the NY Times this time <grin>.
>
> *SHOCKING*!

If the GOP thinks that they can win with idiots like Perry, they're only
making it easy for Obama.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

17/08/2011 2:35 PM

Steve Turner <[email protected]> wrote in
news:[email protected]:

> Perry didn't jump into this race to lose it. I'm not going to stand
> here and predict that he'll win, but if you think it will be "easy for
> Obama" you're fooling yourself. :-)

There are many who seriously think they could be president. Why not?
You've got to have ego. But, seriously, any good advisor who doesn't have
his head where the sun doesn't shine should (hehe) know that positions as
Perry has taken will not get you elected. Sure there is a hard-core tea
party bunch, but that is loud, not numerous.

As for Obama, if the GOP followers keep chasing their candidates rightward,
they won't have a chance.

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

17/08/2011 4:53 PM

Robatoy <[email protected]> wrote in news:e8826576-c23b-4646-bfce-
[email protected]:

> The TeaParty is likely to 'Naderize' the outcome; split the right.

I'm hoping they indeed will <BIG GRIN>

--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

Hn

Han

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

08/05/2012 12:10 AM

"Lew Hodgett" <[email protected]> wrote in news:4fa859d4$0$1641
[email protected]:

>
> "Larry W" wrote:
>>
>>
>> Here's a coal mining problem that has existed since 1962 and will
>> probably
>> NEVER be cleaned up:
>> http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centralia,_Pennsylvania
>>
>> Some estimates say the underground fire will continue to burn for as
>> much as
>> 100 or even 200 or more years. Nuclear power looks like a pretty
>> clean
>> alternative from here.
> --------------------------------
> Guess there is some sort of twisted logic there, but damned if I see
> it.
>
> Replacing one poisonious fuel source with another even more dangerous
> one doesn't get the job done.
>
> Lew

Dangerous is having something that has design problems that have no
reliable workaround, or a process that the equipments' operators cannot
deal with. That was true in Centralia, as well as in Fukushima. IMNSHO,
nuclear energy is relatively cheap, clean as well as safe if operated
responsibly. Unfortunately, the clean and safe aspects are somewhat
inadequately addressed ...


--
Best regards
Han
email address is invalid

sS

[email protected] (Scott Lurndal)

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

09/05/2012 8:44 PM

"Tom Del Rosso" <[email protected]> writes:
>
>tiredofspam wrote:
>> Wow, Mike... don't you think they know that it's not.
>>

>
>
>> Clean... those rods will need to be kept clear of anyone for 40
>> thousand years. So you realize that civilzation has not been around
>> that long. What language will they be speaking then. Will the warning
>> to the entrance be understood...
>
>It won't take us 100 years to figure out how to get the remaining energy out
>of them, if we try to do it at all.
>

It won't even take that long. We already know _how_ to do it. It's called
reprocessing (which was stopped for proliferation reasons, not technical reasons).

scott

MM

"Mike Marlow"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

09/05/2012 6:13 PM

Tom Del Rosso wrote:
> tiredofspam wrote:
>> Wow, Mike... don't you think they know that it's not.
>>
>> So if its cheap, why are they pulling the plug?
>> Because one accident like this costs way more than the savings. And
>> displaces thousands if not millions.
>
> Does it really cost more than all the savings for 50 years between
> accidents?

Think about that - just for a moment.

>
> And that interval will get longer. Keeping it away from shore in a
> country that has tsunamis isn't that hard.
>

Of course, we all know that the only threat is tsunamis...

>
>> Clean... those rods will need to be kept clear of anyone for 40
>> thousand years. So you realize that civilzation has not been around
>> that long. What language will they be speaking then. Will the warning
>> to the entrance be understood...
>
> It won't take us 100 years to figure out how to get the remaining
> energy out of them, if we try to do it at all.

You might be right about that. I suspect you are. So long as nothing
happens in the 100 years...

--

-Mike-
[email protected]

Rc

Robatoy

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

17/08/2011 8:56 AM

On Aug 17, 10:35=A0am, Han <[email protected]> wrote:
> Steve Turner <[email protected]> wrote innews:j2gfr2$2c4$1@=
dont-email.me:
>
> > Perry didn't jump into this race to lose it. =A0I'm not going to stand
> > here and predict that he'll win, but if you think it will be "easy for
> > Obama" you're fooling yourself. =A0:-)
>
> There are many who seriously think they could be president. =A0Why not? =
=A0
> You've got to have ego. =A0But, seriously, any good advisor who doesn't h=
ave
> his head where the sun doesn't shine should (hehe) know that positions as
> Perry has taken will not get you elected. =A0Sure there is a hard-core te=
a
> party bunch, but that is loud, not numerous.
>
> As for Obama, if the GOP followers keep chasing their candidates rightwar=
d,
> they won't have a chance.
>
> --
> Best regards
> Han
> email address is invalid

The TeaParty is likely to 'Naderize' the outcome; split the right.

ST

Steve Turner

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

17/08/2011 8:30 AM

On 8/17/2011 6:51 AM, Han wrote:
> "[email protected]"<[email protected]> wrote in
> news:[email protected]:
>
>>>> You expect the NYT to say *anything* good about Perry?
>>>
>>> I said: "Other than that they (of course) had little good to say about
>>> Parry"
>>> Why did you think I added "of course"?
>>
>> It's still a weak statement (of the obvious).
>>
>>> But I do agree with the NY Times this time<grin>.
>>
>> *SHOCKING*!
>
> If the GOP thinks that they can win with idiots like Perry, they're only
> making it easy for Obama.

Heh, you just go on thinking that. You might want to Google around on the
basic topic of "don't underestimate Rick Perry". One article in particular
offers a little food for thought and has gotten a lot of attention:

http://www.texasmonthly.com/2011-08-01/btl.php

Perry didn't jump into this race to lose it. I'm not going to stand here and
predict that he'll win, but if you think it will be "easy for Obama" you're
fooling yourself. :-)

--
"Our beer goes through thousands of quality Czechs every day."
(From a Shiner Bock billboard I saw in Austin some years ago)
To reply, eat the taco.
http://www.flickr.com/photos/bbqboyee/

EE

"Eric"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

22/11/2011 9:46 PM



"Lew Hodgett" wrote in message
news:[email protected]...

After a tour of the damaged reactor site, it's been announced by the
Japanese it may take at least 30 years to clean up the mess.

I'd call that a "Reactor problem".

Lew

==============

Let's not have a meltdown over it!

--

Eric



sg

scritch

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

23/11/2011 4:49 PM

On 11/22/2011 5:17 PM, Lew Hodgett wrote:
> After a tour of the damaged reactor site, it's been announced by the
> Japanese it may take at least 30 years to clean up the mess.
>
> I'd call that a "Reactor problem".
>
> Lew
>
>
>
>
>
They're being optimistic. Hanford Nuclear Reservation is still dirty
after almost 70 years. This is one reason why nukes are generally not a
good option for power generation.

scritch

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

24/11/2011 5:43 AM

In article <[email protected]>,
Lew Hodgett <[email protected]> wrote:
>After a tour of the damaged reactor site, it's been announced by the
>Japanese it may take at least 30 years to clean up the mess.
>
>I'd call that a "Reactor problem".
>

30 years is not too bad. There are coal strip mines that have never
been cleaned up after 60 and 70 years.



--
The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation
with the average voter. (Winston Churchill)

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar. org

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

25/11/2011 2:16 AM

In article <[email protected]>,
Lew Hodgett <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>"Larry W" wrote:
>
>> 30 years is not too bad. There are coal strip mines that have never
>> been cleaned up after 60 and 70 years.
>
>-----------------------------
>You want an argument change the subject.
>
>About the ugliest thing I've ever seen were unreclaimed strip mines in
>SE Ohio.
>
>At one time it was productive farm land.
>
>And now they want to blow the top off Blair mountain in WVA to get at
>a seam of coal.
>
>It's insane.
>
>Lew
>

We certainly agree on that! Mountain top removal is an abomination.




--
Make it as simple as possible, but not simpler. (Albert Einstein)

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar. org

lL

[email protected] (Larry W)

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

07/05/2012 9:40 PM

In article <[email protected]>,
Lew Hodgett <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>"Lew Hodgett" wrote:
>
>> After a tour of the damaged reactor site, it's been announced by the
>> Japanese it may take at least 30 years to clean up the mess.
>>
>> I'd call that a "Reactor problem".
>----------------------------------------
>
>Looks like "Reactor problem" was a bit of an understatement.
>
>Now six months later, the Japanese have pulled the plug on nuclear
>power in Japan.


Here's a coal mining problem that has existed since 1962 and will probably
NEVER be cleaned up: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centralia,_Pennsylvania

Some estimates say the underground fire will continue to burn for as much as
100 or even 200 or more years. Nuclear power looks like a pretty clean
alternative from here.



--
Better to be stuck up in a tree than tied to one.

Larry Wasserman - Baltimore Maryland - lwasserm(a)sdf. lonestar.org

TD

"Tom Del Rosso"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

09/05/2012 3:25 PM


tiredofspam wrote:
> Wow, Mike... don't you think they know that it's not.
>
> So if its cheap, why are they pulling the plug?
> Because one accident like this costs way more than the savings. And
> displaces thousands if not millions.

Does it really cost more than all the savings for 50 years between
accidents?

And that interval will get longer. Keeping it away from shore in a country
that has tsunamis isn't that hard.


> Clean... those rods will need to be kept clear of anyone for 40
> thousand years. So you realize that civilzation has not been around
> that long. What language will they be speaking then. Will the warning
> to the entrance be understood...

It won't take us 100 years to figure out how to get the remaining energy out
of them, if we try to do it at all.


--

Reply in group, but if emailing add one more
zero, and remove the last word.

TD

"Tom Del Rosso"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

09/05/2012 6:38 PM


Mike Marlow wrote:
> Tom Del Rosso wrote:
> > tiredofspam wrote:
> > > Wow, Mike... don't you think they know that it's not.
> > >
> > > So if its cheap, why are they pulling the plug?
> > > Because one accident like this costs way more than the savings.
> > > And displaces thousands if not millions.
> >
> > Does it really cost more than all the savings for 50 years between
> > accidents?
>
> Think about that - just for a moment.

Ok. Now what?

Note that I'm thinking about all the savings from hundreds of reactors that
had no accidents.


> > And that interval will get longer. Keeping it away from shore in a
> > country that has tsunamis isn't that hard.
> >
>
> Of course, we all know that the only threat is tsunamis...

It sure isn't earthquakes, since all the reactors including Fukushima
survived that.


> > > Clean... those rods will need to be kept clear of anyone for 40
> > > thousand years. So you realize that civilzation has not been
> > > around that long. What language will they be speaking then. Will
> > > the warning to the entrance be understood...
> >
> > It won't take us 100 years to figure out how to get the remaining
> > energy out of them, if we try to do it at all.
>
> You might be right about that. I suspect you are. So long as nothing
> happens in the 100 years...

We can make a facility that's stable for longer than that.


--

Reply in group, but if emailing add one more
zero, and remove the last word.

PK

"Phil Kangas"

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

09/05/2012 9:09 PM


"Mike Marlow"
>>
>> We can make a facility that's stable for longer
>> than that.
>
> We can? I think the DOE would want to hear of
> your plan.
>
> --
>
> -Mike-
> [email protected]
>

Thorium.....


tn

tiredofspam

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

06/05/2012 10:08 PM

Yea, I couldn't remember your stance.
I know I went head to head before with some guys here saying it was in
fact clean,safe and cheap.



On 5/6/2012 3:39 PM, Mike Marlow wrote:
> tiredofspam wrote:
>> Wow, Mike... don't you think they know that it's not.
>>
>> So if its cheap, why are they pulling the plug?
>> Because one accident like this costs way more than the savings. And
>> displaces thousands if not millions.
>>
>> Clean... those rods will need to be kept clear of anyone for 40
>> thousand years. So you realize that civilzation has not been around
>> that long. What language will they be speaking then. Will the warning
>> to the entrance be understood...
>>
>
> Sorry - I left by sarcasm widget at home when I posted my reply.
>

kk

in reply to Leon on 11/08/2011 7:52 AM

16/08/2011 8:29 PM

On 17 Aug 2011 01:11:50 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:

>"[email protected]" <[email protected]> wrote in
>news:[email protected]:
>
>> On 15 Aug 2011 14:58:47 GMT, Han <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>>><SNIP>
>>>
>>>Just to remind you, I'm fiscally conservative. As just restated in the
>>>NY Times, Texas didn't suffer as much as CA & FL from the housing
>>>collapse (in part) because of its rather stringent mortgage regulations.
>>> Other than that they (of course) had little good to say about Parry ...
>>
>> You expect the NYT to say *anything* good about Perry?
>
>I said: "Other than that they (of course) had little good to say about
>Parry"
>Why did you think I added "of course"?

It's still a weak statement (of the obvious).

>But I do agree with the NY Times this time <grin>.

*SHOCKING*!

Hh

"HeyBub"

in reply to whit3rd on 01/04/2011 3:13 PM

24/06/2011 9:49 AM

Mike Marlow wrote:
>
> I've seen too much government oversight to put any faith in that
> approach! But - even a well run plant does not address the issues of
> accidents and waste disposal. Both of those offer a far more dismal
> future than the thought of depleting natural gas.

Minor observation: We do not have a plan for nuclear waste removal because
we don't NEED a plan.

There are several thoughts on the matter: Encase the waste in molten glass
and dump the ingots in the middle of the Pacific, shoot the waste into the
sun via rocket ship, liquify and pump into a salt dome, etc.

The reason none of these has been adoped is that the need for a solution is
not critical.

The longer we postpone a decision, the greater the chance of a better
solution being found.

Personally, I'm in favor of stacking the stuff up on the U.S.-Mexican
border. It will make spotting illegals easier to spot in the dark.


You’ve reached the end of replies